Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326

June 30, 202133 counties in New York; 15 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 30, 2021, 11:47 AM EDT for 33 counties in New York; 15 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 30, 2021, 11:47 AM EDT (15:47 UTC)
Expired
Jun 30, 2021, 7:16 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Albany County, NY, Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 30, 12:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida, Onondaga41 min
Jun 30, 12:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida38 min
Jun 30, 1:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZWashington26 min
Jun 30, 1:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Washington, Westmoreland24 min
Jun 30, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHerkimer38 min
Jun 30, 1:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Washington, Westmoreland52 min
Jun 30, 1:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Herkimer49 min
Jun 30, 2:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana, Westmoreland42 min
Jun 30, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Seneca38 min
Jun 30, 2:12 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Washington, Westmoreland3 hr
Jun 30, 2:14 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZAllegheny, Washington2 hr
Jun 30, 2:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLivingston, Ontario35 min
Jun 30, 2:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady, Warren42 min
Jun 30, 2:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida, Onondaga50 min
Jun 30, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZWashington49 min
Jun 30, 2:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana38 min
Jun 30, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Washington34 min
Jun 30, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana, Westmoreland45 min
Jun 30, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Washington36 min
Jun 30, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Madison, Otsego52 min
Jun 30, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer, Washington30 min
Jun 30, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Otsego and 3 more47 min
Jun 30, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer27 min
Jun 30, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Otsego43 min
Jun 30, 4:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Schoharie43 min
Jun 30, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego, Tioga40 min
Jun 30, 5:19 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware51 min
Jun 30, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Sullivan41 min
Jun 30, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Washington47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-06-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 113 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-06-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 66 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
113 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-257 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1162 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

680 
WWUS20 KWNS 301544
SEL6  
SPC WW 301544
NYZ000-VTZ000-302300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 326
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  East central into western New York
  Southern Vermont

* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1145 AM until
  700 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form and intensify
through the afternoon across New York, in an environment supporting
a mix of multicell clusters/line segments and supercells.  The main
threats will be damaging winds and isolated large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles east southeast
of Glens Falls NY to 55 miles west of Elmira NY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 30, 11:04 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Allegany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango and 29 more116 min
Jun 30, 12:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCEssex7 hr
Jun 30, 1:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady, Warren, Washington83 min
Jun 30, 2:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Orange, Putnam and 2 more119 min
Jun 30, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Dutchess, Greene, Orange, Putnam, Rockland and 3 more7 hr
Jun 30, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Columbia, Delaware, Greene, Schoharie, Sullivan and 1 more87 min
Jun 30, 6:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester92 min
Jun 30, 11:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Blair, Butler, Cambria and 23 more2 hr
Jun 30, 12:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield and 20 more7 hr
Jun 30, 3:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Centre and 16 more2 hr
Jun 30, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bedford, Berks, Blair, Columbia, Cumberland and 17 more2 hr
Jun 30, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon and 3 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.