Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 344
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2021, 2:41 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 7, 2021, 2:41 PM EDT (18:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 8, 2021, 1:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 86 counties
Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Bronx County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Greene County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
52 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Greene, Rensselaer | 32 min |
| Jul 7, 3:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Berkshire | 13 min |
| Jul 7, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Columbia, Greene | 31 min |
| Jul 7, 3:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Berkshire | 67 min |
| Jul 7, 4:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Capitol Planning Region | 60 min |
| Jul 7, 4:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Berkshire | 15 min |
| Jul 7, 4:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Franklin, Hampshire | 59 min |
| Jul 7, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Northwest Hills Planning Region | 59 min |
| Jul 7, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Essex, Middlesex | 57 min |
| Jul 7, 4:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Northwest Hills Planning Region | 31 min |
| Jul 7, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Capitol Planning Region | 55 min |
| Jul 7, 5:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware, Otsego | 47 min |
| Jul 7, 5:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester | 54 min |
| Jul 7, 5:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Northwest Hills Planning Region | 49 min |
| Jul 7, 5:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 60 min |
| Jul 7, 5:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware | 20 min |
| Jul 7, 5:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Schoharie | 48 min |
| Jul 7, 5:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 47 min |
| Jul 7, 5:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango | 40 min |
| Jul 7, 6:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Schuyler, Tioga, Tompkins | 45 min |
| Jul 7, 6:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Rensselaer | 39 min |
| Jul 7, 6:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Otsego | 50 min |
| Jul 7, 6:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 58 min |
| Jul 7, 6:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Middlesex, Worcester | 36 min |
| Jul 7, 6:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Schoharie | 54 min |
| Jul 7, 6:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Schuyler, Steuben | 44 min |
| Jul 7, 6:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Schoharie | 70 min |
| Jul 7, 6:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 43 min |
| Jul 7, 6:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Berkshire | 27 min |
| Jul 7, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Bristol, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk | 61 min |
| Jul 7, 7:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Otsego | 33 min |
| Jul 7, 7:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 51 min |
| Jul 7, 7:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clinton, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Union | 44 min |
| Jul 7, 7:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Norfolk, Plymouth | 25 min |
| Jul 7, 8:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Tioga | 56 min |
| Jul 7, 8:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Steuben | 38 min |
| Jul 7, 8:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan, Tioga | 48 min |
| Jul 7, 8:21 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Steuben | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 8:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Tioga | 39 min |
| Jul 7, 8:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Northwest Hills Planning Region | 67 min |
| Jul 7, 8:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region | 35 min |
| Jul 7, 8:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Steuben, Tioga | 67 min |
| Jul 7, 8:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Sullivan | 28 min |
| Jul 7, 8:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Bradford, Luzerne, Susquehanna, Wyoming | 40 min |
| Jul 7, 9:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Tioga | 66 min |
| Jul 7, 10:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego, Tioga | 54 min |
| Jul 7, 10:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware, Sullivan | 76 min |
| Jul 7, 10:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Delaware, Otsego | 64 min |
| Jul 7, 11:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Ulster | 58 min |
| Jul 7, 11:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Herkimer, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie | 55 min |
| Jul 8, 12:00 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Rensselaer, Schoharie and 1 more | 60 min |
| Jul 8, 12:01 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Northwest Hills Planning Region | 59 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 568 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -83 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 901 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 79 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 109 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted.
850 WWUS20 KWNS 071837 SEL4 SPC WW 071837 CTZ000-MAZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-RIZ000-CWZ000-080300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 344 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 235 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Massachusetts Northern and central New Jersey Southern New York Eastern Pennsylvania Rhode Island Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop and intensify near a front across southern New York into southern New England as well as within a hot/unstable air mass to the south across other parts of the region. Storms are likely to linearly organize through late afternoon/early evening as they spread east-southeastward, potentially impacting larger population areas including Boston/New York City. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southeast of Boston MA to 20 miles west of Williamsport PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 342...WW 343... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 1:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min | |
| Jul 7, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min | |
| Jul 7, 7:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr | |
| Jul 7, 3:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 7 hr |
| Jul 7, 1:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Crawford, Erie | 7 hr |
| Jul 7, 3:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Erie | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.