Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 16, 2021Chautauqua County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 16, 2021, 2:13 PM EDT for Chautauqua County, New York. It was in force for 5 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2021, 2:13 PM EDT (18:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2021, 7:15 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Chautauqua County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 16, 2:45 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 2.41 N Gerry, NYTOTAL RAINFALL OVER A 2 HOUR PERIOD THROUGH 2:45 PM.
Jul 16, 4:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 E Ellington, NYWATERBORO HILL ROAD CLOSED WITH EXCESSIVE WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.
Jul 16, 5:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Sse Bemus Point, NYFLASH FLOODING FROM BEMUS CREEK AND WATER BACKING UP ACROSS BEMUS POINT FROM CHAUTAUQUA LAKE. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS OF AREA HOMES.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1011 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

381 
WGUS51 KBUF 161813
FFWBUF
NYC013-162115-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0011.210716T1813Z-210716T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
213 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southern Chautauqua County in western New York...

* Until 515 PM EDT.

* At 213 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated showers and thunderstorms 
  producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 
  inches of rain has already fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 
  1 to 1.5 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mayville, Long Point State Park, Chautauqua Institution, 
  Chautauqua, Gerry, Ellington, Sherman, Sinclairville, Cherry 
  Creek, Bemus Point, Ellery Center, Stow, Dewittville, Stedman 
  Corners and Kennedy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4221 7963 4229 7944 4230 7906 4225 7906
      4224 7906 4221 7906 4217 7906 4216 7906
      4209 7953 4210 7954

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

AR
3 follow-up statements
124 
WGUS71 KBUF 162017
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
417 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

NYC013-162115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210716T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chautauqua NY-
417 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

At 417 PM EDT, The heavy rainfall has moved out of the warned area. 
Reports of 2 and 3 inches of rain has fallen, with isolated areas up 
to 4 inches. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mayville, Long Point State Park, Chautauqua Institution, 
  Chautauqua, Gerry, Ellington, Sherman, Sinclairville, Cherry 
  Creek, Bemus Point, Ellery Center, Stow, Dewittville, Stedman 
  Corners and Kennedy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4221 7963 4229 7944 4230 7906 4225 7906
      4224 7906 4221 7906 4217 7906 4216 7906
      4209 7953 4210 7954

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

AR
792 
WGUS51 KBUF 162112
FFWBUF
NYC013-162315-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210716T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
512 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southern Chautauqua County in western New York...

* Until 715 PM EDT.

* At 512 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated moderate to heavy showers 
  moving through the warned area. Additional rainfall of up to half 
  an inch can be anticipated. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain has 
  already fallen over the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
  expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mayville, Long Point State Park, Chautauqua Institution, 
  Chautauqua, Gerry, Ellington, Sherman, Sinclairville, Cherry 
  Creek, Bemus Point, Ellery Center, Stow, Dewittville, Stedman 
  Corners and Kennedy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4221 7963 4229 7944 4230 7906 4225 7906
      4224 7906 4221 7906 4217 7906 4216 7906
      4209 7953 4210 7954

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

AR
153 
WGUS71 KBUF 162317
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
717 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

NYC013-162327-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210716T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chautauqua NY-
717 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SOUTHERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

The Flash Flood Warning has been replaced by a new Areal Flood 
Warning. Please continue to heed any road closures.

LAT...LON 4221 7963 4229 7944 4230 7906 4225 7906
      4224 7906 4221 7906 4217 7906 4216 7906
      4209 7953 4210 7954

$$

JJR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 8:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie24 min
Jul 15, 8:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua63 min
Jul 15, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFChautauqua57 min
Jul 15, 9:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus54 min
Jul 15, 10:48 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF57 min
Jul 15, 11:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson36 min
Jul 16, 2:41 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 8 more32 hr
Jul 16, 2:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua4 hr
Jul 16, 4:45 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF44 hr
Jul 16, 4:49 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFChautauqua6 hr
Jul 16, 7:14 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFChautauqua6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.