Alert archive / Maine / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 327

June 30, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 30, 2021, 12:06 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 30, 2021, 12:06 PM EDT (16:06 UTC)
Expired
Jun 30, 2021, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Androscoggin County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Hancock County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Waldo County, ME, Washington County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Essex County, NY, Addison County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Portland,ME radar (KGYX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 30, 12:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex59 min
Jun 30, 1:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVChittenden, Lamoille, Washington60 min
Jun 30, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex53 min
Jun 30, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXKennebec, Somerset, Waldo53 min
Jun 30, 2:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVAddison, Rutland, Windsor66 min
Jun 30, 2:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARHancock, Penobscot65 min
Jun 30, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton, Sullivan43 min
Jun 30, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARHancock50 min
Jun 30, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll, Coos, Grafton17 min
Jun 30, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll, Grafton, Merrimack, Strafford27 min
Jun 30, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire, Sullivan35 min
Jun 30, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll, Merrimack, Strafford49 min
Jun 30, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire, Hillsborough50 min
Jun 30, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXYork52 min
Jun 30, 4:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARHancock52 min
Jun 30, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXRockingham32 min
Jun 30, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXHillsborough, Rockingham33 min
Jun 30, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook, Washington29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2021-06-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 906 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2021-06-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
906 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-60 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1312 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

741 
WWUS20 KWNS 301604
SEL7  
SPC WW 301604
MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-CWZ000-302300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 327
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern Maine
  New Hampshire
  Extreme northeastern New York
  Vermont
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1205 PM
  until 700 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected through the
afternoon across northern New England, in an environment supporting
both supercells and clusters/line segments capable of producing
damaging winds and isolated large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles north
northwest of Glens Falls NY to 40 miles east of Bar Harbor ME. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 326...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 30, 11:04 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec, Knox and 8 more116 min
Jun 30, 1:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Oxford83 min
Jun 30, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Hancock, Kennebec, Knox, Lincoln and 4 more89 min
Jun 30, 11:47 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua and 27 more7 hr
Jun 30, 2:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Orange, Putnam and 2 more119 min
Jun 30, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Dutchess, Greene, Orange, Putnam, Rockland and 3 more7 hr
Jun 30, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Columbia, Delaware, Greene, Schoharie, Sullivan and 1 more87 min
Jun 30, 6:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.