Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 16, 2021Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 16, 2021, 2:59 PM EDT for Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York. It was in force for 4 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2021, 2:59 PM EDT (18:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2021, 7:18 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 16, 3:18 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 1.251 Nne Jamestown, NYFELL IN 20 MINUTES; FLOODING OCCURRING IN YARDS AND STREETS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 110 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1011 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

146 
WGUS51 KBUF 161859
FFWBUF
NYC009-013-162200-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0012.210716T1859Z-210716T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
259 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Cattaraugus County in western New York...
  Southeastern Chautauqua County in western New York...

* Until 600 PM EDT.

* At 259 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 1.5 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Jamestown, Lakewood, Falconer, Jamestown West, Frewsburg, Busti, 
  Celoron, Panama, Ashville, Niobe and Kennedy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4209 7957 4217 7903 4200 7903 4200 7957

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

AR
2 follow-up statements
402 
WGUS51 KBUF 162154
FFWBUF
NYC009-013-162330-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210716T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
554 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Cattaraugus County in western New York...
  Southeastern Chautauqua County in western New York...

* Until 730 PM EDT.

* At 554 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated another round of moderate 
  to heavy rain moving across the warned area. Between 1.5 and 3 
  inches of rain has already fallen across the area. Additional 
  rainfall amounts of 0.2 to 0.5 inches are possible. Flash flooding 
  is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Jamestown, Lakewood, Falconer, Jamestown West, Frewsburg, Busti, 
  Celoron, Panama, Ashville, Niobe and Kennedy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4209 7957 4217 7903 4200 7903 4200 7957

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

AR
296 
WGUS71 KBUF 162318
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
718 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

NYC009-013-162328-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210716T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cattaraugus NY-Chautauqua NY-
718 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS AND 
SOUTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES...

The Flash Flood Warning has been replaced by a new Areal Flood 
Warning for southeastern Chautauqua County only. Please continue to 
heed any road closures.

LAT...LON 4209 7957 4217 7903 4200 7903 4200 7957

$$

JJR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 8:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie24 min
Jul 15, 8:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua63 min
Jul 15, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFChautauqua57 min
Jul 15, 9:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus54 min
Jul 15, 10:48 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF57 min
Jul 15, 11:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson36 min
Jul 16, 2:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFChautauqua5 hr
Jul 16, 2:41 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 8 more32 hr
Jul 16, 4:45 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF44 hr
Jul 16, 4:49 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFChautauqua6 hr
Jul 16, 7:14 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFChautauqua6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.