Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345

July 7, 2021Allegany County, Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York; 26 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2021, 3:31 PM EDT for Allegany County, Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York; 26 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2021, 3:31 PM EDT (19:31 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2021, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 29 counties

Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Potter County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 3:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Washington24 min
Jul 7, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Armstrong, Butler, Westmoreland30 min
Jul 7, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny37 min
Jul 7, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZButler29 min
Jul 7, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria, Somerset47 min
Jul 7, 4:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBeaver, Lawrence39 min
Jul 7, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Butler, Clarion32 min
Jul 7, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Indiana, Jefferson27 min
Jul 7, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Butler, Clarion, Venango25 min
Jul 7, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana, Westmoreland13 min
Jul 7, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria61 min
Jul 7, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZButler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango47 min
Jul 7, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Clarion, Jefferson31 min
Jul 7, 5:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Indiana, Jefferson29 min
Jul 7, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZClarion, Forest, Jefferson24 min
Jul 7, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean, Warren53 min
Jul 7, 5:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair41 min
Jul 7, 5:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZMercer, Venango25 min
Jul 7, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZClarion, Forest, Jefferson51 min
Jul 7, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair25 min
Jul 7, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Huntingdon57 min
Jul 7, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean65 min
Jul 7, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clearfield, Huntingdon48 min
Jul 7, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPWarren61 min
Jul 7, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clearfield, Clinton, Mifflin39 min
Jul 7, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean, Potter77 min
Jul 7, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua58 min
Jul 7, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Mifflin, Snyder, Union49 min
Jul 7, 7:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany57 min
Jul 7, 7:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPJuniata, Mifflin, Snyder36 min
Jul 7, 7:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany33 min
Jul 7, 7:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Washington26 min
Jul 7, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClinton, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Union44 min
Jul 7, 8:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana, Westmoreland36 min
Jul 7, 8:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFAllegany3 hr
Jul 7, 8:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria, Somerset65 min
Jul 7, 8:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana, Westmoreland34 min
Jul 7, 9:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Cambria44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 505 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
505 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1230 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

592 
WWUS20 KWNS 071928
SEL5  
SPC WW 071928
NYZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-080300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 345
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest New York
  Eastern Ohio
  Western and Central Pennsylvania
  Far northern West Virginia

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM
  until 1100 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of storms will continue to
develop/intensify as they move east-northeastward across the region
through late afternoon into evening. Damaging winds are the primary
concern.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of
Youngstown OH to 40 miles northeast of State College PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 342...WW 343...WW 344...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
22020.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 1:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Bronx, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene and 18 more115 min
Jul 7, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Bronx, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia and 23 more10 hr
Jul 7, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Bronx, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia and 21 more87 min
Jul 7, 7:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Chemung, Chenango and 14 more2 hr
Jul 7, 1:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Erie7 hr
Jul 7, 3:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Erie91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.