Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Jackson, KY

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY

155 
WGUS63 KJKL 270258 AAA
FFAJKL

FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1058 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...EXCESSIVE RAINS ARE POSSIBLE FROM MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY...AND POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE...RAINS TO
EAST KENTUCKY FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
GREATEST THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA WHERE UP TO THREE INCHES WILL FALL DURING THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...EVEN FURTHER EAST WHERE AROUND AN INCH AND A HALF OF
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE
HEAVY NATURE OF THE RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS...
PARTICULARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-271000-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.A.0002.110427T0800Z-110428T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
1058 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...BATH...ELLIOTT...
  ESTILL...FLEMING...MENIFEE...MONTGOMERY...POWELL AND ROWAN. IN 
  NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...JOHNSON AND MARTIN. IN SOUTH CENTRAL 
  KENTUCKY...LAUREL...MCCREARY...PULASKI...ROCKCASTLE...WAYNE 
  AND WHITLEY. IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...BELL...BREATHITT...CLAY...
  FLOYD...HARLAN...JACKSON...KNOTT...KNOX...LEE...LESLIE...
  LETCHER...MAGOFFIN...MORGAN...OWSLEY...PERRY...PIKE AND WOLFE.

* FROM 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ARE 
  ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE AREA FROM LATE TUESDAY TONIGHT THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH 
  ANY THUNDERSTORM...AND A POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING STORMS...WILL 
  MEAN A POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE AREA. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND 
  STREAMS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN 
  MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

GRIEF/JP

407 
WGUS63 KJKL 270947
FFAJKL

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
547 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...EXCESSIVE RAINS ARE POSSIBLE FROM MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY...AND POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE...RAINS TO
EAST KENTUCKY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE TWO TO
THREE INCHES WILL FALL DURING THIS TIME. HOWEVER...EVEN FURTHER 
EAST WHERE AROUND AN INCH AND A HALF OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE RAINS
ASSOCIATED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS...PARTICULARLY THIS EVENING.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-271800-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110428T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
547 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...BATH...ELLIOTT...
  ESTILL...FLEMING...MENIFEE...MONTGOMERY...POWELL AND ROWAN. IN 
  NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...JOHNSON AND MARTIN. IN SOUTH CENTRAL 
  KENTUCKY...LAUREL...MCCREARY...PULASKI...ROCKCASTLE...WAYNE 
  AND WHITLEY. IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...BELL...BREATHITT...CLAY...
  FLOYD...HARLAN...JACKSON...KNOTT...KNOX...LEE...LESLIE...
  LETCHER...MAGOFFIN...MORGAN...OWSLEY...PERRY...PIKE AND WOLFE.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED
  ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE
  RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM...AND A POTENTIAL FOR
  TRAINING STORMS...WILL MEAN A POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING
  THROUGHOUT THE AREA.

* HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
  PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

GREIF/GEOGERIAN

439 
WGUS63 KJKL 271630 AAA
FFAJKL

FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...EXCESSIVE RAINS ARE POSSIBLE FROM MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT...

.SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL BRING HEAVY...AND POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE...RAINS TO EAST KENTUCKY
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE TWO TO THREE INCHES WILL FALL
DURING THIS TIME. HOWEVER...EVEN FURTHER EAST WHERE UP TO AN INCH AND
A HALF OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE
TO THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS...PARTICULARLY THIS EVENING.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-280030-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110428T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
1230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...BATH...ELLIOTT...
  ESTILL...FLEMING...MENIFEE...MONTGOMERY...POWELL AND ROWAN. IN 
  NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...JOHNSON AND MARTIN. IN SOUTH CENTRAL 
  KENTUCKY...LAUREL...MCCREARY...PULASKI...ROCKCASTLE...WAYNE 
  AND WHITLEY. IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...BELL...BREATHITT...CLAY...
  FLOYD...HARLAN...JACKSON...KNOTT...KNOX...LEE...LESLIE...
  LETCHER...MAGOFFIN...MORGAN...OWSLEY...PERRY...PIKE AND WOLFE.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED
  ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE RAINS
  ASSOCIATED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM...AND A POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING
  STORMS...WILL MEAN A POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE
  AREA.

* HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS
  THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF
  WATER ON AREA ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

GREIF

541 
WGUS63 KJKL 280025
FFAJKL

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
825 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...EXCESSIVE RAINS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY...AND POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE...RAINS TO
EAST KENTUCKY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE TWO TO
THREE INCHES WILL FALL DURING THIS TIME. HOWEVER...EVEN FURTHER
EAST WHERE UP TO AN INCH AND A HALF OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE
RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS...PARTICULARLY THIS
EVENING.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-280800-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110428T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
825 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTH 
  CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...BATH...ELLIOTT...
  ESTILL...FLEMING...MENIFEE...MONTGOMERY...POWELL AND ROWAN. IN 
  NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...JOHNSON AND MARTIN. IN SOUTH CENTRAL 
  KENTUCKY...LAUREL...MCCREARY...PULASKI...ROCKCASTLE...WAYNE 
  AND WHITLEY. IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...BELL...BREATHITT...CLAY...
  FLOYD...HARLAN...JACKSON...KNOTT...KNOX...LEE...LESLIE...
  LETCHER...MAGOFFIN...MORGAN...OWSLEY...PERRY...PIKE AND WOLFE.

* UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ARE 
  ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVY NATURE 
  OF THE RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM...AND A 
  POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING STORMS...WILL MEAN A POSSIBILITY FOR 
  FLASH FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE AREA. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND 
  STREAMS THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT 
  PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

GREIF

349 
WGUS63 KJKL 280743
FFAJKL

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
343 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

.THE LARGE SWATH OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED THE HEAVY
RAINFALL ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA
AND THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-280845-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110428T1000Z/
/00000.0.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
343 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
KENTUCKY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL HAVE EXITED THE AREA. SOME LINGERING SHOWERS
WILL LINGER THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING BUT FURTHER IMPACT TO AREA
STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

SHALLENBERGER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
335 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED

18Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE NORTHWARD MOVING LOW NOW OVER SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. THE COLD FRONT FROM THIS IS STILL WEST OF KENTUCKY WITH
ITS WARM FRONT STRETCHED EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. THIS HAS
PLACED EAST KENTUCKY IN ITS LARGE WARM SECTOR...A WARM SECTOR THAT
WOULD HAVE BEEN RIPE WITH POTENTIAL FOR OUR AREA IF A DETERMINED
BATCH OF STRATIFORM RAIN HAD NOT PUSHED STEADILY EAST THROUGH THE CWA
RIGHT AT PEAK HEATING. AS SUCH...THE STORMS THAT MANAGED TO DEVELOP
IN THE UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF THE RAIN BAND HAVE BEEN ABLE TO BECOME
STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL THE MAIN CONCERN. TEMPERATURES
MADE IT TO THE LOW 80S OVER FAR EAST KENTUCKY WHERE JUST THIN HIGH
CLOUDS PREVENTED THEM FROM GETTING EVEN WARMER AND MORE UNSTABLE. IT
DOES SEEM THAT THE AREA IS IN THE PROCESS OF DODGING A SEVERE WEATHER
BULLET THANKS TO THE DETERMINED PROGRESSION OF THE COOLING RAINS.

THE MODELS HAVE NOT QUITE COME TO A CONSENSUS WITH THE UPPER LEVEL
FEATURES OF THE BACK TO BACK NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGHS THAT WILL
SWEEP THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE FIRST
OF THESE IS LIFTING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH ONLY MINOR MODEL
DIFFERENCES. AFTER BRIEF RIDGING IN ITS WAKE THIS EVENING...ENERGY
FROM THE NEXT WAVE WILL QUICKLY STREAM INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ITS TRAILING CORE WILL PLOW THROUGH ARKANSAS AND
INTO THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY BY MIDDAY BEFORE PUSHING THROUGH
WESTERN KENTUCKY BY EVENING. THE NEGATIVELY TILTED NATURE OF THIS
TROUGH WILL COMBINE WITH A SIGNIFICANT JET STREAK TO GENERATE PLENTY
OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND LIFT OVER EAST KENTUCKY THROUGHOUT THE
DAY WEDNESDAY. THIS POTENT FEATURE FINALLY MOVES THROUGH EAST
KENTUCKY SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT LIKELY ENDING THE SEVERE THREAT. THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS EVENT IS HANDLED DIFFERENTLY BY EACH MODEL SO THAT
CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS FROM ANY SPECIFIC MODEL IS LOW...BUT TAKEN
TOGETHER THEY POINT TO A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER...
PERHAPS MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE FOLLOWED A
BLENDED SOLUTION FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE SHORT TERM...LEANING ON A
MODIFIED VERSION OF THE NAM12 FOR WEATHER SPECIFICS.

SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A GRADUAL DISSIPATION OF THE RAIN BAND
OVER THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. ITS
STABILIZING EFFECT SHOULD KEEP ORGANIZED STORMS AT BAY THIS EVENING
WITH JUST SCATTERED CONVECTION EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT.
HOWEVER...TOWARD DAWN THE ARRIVAL OF ENERGY IN THE UPPER LEVELS
SHOULD BE ABLE TO TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. DEPENDING ON HOW ROBUST THESE INITIAL STORMS
BECOME...THEY COULD SUSTAIN THEMSELVES INTO OUR AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. MORE LIKELY THEY WILL LEAVE BEHIND A BOUNDARY FOR ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY LATER IN THE DAY. THESE STORMS THAT RESULT WILL HAVE HIGH
HELICITY AND DECENT INSTABILITY TO GO ALONG WITH VERY FAVORABLE WIND
FIELDS ALOFT FOR ORGANIZING STORMS. ANTICIPATE A ROUND OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS CROSSING THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY A
BRIEF LULL. AS THE MAIN CORE OF ENERGY ALOFT APPROACHES...ANOTHER
ROUND OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST AND PUSH INTO THE
CWA DURING THE EVENING. A STRONG 850 JET CORE RIDING THROUGH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY DURING THE DAY WILL ADD PLENTY OF SHEAR TO THE STORMS IN
ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THOUGH...WITH A
VEERING WIND PROFILE IN PLACE...ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT DEVELOP
DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
CONTAIN STRONGLY ROTATING UPDRAFTS REPRESENTING A SIGNIFICANT...
CERTAINLY FOR EAST KENTUCKY...THREAT FOR TORNADOES. MODERATELY HIGH
PWS...THE THREAT OF MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS AND A POTENTIAL FOR
TRAINING CELLS WILL ALSO MEAN A CONCERN FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGHOUT
THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE NIGHT. ACCORDINGLY...WILL ISSUE A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE EXCESSIVE RAIN POTENTIAL FROM THE STRONG...AND
MULTIPLE...STORMS ANTICIPATED. FINALLY...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY DURING
THE DAY...BUT EXPECT THE BULK OF THE STRONGER GUSTS TO BE
ACCOMPANYING THE STORMS SO WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY WIND ADVISORIES. THE
STORMS WILL COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING
AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT FINALLY PUSHES THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY.

FOR TEMPERATURES...FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE INHERITED VALUES AND THE
ADJMET WITH LIMITED TERRAIN BASED ADJUSTMENTS. AS FOR POPS...HAVE
ENDED UP ON THE LOW SIDE OF GUIDANCE TONIGHT AND ABOVE MOS ON
WEDNESDAY...WHILE WAS SIMILAR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM.../THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...UPDATED

COOLER AND LESS ACTIVE WEATHER FINALLY RETURNS BY THURSDAY INTO THE
START OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY LATE NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...PROVIDING ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY UNSETTLED WEATHER.

OPTING TO KEEP THINGS DRY ON THURSDAY AS MOISTURE PEELS OUT OF EAST
KENTUCKY BY 12Z. CLOUDS WILL LIKELY HOLD TOUGH THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY...ALTHOUGH SOME BREAKS MAY BE POSSIBLE BY THE AFTERNOON. A FAST
MOVING SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY THURSDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH MOISTURE DOES NOT GET VERY DEEP WITH THIS SYSTEM...IT
WARRANTS AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT...
ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE UPSLOPE FLOW.

BY FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND PROVIDE A
FAIRLY PLEASANT END TO THE WEEK AND A NICE...DRY START TO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.

BY SATURDAY NIGHT...MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE A BIT ON THE TIMING OF
OUR NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE GFS IS ALREADY TRENDING SLOWER WITH
THE FRONT...AND THIS IS SOMETHING THAT TYPICALLY OCCURS IN THE
EXTENDED. THUS...GOING TO DELAY THE ARRIVAL OF POPS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. I REALLY LIKE THE TIMING OF THE FRONT IN THE
ECMWF...WAITING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY TO BRING THE
FRONT ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY. THUS...WILL RESERVE THE BETTER POPS
FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THERE COULD BE SOME ACTIVITY SNEAKING
INTO EAST KENTUCKY AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT...SO OPTING TO AT
LEAST KEEP SOME LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST.

GOING TO KEEP TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO GUIDANCE...WITH TEMPERATURES
SLOWLY WARMING THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/

A RELENTLESS BAND OF STRATIFORM RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD ALL THE TAF
SITES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND HELP TO REDUCE THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THANKS
TO THE COOLING BROUGHT ABOUT BY THE RAIN. WITHIN THIS BAND...CIGS
WILL LIKELY HOLD IN THE VFR RANGE BUT COULD BRIEFLY DIP TO
MVFR...WHILE VIS WILL ALSO BOUNCE BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR. AHEAD OF THIS
BAND IN FAR EAST KENTUCKY...A FEW STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY
WINDS IN ADDITION TO THE LOWER VIS...DOWN TO IFR. LATER TONIGHT...
SCATTERED STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS THE AREA JUST DUE TO OUR
POSITION IN THE WARM SECTOR AND LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES FROM THIS
CURRENT BAND OF RAIN. LLWS WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN AS THE SFC OF MUCH
OF THE AREA DECOUPLES OVERNIGHT WHILE STRONG SOUTH WINDS BLOW JUST
OFF THE SFC. THE MAIN THREAT FOR STORMS WILL BE THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ANTICIPATED IN THEIR MIDST. THE
TIMING FOR THESE ARE STILL IN QUESTION ENOUGH THAT IT WAS JUST LEFT
AS A VCTS IN THE TAFS. EXPECT THE TIMING AND EXTENT OF AVN RESTRICTIONS
FROM THUNDERSTORM TO BE BETTER DEFINED FOR WEDNESDAY WITH FORTHCOMING
TAF ISSUANCES.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...GREIF
LONG TERM...KAS
AVIATION...GREIF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
645 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-271100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
645 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME OF
THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BE SEVERE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...HOWEVER
LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. ADDITIONALLY...
THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY OCCURRENCES OF HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...OR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

GEOGERIAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1225 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-270400-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
1225 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY
FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

A COMPLEX AND STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EVENTUALLY PASS
THROUGH THE REGION...BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS...THOUGH...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE INITIAL ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING COULD BECOME STRONG WITH SEVERE WEATHER A POSSIBILITY.
THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE STORMS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED
OUT.

AS THE FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...CONDITIONS WILL
BECOME FAVORABLE FOR AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER. DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT FROM ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS...
HOWEVER LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY. THE MOST ORGANIZED STORMS COULD YIELD A SUSTAINED PATH
OF SEVERE WEATHER AS THEY TRACK THROUGH THE AREA.

IN ADDITION...THE FRONT...AND ANY STORMS THAT IT SPAWNS...WILL BE
SLOW TO MOVE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO A POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND THUS A POSSIBILITY OF
FLASH FLOODING.

BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS IN FAR EASTERN
KENTUCKY...AND HIGHER AMOUNTS WEST OF I-75. IF THESE AMOUNTS
MATERIALIZE...FLOODING WILL BECOME PROBABLE ALONG THE RED RIVER...AS
WELL AS ON PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS.

ANY CHANGES IN THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT
THE TIMING OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AS WELL AS TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES TO THIS
DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

GEOGERIAN/GREIF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1248 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 AM     TSTM WND GST     SOMERSET                37.08N 84.61W
04/26/2011  U0 MPH           PULASKI            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A TREE WAS BLOCKING LANGDON STREET. A TREE WAS BLOCKING
            GRAND AVE. A TREE WAS BLOCKING ROSEWOOD AVE. A TREE WAS
            BLOCKING SAGASSER ROAD.

&&

TBREWER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1249 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 E SOMERSET            37.08N 84.56W
04/26/2011  U0 MPH           PULASKI            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A TREE WAS BLOCKING THE ROAD AT CLAY HILL.

&&

TBREWER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1255 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SOMERSET                37.08N 84.61W
04/26/2011                   PULASKI            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A TREE WAS BLOCKING LANGDON STREET. A TREE WAS BLOCKING
            GRAND AVE. A TREE WAS BLOCKING ROSEWOOD AVE. A TREE WAS
            BLOCKING SAGASSER ROAD.

0550 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E SOMERSET            37.08N 84.56W
04/26/2011                   PULASKI            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A TREE WAS BLOCKING THE ROAD AT CLAY HILL.

&&

TBREWER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
102 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

KYZ107-261730-
JOHNSON-
102 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTY THROUGH 130
PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

   NORTHWESTERN JOHNSON.

AT 101 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST
OF PAINTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT TORRENTIAL RAIN...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD.

KAS