Alert archive / New York

Weather alerts in Chautauqua County, New York

3,367 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Chautauqua County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,367
Warnings
1,005
Watches
502
Advisories
851
Busiest year
2019202 alerts
Average year
82over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 83% of tornado reports in Chautauqua County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 22 minutes before, and 70% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200810100%0
20104250%2100%36 min
20117271%2100%9 min
201310100%0
201710100%0
202020100%10%
202110100%0
20243233%1100%18 min
Share of tornado reports inside a tornado warning, by year.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008191047%1377%25 min
2009161225%786%28 min
201011645%1060%51 min
2011161131%1984%28 min
2012141214%1788%25 min
2013151033%2496%27 min
201411827%1267%29 min
20155420%2065%37 min
201613931%1782%38 min
2017201715%4491%24 min
201811736%1688%29 min
2019161413%2886%20 min
2020181611%2983%33 min
2021211338%2492%26 min
202216156%3288%26 min
202312925%3497%28 min
202410730%978%29 min
202512833%1974%29 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20083167%1100%34 min
20097443%888%50 min
2010330%4100%76 min
20116350%580%80 min
20135260%3100%14 min
2014440%19100%275 min
2015440%20100%80 min
20165180%1100%38 min
20172150%2100%60 min
20186350%1593%68 min
20193167%1100%55 min
20204250%2100%51 min
20217443%7100%99 min
20224325%1100%55 min
2023110%2100%64 min
20253233%2100%83 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 2, 10:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUF75 min
Sep 2, 7:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUF79 min
Sep 2, 7:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUF60 min
Aug 23, 7:03 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUF5 hr
Aug 10, 10:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF63 min
Aug 10, 10:21 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF54 min
Jul 21, 5:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF58 min
Jul 21, 9:58 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF46 min
Jul 21, 9:08 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF67 min
Jul 18, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF50 min
Jun 25, 10:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF67 min
Jun 18, 12:47 AM EDTHigh Wind WarningBUF19 hr

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.