Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2021
Lake Effect Snow Warning 11, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Nov 28, 2021, 10:13 AM EST for Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York. It took effect at Nov 28, 2021, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 15 hr. 11 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 28, 2021, 10:13 AM EST (15:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 28, 2021, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 29, 2021, 4:17 AM EST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 5:00 PM EST | SNOW 5 | 6 Sw Forestville, NY | |
| Nov 28, 8:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.5 | Perrysburg, NY | |
| Nov 28, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 5 E Great Valley, NY | |
| Nov 28, 9:15 PM EST | SNOW 4 | East Otto, NY | |
| Nov 28, 9:15 PM EST | SNOW 9 | 2 Ene Findley Lake, NY | |
| Nov 28, 9:30 PM EST | SNOW 12 | Cattaraugus, NY | |
| Nov 28, 10:00 PM EST | SNOW 15.3 | Cherry Creek, NY | |
| Nov 28, 10:00 PM EST | SNOW 17 | Cattaraugus, NY | |
| Nov 28, 10:30 PM EST | SNOW 10.2 | 1 Ne Jamestown, NY | |
| Nov 28, 11:06 PM EST | SNOW 13 | Dayton, NY | |
| Nov 29, 1:00 AM EST | SNOW 14 | South Dayton, NY |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 525 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 76 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
726
WWUS41 KBUF 281513
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1013 AM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
NYZ019-290000-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.211128T1800Z-211129T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0011.211128T1800Z-211129T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
1013 AM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Additional snow
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the most persistent lake
snows. The heaviest snow will occur late this afternoon through
this evening on the Chautauqua Ridge. Patchy blowing snow is
possible in open areas.
* WHERE...Chautauqua county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, including along the
I-90 corridor. The hazardous conditions could also impact the
morning commute on Monday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4239 7908 4247 7919 4241 7934 4225 7976
4199 7977 4201 7947 4199 7929 4207 7919 4214 7918
4215 7912
TIME Y21M11D26T1500Z-Y21M11D27T0000Z
COORD...4242 7914 4242 7941 4234 7954 4230 7954
4223 7976 4199 7977 4201 7947 4200 7931 4204 7931
4213 7912
TIME Y21M11D27T0000Z-Y21M11D27T1200Z
$$
NYZ020-085-290000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.211128T1800Z-211129T1200Z/
Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville
1013 AM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Additional snow accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches in the most persistent lake snows. The most
snow will occur late this afternoon into this evening from the
Boston Hills to the higher terrain across Cattaraugus county.
* WHERE...Cattaraugus and Southern Erie counties.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions this afternoon and
tonight, however difficult driving conditions could be found
across the higher terrain.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions
and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
$$
JLA5 follow-up statements
396
WWUS41 KBUF 282031
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
331 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
NYZ020-290500-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Cattaraugus-
Including the city of Olean
331 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 5 to
10 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Cattaraugus county, mainly northern and western portions
of the county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday. The heaviest snow will occur late
this afternoon and early this evening.
* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, including along the
I-90 corridor.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4244 7869 4244 7908 4251 7918 4239 7956
4230 7975 4199 7977 4205 7923 4210 7922 4221 7898
4225 7869
TIME Y21M11D28T1800Z-Y21M11D29T0000Z
COORD...4229 7863 4240 7893 4242 7938 4235 7959
4221 7976 4199 7977 4201 7950 4209 7913 4206 7884
4216 7865
TIME Y21M11D29T0000Z-Y21M11D29T1200Z
$$
NYZ019-290500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
331 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 5 to
10 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Chautauqua county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday. The heaviest snow will occur late
this afternoon and early this evening.
* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4244 7869 4244 7908 4251 7918 4239 7956
4230 7975 4199 7977 4205 7923 4210 7922 4221 7898
4225 7869
TIME Y21M11D28T1800Z-Y21M11D29T0000Z
COORD...4229 7863 4240 7893 4242 7938 4235 7959
4221 7976 4199 7977 4201 7950 4209 7913 4206 7884
4216 7865
TIME Y21M11D29T0000Z-Y21M11D29T1200Z
$$
NYZ085-290500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Orchard Park and Springville
331 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to
5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Southern Erie county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
$$
Apffel474
WWUS41 KBUF 282205
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
505 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
NYZ019-290700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
505 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 5
to 10 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Chautauqua county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday. The heaviest snow will occur
through this evening.
* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, including along the I-
90 corridor and the Southern Tier Expressway.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4244 7869 4244 7908 4251 7918 4239 7956
4230 7975 4199 7977 4205 7923 4210 7922 4221 7898
4225 7869
TIME Y21M11D28T1800Z-Y21M11D29T0000Z
COORD...4229 7863 4240 7893 4242 7938 4235 7959
4221 7976 4199 7977 4201 7950 4209 7913 4206 7884
4216 7865
TIME Y21M11D29T0000Z-Y21M11D29T1200Z
$$
NYZ020-290700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Cattaraugus-
Including the city of Olean
505 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 5
to 10 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Cattaraugus county, mainly in northern and western
portions of the county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday. The heaviest snow will occur
through this evening.
* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult tonight.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4244 7869 4244 7908 4251 7918 4239 7956
4230 7975 4199 7977 4205 7923 4210 7922 4221 7898
4225 7869
TIME Y21M11D28T1800Z-Y21M11D29T0000Z
COORD...4229 7863 4240 7893 4242 7938 4235 7959
4221 7976 4199 7977 4201 7950 4209 7913 4206 7884
4216 7865
TIME Y21M11D29T0000Z-Y21M11D29T1200Z
$$
NYZ021-290700-
/O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Allegany-
Including the city of Wellsville
505 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6
inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Allegany county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions tonight.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
$$
NYZ085-290700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Orchard Park and Springville
505 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6
inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Southern Erie county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
$$
Apffel046
WWUS41 KBUF 290044
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
744 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
NYZ085-290145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Orchard Park and Springville
744 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
An additional inch of snow is possible overnight, with some slick
spots possible on roadways.
$$
NYZ019-290900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
744 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Chautauqua county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4244 7869 4244 7908 4251 7918 4239 7956
4230 7975 4199 7977 4205 7923 4210 7922 4221 7898
4225 7869
TIME Y21M11D28T1800Z-Y21M11D29T0000Z
COORD...4229 7863 4240 7893 4242 7938 4235 7959
4221 7976 4199 7977 4201 7950 4209 7913 4206 7884
4216 7865
TIME Y21M11D29T0000Z-Y21M11D29T1200Z
$$
NYZ020-290900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Cattaraugus-
Including the city of Olean
744 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Cattaraugus county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4244 7869 4244 7908 4251 7918 4239 7956
4230 7975 4199 7977 4205 7923 4210 7922 4221 7898
4225 7869
TIME Y21M11D28T1800Z-Y21M11D29T0000Z
COORD...4229 7863 4240 7893 4242 7938 4235 7959
4221 7976 4199 7977 4201 7950 4209 7913 4206 7884
4216 7865
TIME Y21M11D29T0000Z-Y21M11D29T1200Z
$$
NYZ021-290900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Allegany-
Including the city of Wellsville
744 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to
3 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Allegany county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
$$
Apffel478
WWUS41 KBUF 290231
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
931 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
NYZ021-290345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Allegany-
Including the city of Wellsville
931 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
Roads still may be slick in spots overnight.
$$
NYZ019-291200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
931 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Chautauqua county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4244 7869 4244 7908 4251 7918 4239 7956
4230 7975 4199 7977 4205 7923 4210 7922 4221 7898
4225 7869
TIME Y21M11D28T1800Z-Y21M11D29T0000Z
COORD...4229 7863 4240 7893 4242 7938 4235 7959
4221 7976 4199 7977 4201 7950 4209 7913 4206 7884
4216 7865
TIME Y21M11D29T0000Z-Y21M11D29T1200Z
$$
NYZ020-291200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/
Cattaraugus-
Including the city of Olean
931 PM EST Sun Nov 28 2021
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches in the most persistent lake snows.
* WHERE...Cattaraugus county.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.
Submit snow reports through our website or social media.
&&
Experimental content below...do not use operationally
To view the experimental polygons please see:
http://www.weather.gov/buf/lespolygon
COORD...4244 7869 4244 7908 4251 7918 4239 7956
4230 7975 4199 7977 4205 7923 4210 7922 4221 7898
4225 7869
TIME Y21M11D28T1800Z-Y21M11D29T0000Z
COORD...4229 7863 4240 7893 4242 7938 4235 7959
4221 7976 4199 7977 4201 7950 4209 7913 4206 7884
4216 7865
TIME Y21M11D29T0000Z-Y21M11D29T1200Z
$$
Apffel764 WWUS41 KBUF 290917 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 417 AM EST Mon Nov 29 2021 NYZ019-020-291030- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0011.000000T0000Z-211129T1200Z/ Chautauqua-Cattaraugus- Including the cities of Jamestown and Olean 417 AM EST Mon Nov 29 2021 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... While additional light snows will accumulate an inch or so across parts of the area today...significant lake snows are no longer expected. Motorists should remain vigilant though for untreated roadways that may be snow covered and slick. This will especially be the case across the higher terrain. Maintain a safe distance between yourself and other vehicles. $$ RSH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 10:18 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 30 hr | |
| Nov 28, 12:03 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie | 87 min |
| Nov 28, 1:59 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Niagara | 61 min |
| Nov 28, 3:00 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 90 min |
| Nov 28, 4:26 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 94 min |
| Nov 28, 6:06 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 84 min |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2021Every lake effect snow warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.