Alert archive / New York / Areal Flood Warnings in 2021

Areal Flood Warning 7, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 17, 2021Chautauqua County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this areal flood warning at Jul 17, 2021, 9:11 AM EDT for Chautauqua County, New York. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2021, 9:11 AM EDT (13:11 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 2021, 12:00 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Chautauqua County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
558 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

897 
WGUS41 KBUF 171311
FLWBUF

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
911 AM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

NYC013-171600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FA.W.0007.210717T1311Z-210717T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chautauqua NY-
911 AM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flood Warning for Small stream in...
  Southeastern Chautauqua County in western New York...

* Until noon EDT.

* At 911 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain. Flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the warned area. Between 
  0.5 and 1 inch of rain has fallen.

* Recent heavy rains combined with an additional inch of rainfall 
  over the past 1 to 2 hours has resulted in rapid rises on the 
  Chadakoin River that runs through Falconer and Jamestown. Current 
  stage is 4.8 feet and rising rapidly. Moderate flooding is 
  occuring in low lying areas in the warned area. Major flooding is 
  likely. Major flooding occurs when the Chadakoin River reaches 5.0 
  feet.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Jamestown and Falconer.

Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4212 7926 4211 7923 4212 7922 4214 7918
      4214 7916 4212 7918 4211 7920 4209 7922
      4208 7925

$$

JM
2 follow-up statements
879 
WGUS81 KBUF 171451
FLSBUF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1051 AM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

NYC013-171600-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210717T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chautauqua NY-
1051 AM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

...THE SMALL STREAM FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT 
TODAY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

At 1051 AM EDT, The Chadakoin River at Falconer crested at 4.82 feet 
and is now falling with a current stage of 4.4 feet. This is still 
minor flood stage until the river falls below 4.0 feet. Flood waters 
are expected to continue slowly receding through late this morning.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Jamestown and Falconer.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4212 7926 4211 7923 4212 7922 4214 7918
      4214 7916 4212 7918 4211 7920 4209 7922
      4208 7925

$$

JM
777 
WGUS81 KBUF 171604
FLSBUF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1204 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

NYC013-171614-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FA.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210717T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chautauqua NY-
1204 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

...THE SMALL STREAM FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SOUTHEASTERN 
CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures. The Chadakoin River at Falconer crested at 4.82 feet 
earlier this morning and has now fallen to a current stage of 3.7 
feet, which is now below flood stage. Another area of heavier rain 
may move through the area later this afternoon, so be sure to 
monitor the situation.

LAT...LON 4212 7926 4211 7923 4212 7922 4214 7918
      4214 7916 4212 7918 4211 7920 4209 7922
      4208 7925

$$

JM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 4:15 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUFChautauqua, Monroe, Niagara, Orleans, Wayne32 hr
Jul 17, 4:42 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua48 min
Jul 17, 6:12 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Niagara, Orleans and 1 more13 hr
Jul 17, 7:39 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua36 min
Jul 17, 7:59 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFChautauqua3 hr
Jul 17, 1:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany42 min
Jul 17, 2:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFMonroe40 hr
Jul 17, 3:15 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFCattaraugus, Erie6 hr
Jul 17, 3:15 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFCattaraugus, Erie30 min
Jul 17, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Wyoming44 min
Jul 17, 4:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston45 min
Jul 17, 4:35 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming10 hr
Jul 17, 5:15 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFLivingston, Ontario3 hr
Jul 17, 5:28 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus5 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in New York, 2021Every areal flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.