Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2021, 3:31 PM EDT for Allegany County, Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York; 26 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 7, 2021, 3:31 PM EDT (19:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 7, 2021, 11:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
All 29 counties
Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Potter County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 3:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Washington | 24 min |
| Jul 7, 3:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Armstrong, Butler, Westmoreland | 30 min |
| Jul 7, 3:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny | 37 min |
| Jul 7, 4:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Butler | 29 min |
| Jul 7, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria, Somerset | 47 min |
| Jul 7, 4:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Beaver, Lawrence | 39 min |
| Jul 7, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Butler, Clarion | 32 min |
| Jul 7, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Indiana, Jefferson | 27 min |
| Jul 7, 4:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Butler, Clarion, Venango | 25 min |
| Jul 7, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana, Westmoreland | 13 min |
| Jul 7, 4:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria | 61 min |
| Jul 7, 4:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Butler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango | 47 min |
| Jul 7, 4:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Clarion, Jefferson | 31 min |
| Jul 7, 5:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Indiana, Jefferson | 29 min |
| Jul 7, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Clarion, Forest, Jefferson | 24 min |
| Jul 7, 5:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | McKean, Warren | 53 min |
| Jul 7, 5:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair | 41 min |
| Jul 7, 5:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Mercer, Venango | 25 min |
| Jul 7, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Clarion, Forest, Jefferson | 51 min |
| Jul 7, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair | 25 min |
| Jul 7, 5:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Huntingdon | 57 min |
| Jul 7, 5:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | McKean | 65 min |
| Jul 7, 6:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clearfield, Huntingdon | 48 min |
| Jul 7, 6:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Warren | 61 min |
| Jul 7, 6:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clearfield, Clinton, Mifflin | 39 min |
| Jul 7, 6:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | McKean, Potter | 77 min |
| Jul 7, 6:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 58 min |
| Jul 7, 6:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Mifflin, Snyder, Union | 49 min |
| Jul 7, 7:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany | 57 min |
| Jul 7, 7:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Juniata, Mifflin, Snyder | 36 min |
| Jul 7, 7:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany | 33 min |
| Jul 7, 7:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Washington | 26 min |
| Jul 7, 7:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clinton, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Union | 44 min |
| Jul 7, 8:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana, Westmoreland | 36 min |
| Jul 7, 8:39 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BUF | Allegany | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 8:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria, Somerset | 65 min |
| Jul 7, 8:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana, Westmoreland | 34 min |
| Jul 7, 9:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Cambria | 44 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 505 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -47 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1230 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
592 WWUS20 KWNS 071928 SEL5 SPC WW 071928 NYZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-080300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 345 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest New York Eastern Ohio Western and Central Pennsylvania Far northern West Virginia * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of storms will continue to develop/intensify as they move east-northeastward across the region through late afternoon into evening. Damaging winds are the primary concern. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of Youngstown OH to 40 miles northeast of State College PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 342...WW 343...WW 344... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 22020. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 1:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Bronx, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene and 18 more | 115 min |
| Jul 7, 2:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Albany, Bronx, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia and 23 more | 10 hr |
| Jul 7, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Bronx, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia and 21 more | 87 min |
| Jul 7, 7:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Chemung, Chenango and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 1:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Crawford, Erie | 7 hr |
| Jul 7, 3:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Erie | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.