Alert archive / New York / Chautauqua County

Weather alerts in Chautauqua County, New York, 2021

176 weather alerts in 2021, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Chautauqua County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2021. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
176
Warnings
45
Watches
16
Advisories
35
Busiest month
July42 alerts
Busiest day
June 21, 20217 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Chautauqua County in 2021 had a tornado report inside them.

Chautauqua County, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings10100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings211338%2492%26 min
Flash flood warnings7443%7100%99 min

Each office's whole area, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Buffalo, NY: tornado warnings20100%10%
NWS Buffalo, NY: severe thunderstorm warnings1147633%22093%27 min
NWS Buffalo, NY: flash flood warnings241346%32100%85 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 3, 3:50 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF7 hr
Jan 16, 4:31 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF119 min
Jan 16, 7:48 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF117 min
Jan 17, 2:34 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF11 hr
Jan 17, 1:11 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUF65 hr
Jan 18, 8:57 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF48 min
Jan 19, 6:13 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF92 min
Jan 19, 7:45 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF90 min
Jan 25, 3:22 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF51 hr
Jan 28, 3:32 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF24 hr
Feb 4, 1:50 PM ESTLakeshore Flood WatchBUF14 hr
Feb 4, 1:54 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUF25 hr
Feb 5, 4:15 AM ESTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryBUF4 hr
Feb 5, 7:48 AM ESTLakeshore Flood WarningBUF7 hr
Feb 5, 3:00 PM ESTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryBUF19 hr
Feb 13, 2:53 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchBUF24 hr
Feb 14, 3:12 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningBUF42 hr
Feb 15, 8:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Feb 16, 5:13 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF2 hr
Feb 19, 2:32 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUF33 hr
Feb 19, 2:32 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF33 hr
Feb 21, 1:41 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF33 hr
Feb 24, 3:30 AM ESTWind AdvisoryBUF17 hr
Mar 1, 3:44 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF46 min
Mar 11, 9:39 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF66 min
Mar 15, 2:30 PM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF20 hr
Mar 24, 3:36 AM EDTHigh Wind WatchBUF35 hr
Mar 24, 1:53 PM EDTLakeshore Flood WatchBUF24 hr
Mar 25, 2:08 PM EDTLakeshore Flood WarningBUF26 hr
Mar 25, 2:12 PM EDTHigh Wind WarningBUF26 hr
Apr 1, 3:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF58 min
Apr 1, 4:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF62 min
Apr 13, 4:15 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryBUF6 hr
Apr 20, 4:13 AM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF35 hr
Apr 28, 1:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
May 8, 4:11 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryBUF27 hr
May 10, 1:06 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryBUF17 hr
May 12, 3:30 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryBUF29 hr
May 13, 12:57 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryBUF19 hr
May 26, 12:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
May 26, 1:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF33 min
May 26, 2:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF43 min
May 28, 3:38 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF40 hr
May 30, 5:15 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryBUF14 hr
Jun 8, 11:48 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF117 min
Jun 9, 4:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF40 min
Jun 9, 5:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUF3 hr
Jun 9, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF47 min
Jun 9, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF33 min
Jun 20, 6:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF52 min
Jun 20, 6:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF35 min
Jun 20, 11:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF52 min
Jun 21, 12:17 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF43 min
Jun 21, 3:42 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF63 min
Jun 21, 4:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF48 min
Jun 21, 4:28 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF42 hr
Jun 21, 11:59 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Jun 21, 12:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 25, 1:31 PM EDTWind AdvisoryBUF15 hr
Jun 28, 2:03 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryBUF30 hr
Jun 29, 2:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jun 30, 11:47 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 1, 7:45 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF60 min
Jul 1, 7:49 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF56 min
Jul 2, 10:00 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF90 min
Jul 2, 11:27 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF2 hr
Jul 2, 1:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF114 min
Jul 6, 10:51 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF39 min
Jul 7, 12:51 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF39 min
Jul 7, 3:34 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF26 min
Jul 7, 3:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 7, 6:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF35 min
Jul 7, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF58 min
Jul 7, 8:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF56 min
Jul 8, 1:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 12, 9:02 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchBUF12 hr
Jul 12, 6:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF64 min
Jul 13, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jul 13, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC10 hr
Jul 13, 4:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jul 13, 4:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF64 min
Jul 13, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF52 min
Jul 13, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF63 min
Jul 14, 4:07 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUF3 hr
Jul 14, 7:15 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUF3 hr
Jul 15, 7:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF38 min
Jul 15, 8:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF63 min
Jul 15, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF57 min
Jul 16, 2:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUF5 hr
Jul 16, 2:41 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchBUF32 hr
Jul 16, 2:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUF4 hr
Jul 16, 4:49 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUF6 hr
Jul 16, 7:14 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUF6 hr
Jul 17, 4:15 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF32 hr
Jul 17, 4:42 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF48 min
Jul 17, 7:39 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF36 min
Jul 17, 7:59 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUF3 hr
Jul 17, 9:11 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUF3 hr
Jul 17, 4:35 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBUF10 hr
Jul 20, 10:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF56 min
Jul 20, 11:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF61 min
Jul 27, 11:12 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 29, 9:59 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF61 min
Jul 29, 10:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF60 min
Aug 1, 10:08 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF37 min
Aug 1, 10:44 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF46 min
Aug 8, 7:30 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryBUF3 days
Aug 10, 9:13 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF62 min
Aug 11, 4:38 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF52 min
Aug 11, 5:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF53 min
Aug 11, 6:09 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF51 min
Aug 11, 6:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF38 min
Aug 12, 8:01 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF74 min
Aug 13, 8:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF40 min
Aug 13, 9:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF31 min
Aug 13, 9:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF30 min
Aug 21, 5:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF54 min
Aug 21, 6:00 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUF4 hr
Aug 28, 1:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF79 min
Aug 29, 12:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF66 min
Aug 29, 1:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Aug 30, 12:59 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF61 min
Sep 1, 4:27 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF33 hr
Sep 5, 4:52 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF36 hr
Sep 8, 4:10 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF19 hr
Sep 11, 4:14 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF26 hr
Sep 12, 10:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Sep 12, 11:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUF75 min
Sep 12, 11:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF86 min
Sep 13, 4:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 22, 6:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Sep 23, 10:12 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF25 hr
Sep 25, 4:44 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUF51 hr
Oct 4, 5:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF55 min
Oct 4, 5:27 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUF2 hr
Oct 15, 5:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF23 min
Oct 15, 5:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF22 min
Oct 15, 6:04 PM EDTTornado WarningBUF26 min
Oct 15, 6:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF30 min
Oct 21, 2:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Oct 21, 4:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUF37 min
Oct 21, 5:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF33 min
Nov 2, 2:18 PM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF21 hr
Nov 10, 2:45 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUF40 hr
Nov 13, 4:16 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF89 min
Nov 15, 4:40 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF80 min
Nov 15, 4:42 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF14 hr
Nov 18, 3:14 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF30 hr
Nov 22, 12:27 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF93 min
Nov 22, 4:01 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF27 hr
Nov 25, 4:14 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchBUF10 hr
Nov 25, 2:41 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUF37 hr
Nov 27, 2:26 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF31 hr
Nov 28, 10:13 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUF18 hr
Nov 28, 3:00 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF90 min
Nov 28, 4:26 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF94 min
Nov 28, 6:02 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Nov 28, 6:06 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF84 min
Dec 1, 1:16 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUF29 hr
Dec 3, 2:27 PM ESTHigh Wind WatchBUF46 hr
Dec 5, 3:33 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningBUF45 hr
Dec 5, 3:33 AM ESTWind AdvisoryBUF45 hr
Dec 5, 3:34 AM ESTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryBUF42 hr
Dec 6, 3:11 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF66 hr
Dec 6, 5:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF58 min
Dec 6, 7:29 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF91 min
Dec 8, 3:59 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF61 min
Dec 8, 4:59 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUF61 min
Dec 9, 3:44 AM ESTHigh Wind WatchBUF24 hr
Dec 9, 3:44 AM ESTLakeshore Flood WatchBUF24 hr
Dec 10, 3:27 AM ESTLakeshore Flood WarningBUF49 hr
Dec 10, 3:32 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningBUF45 hr
Dec 15, 3:18 AM ESTWind AdvisoryBUF48 hr
Dec 17, 1:53 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF32 hr
Dec 27, 3:49 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF27 hr
Dec 28, 12:50 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUF14 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20202022

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.