Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 30, 2021, 11:47 AM EDT for 33 counties in New York; 15 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 30, 2021, 11:47 AM EDT (15:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 30, 2021, 7:16 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 48 counties
Albany County, NY, Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA
The radar
The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 12:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 41 min |
| Jun 30, 12:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida | 38 min |
| Jun 30, 1:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Washington | 26 min |
| Jun 30, 1:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Washington, Westmoreland | 24 min |
| Jun 30, 1:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Herkimer | 38 min |
| Jun 30, 1:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Washington, Westmoreland | 52 min |
| Jun 30, 1:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Herkimer | 49 min |
| Jun 30, 2:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana, Westmoreland | 42 min |
| Jun 30, 2:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Seneca | 38 min |
| Jun 30, 2:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Washington, Westmoreland | 3 hr |
| Jun 30, 2:14 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Washington | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 2:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Livingston, Ontario | 35 min |
| Jun 30, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady, Warren | 42 min |
| Jun 30, 2:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 50 min |
| Jun 30, 2:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Washington | 49 min |
| Jun 30, 2:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana | 38 min |
| Jun 30, 2:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Washington | 34 min |
| Jun 30, 2:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana, Westmoreland | 45 min |
| Jun 30, 2:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Washington | 36 min |
| Jun 30, 3:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Madison, Otsego | 52 min |
| Jun 30, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer, Washington | 30 min |
| Jun 30, 3:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Otsego and 3 more | 47 min |
| Jun 30, 4:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer | 27 min |
| Jun 30, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Otsego | 43 min |
| Jun 30, 4:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Schoharie | 43 min |
| Jun 30, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego, Tioga | 40 min |
| Jun 30, 5:19 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware | 51 min |
| Jun 30, 5:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware, Sullivan | 41 min |
| Jun 30, 5:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Butler, Washington | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 1128 Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1129 Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1131 Severe thunderstorm watch 326...327
- Mesoscale Discussion 1133 Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1134 Severe thunderstorm watch 328
- Mesoscale Discussion 1136 Severe thunderstorm watch 328
- Mesoscale Discussion 1137 Severe thunderstorm watch 326...329
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 113 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -257 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1162 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 98 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
680 WWUS20 KWNS 301544 SEL6 SPC WW 301544 NYZ000-VTZ000-302300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 326 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 AM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of East central into western New York Southern Vermont * Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1145 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form and intensify through the afternoon across New York, in an environment supporting a mix of multicell clusters/line segments and supercells. The main threats will be damaging winds and isolated large hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles east southeast of Glens Falls NY to 55 miles west of Elmira NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 11:04 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Allegany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango and 29 more | 116 min |
| Jun 30, 12:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Essex | 7 hr |
| Jun 30, 1:52 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fulton, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady, Warren, Washington | 83 min |
| Jun 30, 2:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Orange, Putnam and 2 more | 119 min |
| Jun 30, 3:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Orange, Putnam, Rockland and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 30, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Columbia, Delaware, Greene, Schoharie, Sullivan and 1 more | 87 min |
| Jun 30, 6:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bronx, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester | 92 min |
| Jun 30, 11:30 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Blair, Butler, Cambria and 23 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 12:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield and 20 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 30, 3:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Centre and 16 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 4:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Bedford, Berks, Blair, Columbia, Cumberland and 17 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 4:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon and 3 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.