Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 343

July 7, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2021, 1:31 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2021, 1:31 PM EDT (17:31 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2021, 8:42 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 68 counties

Allen County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Noble County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Barry County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Henry County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Portage County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 1:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClinton13 min
Jul 7, 1:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEHolmes, Stark, Summit, Wayne41 min
Jul 7, 1:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXShiawassee41 min
Jul 7, 2:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshland, Lorain, Medina, Wayne54 min
Jul 7, 2:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Jackson38 min
Jul 7, 2:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEHancock, Wood38 min
Jul 7, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMonroe50 min
Jul 7, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHenry, Putnam17 min
Jul 7, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEHancock, Seneca, Wyandot23 min
Jul 7, 2:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLapeer, Oakland58 min
Jul 7, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland46 min
Jul 7, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson77 min
Jul 7, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaint Clair65 min
Jul 7, 3:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLESandusky, Seneca19 min
Jul 7, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMacomb49 min
Jul 7, 3:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston, Washtenaw67 min
Jul 7, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECuyahoga, Lorain61 min
Jul 7, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaint Clair30 min
Jul 7, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland57 min
Jul 7, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECrawford, Huron, Richland37 min
Jul 7, 4:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Williams52 min
Jul 7, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshland, Huron, Lorain, Richland46 min
Jul 7, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun24 min
Jul 7, 5:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMacomb51 min
Jul 7, 5:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRIngham27 min
Jul 7, 5:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECrawford40 min
Jul 7, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen51 min
Jul 7, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECuyahoga, Medina, Summit31 min
Jul 7, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDefiance, Fulton, Henry22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 48 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1092 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 54 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1092 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
779 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

123 
WWUS20 KWNS 071727
SEL3  
SPC WW 071727
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-LEZ000-080100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 343
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Indiana
  Lower Michigan
  Northern Ohio
  Northwest Pennsylvania
  Lake Erie

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 130 PM
  until 900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will develop and increase
across the region this afternoon, including areas near a front
across Lower Michigan where a few supercells including some hail and
possibly a tornado could occur aside from damaging winds. Multicells
capable of damaging winds are otherwise expected to be common across
the remainder of the region.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of
Kalamazoo MI to 5 miles east of Erie PA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 342...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 12:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Huntington, LaGrange and 4 more83 min
Jul 7, 3:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, LaPorte, Newton, Porter and 4 more88 min
Jul 7, 3:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben91 min
Jul 7, 3:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarroll, Columbiana7 hr
Jul 7, 1:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLackawanna, Monroe, Northampton, Pike, Wayne115 min
Jul 7, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBerks, Bradford, Bucks, Carbon, Columbia, Lackawanna and 15 more10 hr
Jul 7, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerks, Bradford, Bucks, Carbon, Columbia, Lackawanna and 15 more87 min
Jul 7, 7:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradford, Cameron, Carbon, Centre, Clinton, Columbia and 16 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.