Alert archive / Kentucky / Estill County
Weather alerts in Estill County, Kentucky, 2011
189 weather alerts in 2011, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Estill County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2011. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 189
- Warnings
- 47
- Watches
- 28
- Advisories
- 79
- Busiest month
- April71 alerts
- Busiest day
- April 9, 201111 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 1 tornado warnings covering Estill County in 2011 had a tornado report inside them.
Estill County, 2011
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 31 | 25 | 19% | 19 | 74% | 15 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 1 | 50% | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2011
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Jackson, KY: tornado warnings | 36 | 5 | 86% | 6 | 100% | 17 min |
| NWS Jackson, KY: severe thunderstorm warnings | 288 | 175 | 39% | 555 | 70% | 21 min |
| NWS Jackson, KY: flash flood warnings | 52 | 17 | 67% | 62 | 60% | 87 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 4:01 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 56 hr |
| Jan 10, 5:25 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 62 hr |
| Jan 19, 4:09 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 32 hr |
| Jan 20, 11:48 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 8 hr |
| Jan 24, 3:00 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | JKL | 25 hr |
| Jan 25, 3:42 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 24 hr |
| Feb 1, 3:48 AM EST | Wind Advisory | JKL | 30 hr |
| Feb 2, 9:37 AM EST | Lake Wind Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Feb 9, 3:15 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 24 hr |
| Feb 23, 4:08 AM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 48 hr |
| Feb 24, 9:26 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Feb 24, 3:45 PM EST | Lake Wind Advisory | JKL | 21 hr |
| Feb 25, 12:48 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Feb 25, 5:07 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 52 hr |
| Feb 25, 5:07 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 50 hr |
| Feb 27, 11:46 AM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 28 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:31 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 29 min |
| Feb 28, 5:47 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:25 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 50 min |
| Feb 28, 7:15 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 45 min |
| Feb 28, 11:38 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 1:17 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 1:53 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 47 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:34 PM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 36 hr |
| Mar 2, 5:12 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 35 hr |
| Mar 4, 3:20 PM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 43 hr |
| Mar 6, 12:10 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 65 hr |
| Mar 6, 2:28 PM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 25 hr |
| Mar 7, 3:49 PM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 48 hr |
| Mar 8, 11:05 AM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 15 min |
| Mar 10, 10:28 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 68 hr |
| Mar 23, 12:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Mar 23, 1:13 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Mar 23, 3:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Mar 23, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 33 min |
| Apr 2, 7:19 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Apr 2, 12:47 PM EDT | Lake Wind Advisory | JKL | 5 hr |
| Apr 2, 3:58 PM EDT | Red Flag Warning | JKL | 28 hr |
| Apr 2, 4:20 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 51 hr |
| Apr 3, 8:06 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 23 hr |
| Apr 4, 2:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| Apr 4, 3:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 4, 3:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 49 min |
| Apr 4, 4:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 49 min |
| Apr 4, 4:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 51 min |
| Apr 4, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 46 min |
| Apr 4, 6:39 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 94 min |
| Apr 5, 12:37 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 51 hr |
| Apr 5, 4:23 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 30 hr |
| Apr 6, 1:50 PM EDT | Red Flag Warning | JKL | 5 hr |
| Apr 8, 1:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Apr 8, 2:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Apr 8, 4:51 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Apr 8, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 31 min |
| Apr 8, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 46 min |
| Apr 8, 7:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Apr 8, 9:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 50 min |
| Apr 8, 10:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 42 min |
| Apr 8, 11:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 9, 7:41 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 9, 12:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Apr 9, 12:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Apr 9, 1:44 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | JKL | 31 min |
| Apr 9, 1:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 42 min |
| Apr 9, 1:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 47 min |
| Apr 9, 2:00 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 9, 2:20 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 hr |
| Apr 10, 4:01 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Apr 10, 5:51 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| Apr 11, 4:02 AM EDT | Lake Wind Advisory | JKL | 14 hr |
| Apr 11, 9:58 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| Apr 11, 12:20 PM EDT | Flood Watch | JKL | 27 hr |
| Apr 11, 12:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 36 min |
| Apr 11, 12:47 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 11, 3:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 61 min |
| Apr 12, 8:23 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 67 hr |
| Apr 12, 12:26 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 49 hr |
| Apr 14, 3:55 PM EDT | Lake Wind Advisory | JKL | 37 hr |
| Apr 16, 3:56 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Apr 16, 8:12 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 hr |
| Apr 16, 10:26 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 46 hr |
| Apr 16, 11:51 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 21 hr |
| Apr 17, 7:59 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 8 hr |
| Apr 17, 3:39 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 18 hr |
| Apr 18, 3:48 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | JKL | 15 hr |
| Apr 18, 8:47 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 28 hr |
| Apr 20, 12:56 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Apr 20, 1:59 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Apr 20, 2:49 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 26 min |
| Apr 22, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Apr 22, 6:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 33 min |
| Apr 22, 6:49 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 22, 10:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Apr 23, 7:15 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Apr 23, 7:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Apr 24, 4:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Apr 26, 4:10 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 36 hr |
| Apr 27, 8:34 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Apr 27, 9:16 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 44 min |
| Apr 27, 5:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 5:44 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 27, 7:29 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Apr 27, 9:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Apr 28, 12:03 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 54 hr |
| Apr 28, 7:00 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 54 hr |
| Apr 28, 4:06 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 22 hr |
| May 1, 5:02 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 30 min |
| May 3, 9:39 AM EDT | Flood Watch | JKL | 7 hr |
| May 4, 3:17 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| May 4, 4:37 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 34 hr |
| May 4, 2:23 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 19 hr |
| May 10, 11:21 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| May 10, 1:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 10, 2:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 60 min |
| May 20, 12:53 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 8 hr |
| May 22, 1:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| May 22, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 22, 4:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 61 min |
| May 23, 4:20 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| May 23, 6:22 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 23 min |
| May 23, 7:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| May 24, 7:01 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 26, 3:37 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 23 min |
| May 26, 4:01 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 29 min |
| May 26, 3:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| May 28, 5:24 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 4 hr |
| Jun 7, 2:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jun 9, 4:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 21 min |
| Jun 10, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 54 min |
| Jun 10, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 44 min |
| Jun 10, 5:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 31 min |
| Jun 11, 2:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 45 min |
| Jun 11, 3:32 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 2 hr |
| Jun 11, 11:48 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 9 hr |
| Jun 11, 11:48 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 9 hr |
| Jun 15, 12:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 23 min |
| Jun 20, 7:01 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Jun 20, 9:53 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jun 20, 9:07 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 29 hr |
| Jun 21, 7:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 47 min |
| Jun 23, 12:33 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jun 23, 1:37 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 23, 4:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jun 23, 7:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 33 min |
| Jun 26, 5:14 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Jun 27, 4:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jun 29, 2:50 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 4:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 45 min |
| Jul 8, 4:49 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 6 hr |
| Jul 11, 12:56 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | JKL | 29 hr |
| Jul 11, 5:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jul 11, 11:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Jul 12, 11:13 AM EDT | Excessive Heat Warning | JKL | 4 hr |
| Jul 12, 11:13 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Jul 19, 7:18 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | JKL | 3 hr |
| Jul 19, 10:31 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | JKL | 6 hr |
| Jul 20, 5:09 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | JKL | 23 hr |
| Jul 21, 4:06 AM EDT | Excessive Heat Warning | JKL | 4 days |
| Jul 28, 7:39 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | JKL | 36 hr |
| Jul 30, 1:18 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 2:03 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 3:08 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Aug 3, 9:51 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 39 min |
| Aug 3, 10:01 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Aug 5, 10:05 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | JKL | 4 hr |
| Aug 8, 2:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 25 min |
| Aug 13, 6:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Aug 13, 8:20 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | JKL | 4 hr |
| Aug 14, 10:17 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 9 hr |
| Aug 20, 7:33 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 2 hr |
| Sep 2, 10:20 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | JKL | 33 hr |
| Sep 23, 10:51 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 11 hr |
| Sep 26, 10:50 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 11 hr |
| Oct 1, 3:43 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| Oct 2, 3:47 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| Oct 15, 11:08 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | JKL | 3 hr |
| Oct 16, 1:58 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | JKL | 17 hr |
| Oct 16, 2:09 AM EDT | Lake Wind Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| Oct 21, 4:35 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 28 hr |
| Oct 22, 4:16 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 29 hr |
| Nov 12, 3:10 PM EST | Lake Wind Advisory | JKL | 26 hr |
| Nov 17, 9:52 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 13 hr |
| Nov 24, 12:40 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 8 hr |
| Nov 27, 2:53 PM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 37 hr |
| Nov 28, 9:10 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 48 hr |
| Nov 28, 10:56 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 31 hr |
| Dec 8, 1:01 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 53 hr |
| Dec 23, 1:24 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 41 hr |
| Dec 27, 7:51 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 42 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 31 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 8 |
| Tornado Watch | 9 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 35 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 1 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 2 |
| River Flood Warning | 6 |
| Flash Flood Watch | 2 |
| Flood Watch | 7 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 14 |
| River Flood Advisory | 25 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Watch | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 6 |
| Heat | |
| Excessive Heat Warning | 2 |
| Heat Advisory | 6 |
| Cold | |
| Frost Advisory | 5 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Lake Wind Advisory | 7 |
| Wind Advisory | 3 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 4 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 13 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20102012
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.