Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 343
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2021, 1:31 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 7, 2021, 1:31 PM EDT (17:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 7, 2021, 8:42 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
All 68 counties
Allen County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Noble County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Barry County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Henry County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Portage County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA
The radar
The Detroit radar (KDTX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 1:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Clinton | 13 min |
| Jul 7, 1:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Holmes, Stark, Summit, Wayne | 41 min |
| Jul 7, 1:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Shiawassee | 41 min |
| Jul 7, 2:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashland, Lorain, Medina, Wayne | 54 min |
| Jul 7, 2:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Calhoun, Jackson | 38 min |
| Jul 7, 2:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Hancock, Wood | 38 min |
| Jul 7, 2:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Monroe | 50 min |
| Jul 7, 2:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Henry, Putnam | 17 min |
| Jul 7, 2:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Hancock, Seneca, Wyandot | 23 min |
| Jul 7, 2:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Lapeer, Oakland | 58 min |
| Jul 7, 2:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Oakland | 46 min |
| Jul 7, 2:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Calhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson | 77 min |
| Jul 7, 3:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Saint Clair | 65 min |
| Jul 7, 3:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Sandusky, Seneca | 19 min |
| Jul 7, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Macomb | 49 min |
| Jul 7, 3:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Livingston, Washtenaw | 67 min |
| Jul 7, 3:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Cuyahoga, Lorain | 61 min |
| Jul 7, 4:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Saint Clair | 30 min |
| Jul 7, 4:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Oakland | 57 min |
| Jul 7, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford, Huron, Richland | 37 min |
| Jul 7, 4:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Defiance, Fulton, Henry, Williams | 52 min |
| Jul 7, 4:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashland, Huron, Lorain, Richland | 46 min |
| Jul 7, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Calhoun | 24 min |
| Jul 7, 5:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Macomb | 51 min |
| Jul 7, 5:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Ingham | 27 min |
| Jul 7, 5:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford | 40 min |
| Jul 7, 5:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Allen | 51 min |
| Jul 7, 6:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Cuyahoga, Medina, Summit | 31 min |
| Jul 7, 6:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Defiance, Fulton, Henry | 22 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 48 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1092 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -19 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 779 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
The text
As transmitted.
123 WWUS20 KWNS 071727 SEL3 SPC WW 071727 INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-LEZ000-080100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 343 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 130 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Indiana Lower Michigan Northern Ohio Northwest Pennsylvania Lake Erie * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will develop and increase across the region this afternoon, including areas near a front across Lower Michigan where a few supercells including some hail and possibly a tornado could occur aside from damaging winds. Multicells capable of damaging winds are otherwise expected to be common across the remainder of the region. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of Kalamazoo MI to 5 miles east of Erie PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 342... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 12:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Huntington, LaGrange and 4 more | 83 min |
| Jul 7, 3:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Jasper, Lake, LaPorte, Newton, Porter and 4 more | 88 min |
| Jul 7, 3:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben | 91 min |
| Jul 7, 3:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Carroll, Columbiana | 7 hr |
| Jul 7, 1:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lackawanna, Monroe, Northampton, Pike, Wayne | 115 min |
| Jul 7, 2:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Berks, Bradford, Bucks, Carbon, Columbia, Lackawanna and 15 more | 10 hr |
| Jul 7, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berks, Bradford, Bucks, Carbon, Columbia, Lackawanna and 15 more | 87 min |
| Jul 7, 7:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Cameron, Carbon, Centre, Clinton, Columbia and 16 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.