Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2021

Winter Weather Advisory 26, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 6, 20218 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Dec 6, 2021, 3:11 AM EST for 8 counties in New York. It took effect at Dec 6, 2021, 8:00 PM EST. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 6, 2021, 3:11 AM EST (08:11 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 6, 2021, 8:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 8, 2021, 8:44 PM EST
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-12-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-12-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 994 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1373 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
83 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
994 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1149 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

691 
WWUS41 KBUF 060811
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
311 AM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

NYZ006>008-061800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.211207T0100Z-211207T2100Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
311 AM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4
  to 8 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as
  high as 50 mph tonight, with areas of blowing snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. Greatest amounts across
  higher terrain such as the Tug Hill Plateau.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Apffel
15 follow-up statements
532 
WWUS41 KBUF 061540
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1040 AM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

NYZ006>008-070000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.211207T0100Z-211207T2100Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
1040 AM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 
  4 to 8 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting 
  as high as 50 mph tonight, with areas of blowing snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. Greatest amounts 
  across higher terrain such as the Tug Hill Plateau.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down 
  tree branches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
998 
WWUS41 KBUF 061948
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
248 PM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

NYZ006>008-070400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.211207T0100Z-211207T2100Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
248 PM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 
  4 to 8 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting 
  as high as 50 mph tonight, with areas of blowing snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. Greatest amounts 
  across higher terrain such as the Tug Hill Plateau.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down 
  tree branches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
650 
WWUS41 KBUF 070247
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
947 PM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

NYZ019-020-071100-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T1100Z/
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Including the cities of Jamestown and Olean
947 PM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow and blowing snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of 2 to 3 inches in the most persistent lake
  snows, bringing totals to 3 to 5 inches in persistent bands.
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce some blowing and
  drifting snow this evening.

* WHERE...Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties. Greatest
  accumulations will be across the higher terrain of the
  Chautauqua Ridge.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions with
  reduced visibility in bands of snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-071100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
947 PM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow and blowing snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of 3 to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows
  across the Tug Hill Plateau and portions of Oswego County. Winds
  gusting as high as 40 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow
  in open areas.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions with
  poor visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
277 
WWUS41 KBUF 070831
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
331 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

NYZ004-005-071645-
/O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
Including the cities of Newark and Fair Haven
331 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 
  inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Wayne and Northern Cayuga counties. The greatest snow
  amounts are expected across northeast Wayne and northern Cayuga
  counties. Very little snow will fall in southwest Wayne county.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-071645-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
331 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 
  4 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. The greatest snow
  amounts are expected across Oswego county and the southern Tug
  Hill.  

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-071100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T1100Z/
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Including the cities of Jamestown and Olean
331 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 2
  inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high
  as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

TMA
163 
WWUS41 KBUF 071051
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
551 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

NYZ019-020-071200-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T1100Z/
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Including the cities of Jamestown and Olean
551 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

Light snow showers will continue this morning with little
additional accumulation. Lake effect snow will reorganized this 
afternoon with minor accumulation expected along the Chautauqua 
Ridge into this evening.

$$

NYZ006>008-071900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
551 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 
  inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. The greatest snow
  amounts are expected across Oswego county and the southern Tug
  Hill.  

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-071900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
Including the cities of Newark and Fair Haven
551 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 
  inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Wayne and Northern Cayuga counties. The greatest snow
  amounts are expected across northeast Wayne and northern Cayuga
  counties. Very little snow will fall in southwest Wayne county.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. Most of the accumulating 
  snow will be before noon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

TMA
513 
WWUS41 KBUF 071353
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
853 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

NYZ006>008-072100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
853 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4
  inches in the most persistent lake snows. The higher amounts
  will likely be concentrated across Oswego county.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-072100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
Including the cities of Newark and Fair Haven
853 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3
  inches in the most persistent lake snows close to the lake.

* WHERE...Wayne and Northern Cayuga counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
608 
WWUS41 KBUF 071528
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

NYZ004-005-071630-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
Including the cities of Newark and Fair Haven
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

While additional lake snows of an inch or so are expected near 
the lake shore, significant accumulations are no longer expected.

$$

NYZ006-072330-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211207T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0005.211207T1528Z-211208T0300Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to 8 
  inches.

* WHERE...Oswego county.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult in the areas of steadiest
  lake snows. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-072330-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211208T0300Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1028 AM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 
  5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
523 
WWUS41 KBUF 072154
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
454 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

NYZ008-072300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211208T0300Z/
Lewis-
Including the city of Lowville
454 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Additional accumulation of less than an inch.

$$

NYZ006-080300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211208T0300Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
454 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 2 
  inches.

* WHERE...Oswego county, mainly northern portions of the county.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel
conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ085-080600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211208T0900Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Orchard Park and Springville
454 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 
  6 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Southern Erie county.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-080600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211208T1500Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
454 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 
  5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Apffel
183 
WWUS41 KBUF 080239
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
939 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

NYZ006-080345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211208T0300Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
939 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING EXPIRES AT 10 PM...

Heavy snow has ended. An additional inch is possible overnight.

$$

NYZ007-081145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211208T1500Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
939 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 
  5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ085-080900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211208T0900Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Orchard Park and Springville
939 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 
  2 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Southern Erie county.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Apffel
686 
WWUS41 KBUF 080330
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1030 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

NYZ085-080430-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211208T0900Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Orchard Park and Springville
1030 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Heavy snows have ended. Additional accumulation of an inch or less
is possible overnight.

$$

NYZ007-081130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211208T1500Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
1030 PM EST Tue Dec 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 
  5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
793 
WWUS41 KBUF 080829
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
329 AM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

NYZ006-081700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0027.211208T2000Z-211209T0900Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
329 AM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 
  3 to 6 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Oswego county.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ007-081700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211209T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
329 AM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 
  inches in the most persistent lake snows today.

* WHERE...Jefferson county, mainly far western portions near the
  immediate Lake Ontario shoreline.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Apffel
994 
WWUS41 KBUF 081415
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
915 AM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

NYZ007-082215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211209T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
915 AM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 
  6 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ006-082215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0027.211208T2000Z-211209T0900Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
915 AM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3
  to 6 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Oswego county.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
913 
WWUS41 KBUF 082029
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
329 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

NYZ007-090000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211209T0000Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
329 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 
  inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ006-090500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211209T0900Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
329 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 
  5 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Oswego county.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
722 
WWUS41 KBUF 082350
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
650 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

NYZ007-090200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211209T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
650 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2
  inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Jefferson county, southern portions from Watertown south.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

NYZ006-090800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211209T0900Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
650 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 
  4 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Oswego county.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$
938 
WWUS41 KBUF 090144
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
844 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

NYZ007-090245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-211209T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
844 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Additional snow accumulation of an inch or less.

$$

NYZ006-090900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211209T0900Z/
Oswego-
Including the city of Oswego
844 PM EST Wed Dec 8 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 
  4 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* WHERE...Oswego county.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If
traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and
visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Apffel

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Dec 6, 12:49 AM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 6, 12:49 AM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1249 AM EST Mon Dec 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong area of low pressure will move from the Upper Great Lakes
overnight to Quebec Monday, bringing rain showers, much warmer
temperatures, and strong winds to the region tonight through
Monday. Much colder air will pour back into the region late
Monday through Tuesday, with limited lake effect snow east of
Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. A weak wave of low pressure will
then bring a chance of light snow to much of the region
Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY EVENING...

Headlines...

A High Wind Warning is in effect for downslope winds tonight along
the Lake Erie shore of Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties. A High
Wind Warning is in effect for downslope winds along the north slopes
of the Tug Hill Plateau and Black River Valley in Jefferson and
Lewis counties. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the rest of the
area.

Synoptic Setup...

A strong mid level trough will move from the Northern Plains
overnight to the Upper Great Lakes Monday. A strong and
deepening area of low pressure will move from the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan tonight to central Quebec by late Monday,
with a trailing cold front crossing the eastern Great Lakes
midday through mid afternoon Monday. The northern stream trough
will partially phase with southern stream energy moving through
the Ohio Valley Monday morning, which will result in a weak
baroclinic wave along the advancing cold front on Monday. The
presence of a weak frontal wave seems to be weakening the post-
frontal wind field to at least a small extent.

Precipitation...

A broad area of strong warm advection is supporting an area of
rain which is moving across the area during the early morning
hours. There may be a brief period with mixed precipitation
across far northern Jefferson county early this morning, where
surface obs show temperatures notably cooler than areas to the
south which have warmed due to downsloping.

There is likely to be a lull in the precipitation behind this
initial band, then another round of steadier rain will move in
this morning.

The cold front will then sweep east across the area Monday, with a
few hours of rain showers. The aforementioned frontal wave may bring
a little longer period of rain and higher rain totals from the
western Southern Tier to Finger Lakes and eastern Lake Ontario
region. Rain totals tonight through Monday will generally be 0.25"-
0.5" for most of the area, and 0.5"-1.25" east of Lake Ontario with
the highest amounts on the south face of the Tug Hill from upslope
enhancement.

Winds...

The strong wind potential will come in two phases. First, a strong
southerly low level jet will cross the region overnight,
setting the stage for strong downslope winds. The 60-70 knot low
level jet is across the region now. Forecast soundings suggest
a stable layer near the top of the terrain barrier with a strong
low level inversion in place. This will set the stage for a
downslope wind event, with stable flow accelerating down the lee
slopes of the Chautauqua Ridge. The magnitude of the low level
jet and thermal structure suggest a good potential for gusts to
near 65 mph near the Lake Erie shore and northward facing slopes
of western Chautauqua and southern Erie counties. Winds
overnight could gust to 60 mph in the deeper north to south
running valleys of the Finger Lakes as well.

This same low level jet will reach the eastern Lake Ontario region
later tonight through Monday morning. The same stability profiles
are in place, with a strong inversion and stable layer near the top
of the terrain barrier. Gusts to 65 mph are also possible downslope
of the Tug Hill Plateau and Adirondacks, across portions of northern
Lewis County and western Jefferson County. Given the strength of the
LLJ, wind gusts could reach 50-55 mph downslope along some of the
south-north oriented ridges and valleys across the Genesee Valley
and Western Finger Lakes south of the NY Thruway.

The second phase of this wind event will be post-frontal winds
Monday afternoon and evening. The track of the deepening surface low
is quite favorable (maybe a little too far northwest of our area),
but the strength of the post-frontal wind fields is marginal. Latest
guidance shows 45-50 knots at 850 mb, which will support advisory
level gusts (50-55 mph). A tropopause fold is evident within the mid
level trough axis, with the 1.5 PVU surface extending down below
500MB. This feature moves from lower Michigan to near Toronto by
Monday evening, suggesting the deepest mixing and downward momentum
transfer will miss our area to the northwest.

The preponderance of evidence based on this setup suggests advisory
gusts of 50-55 knots northeast of Lake Erie, along the Lake Ontario
shore, and Saint Lawrence Valley. Peak winds in Western NY will be
from midday to early evening Monday, for the Rochester area from mid
afternoon through mid evening Monday, and east of Lake Ontario from
late afternoon through the evening Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Strong gusty westerly winds will continue through the first half of
Monday night, before dropping off during the second half of the
night as the strong jet just off the deck departs to the east
of our area.

Minor lake effect snows set to impact areas E and ESE of the Lakes
Monday night and Tuesday. Much colder air will quickly pour across
the region during the first half of Monday night in the wake of
strong cold FROPA. 850Ts dropping down to around -12C/-13C is plenty
sufficient to generate a response off the lakes. A general westerly
low level flow will dominate, with WNW to WSW oscillations through
Tuesday. A lack of overall synoptic moisture and band oscillation
will be large factors in keeping snow amounts relatively tame in
any one location.

Off Lake Erie, a band of lake effect snow will be located across
southern Erie, Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties during the first
half of Monday night, before a slight wind shift from 260 to 270
degrees and drier air working in from the west will shift the band a
bit further south into Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties. The band
will lessen in intensity, but not before up to a few inches of snow
falls in these areas. Expecting just mainly scattered lake effect
snow showers east of the Lake on Tuesday. Winds briefly shift to
more of a 250 degree direction Tuesday evening, with a brief window
of more favorable conditions possibly producing a short-lived band
of lake effect snow across far southern Erie, northern Chautauqua
and northwestern Cattaraugus counties possibly producing a quick 1-2
inches. Inversion heights quickly lower during the second half of
Tuesday night as drier air associated with high pressure moves into
western NY.

Off Lake Ontario, a bit better setup here, mainly just due to the
fact that some upstream connection with Lake Huron is likely.
Synoptic moisture will be lacking here as well. A band of lake
effect snow will quickly develop east of Lake Ontario Monday evening
on a 260-270 flow, before veering to more of a 280-290 flow for the
second half of the night. This will shift the band from portions of
Jefferson, Lewis and Oswego counties (centered on the Tug Hill), a
bit further south across northern Oswego and southern Lewis
counties. This will keep accumulations to no more than a few inches
at any one given location. A brief connection with Huron sets up
Tuesday morning with a decent convergent band setting up ESE of the
Lake possibly producing a quick few inches across far northern
Cayuga and Oswego counties. Winds quickly shift to more of a 250-260
direction for the second half of Tuesday, swinging the band back
north across the Tug Hill and the southern Half of Jefferson County
where it may produce an additional couple inches of accumulation
Tuesday afternoon/evening before tapering off here as well.

Shortwave departs and high pressure briefly builds across the area
Tuesday night, effectively shutting down any organized lake effect.
That said, there may still be some lingering scattered lake snow
showers east of both Lakes through the overnight with spotty minor
accums possible.

System that was set to impact our area on Wednesday continues to
trend further southeast/east of our area, which means the likelihood
for a widespread light accumulating snowfall continues to be less
and less (PoPs now capped at low to mid chance). That said, an upper
level trough remains progged to cross the region, which will still
have the potential to produce some scattered snow showers across
western and northcentral NY. System departs Wednesday night, leaving
a northerly low level flow of cold, but dry air crossing over Lake
Ontario which may produce a few lake effect snow showers south of
the Lake. If nothing else, will keep cloud cover intact across areas
south of Lake Ontario.

Otherwise, temperatures will remain below climatological norms
through the period. Daytime highs Tuesday and Wednesday will
generally be in the mid to upper 20s across the higher terrain, with
low 30s elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Upper level ridge axis along with corresponding surface high
pressure will slide east across the area Thursday. At first this
will result in the last of the lake effect showers south of Lake
Ontario to peter out, before becoming a rather quiet day for the
remainder of the day. Additionally, the passing of the upper level
ridge will mark a period of warming heading into the weekend.

Meanwhile Thursday, far to the west of New York State, the next
longwave trough will extend southward across the western Central
Plains. Thursday night, a subtle shortwave will rotate through the
longwave trough, and send a ripple of lowering heights and
corresponding warm frontal boundary across the Great Lakes and
southern Ontario Canada. The warm front will sweep across the area
from southwest to northeast Thursday night through Friday morning,
with a mix of rain and snow across the Lake Plains and mostly snow
across the higher elevations. Then, a brief period of dry weather
late Friday afternoon into Friday evening as the region will lie
between the exiting front and the next incoming system.

Speaking of which, the next shortwave will begin to round the
aforementioned longwave trough Friday, where it will deepen,
elongate and sharpen the overall longwave trough across the western
Central Plains, before pushing eastward across the Central Plains
Saturday and eventually overhead of the region Sunday. In the
meantime, the upper air pattern previously described will support a
Colorado Low to form Thursday night before tracking east-northeast
towards the Great Lakes Friday and reaching the Great Lakes Friday
night. From here it will continue on its northeastward track as it
heads towards southern Quebec by Sunday. As this system passes
overhead, expect much of the precipitation to fall in the form of
rain as 850mb temperatures warm to around +5C by Friday evening.
However as the system exits, a pool of cold air (around -6C at
850mb) will fill in behind it, which will support the last of the
showers to have a mix of rain and snow.

All this being said, there are stark differences in the track of the
Colorado Low between 12Z model guidance packages. Both the ECMWF and
Canadian track the surface low across the Upper/Central Great Lakes,
whereas the GFS tracks this low across the Lower Great Lakes. A
southern track will equate to wetter solution for the region.
Overall the forecast resembles a middle ground between the two
solutions with precipitation likely next weekend. Will have to
continue to keep an eye on this system as time advances, so stay
tuned.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Strong low pressure will then move from the Upper Great Lakes
overnight to Quebec on Monday, producing several rounds of rain
showers. A few of the heavier rain showers will reduce VSBY to
MVFR at times. Areas of MVFR CIGS, with IFR across higher
terrain, will develop later tonight through Tuesday morning.
Downslope winds may aid in keeping the lake plains VFR tonight,
including most of the TAF sites. A cold front will then sweep
east across the area Monday, with the lower elevations improving
to VFR later in the day, and MVFR for higher terrain.

A strong southerly low level jet across the region overnight,
producing strong winds in downslope areas with surface gusts of
25- 35 knots areawide, and 40-50+ knots in downslope areas such
as the Lake Erie shore, Finger Lakes valleys, and northern
slopes of the Tug Hill Plateau. In areas where surface winds are
not as strong, low level wind shear will occur. There will be a
brief lull in winds Monday morning, then west-southwest winds
will increase from midday through the afternoon behind the cold
front. Gusts of 40-45 knots are expected northeast of Lake Erie
and along the Lake Ontario shore, with 30-40 knots farther
inland.

Outlook...

Monday night and Tuesday...Local IFR in lake effect snow east of the
lakes, otherwise mainly VFR.
Wednesday...MVFR/IFR. Light snow likely.
Thursday...VFR.
Friday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of rain/snow showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Overnight and Monday, deepening strong low pressure will pass
by to our west and north bringing gales to both lakes Monday
into Monday night. This is supported by strong wind fields and
good post-frontal mixing, with winds sustained winds expected to
reach 35 knots on Lake Erie and 40 knots on Lake Ontario at
times. Gale Warnings are up for both lakes, with Small Craft
Advisories for the Upper and Lower Niagara River, and Saint
Lawrence River. Winds will diminish late Monday night and
Tuesday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WSW gales to 40 knots Monday and Monday night will produce
significant wave action on Lake Ontario. Strong onshore winds
and wave action may produce minor lakeshore flooding along the
Lake Ontario shore of Jefferson and Oswego counties, where a
Lakeshore Flood Warning is in effect.

Strong winds may also produce a seiche on Lake Erie, but winds
will not quite as strong. A recent event with gales to 35 knots
caused levels to rise to 5.5 ft. Winds slightly stronger with
this system, with LEOFS forecasts of around 6.5 ft seeming
reasonable. This will produce shoreline erosion, and may produce
some spray across Route 5 in Hamburg, but significant impacts
are not expected.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...High Wind Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for NYZ014-019-
     085.
     Lakeshore Flood Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM EST
     this evening for NYZ010-019-085.
     High Wind Warning until 1 AM EST Tuesday for NYZ007.
     Lakeshore Flood Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST
     Tuesday for NYZ006-007.
     Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Tuesday for
     NYZ004>006.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for NYZ001>003-
     010>012.
     High Wind Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for NYZ008.
     Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NYZ013-020-021.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Tuesday for LEZ020.
         Gale Warning from 10 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Tuesday
         for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Tuesday for
         LOZ030.
         Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Tuesday
         for LOZ043>045-063>065.
         Gale Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Tuesday
         for LOZ042-062.
         Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 1 AM
         EST Tuesday for SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock
NEAR TERM...Apffel/Hitchcock/RSH
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...EAJ
AVIATION...Apffel/Hitchcock
MARINE...Hitchcock
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Apffel/Hitchcock
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 5, 10:42 PM EST, 4 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

NYZ013-020-021-070345-
Livingston-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>003-011-012-070345-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-005-070345-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-085-070345-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-070345-
Northern Erie-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lakeshore Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ014-070345-
Ontario-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ008-070345-
Lewis-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

Accumulating lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Ontario
Monday night into Tuesday, with several inches expected on the Tug
Hill Plateau.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-070345-
Jefferson-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

Accumulating lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Ontario
Monday night into Tuesday, with several inches expected on the Tug
Hill Plateau.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-070345-
Oswego-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

Accumulating lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Ontario
Monday night into Tuesday, with several inches expected on the Tug
Hill Plateau.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-070345-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042-062-070345-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ043>045-063>065-070345-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-070345-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-070345-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
1042 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 6, 5:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming58 min

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2021Every winter weather advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.