Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367

July 10, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 10, 2021, 3:02 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2021, 3:02 PM CDT (20:02 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 93 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Washington County, AR, Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Elk, Montgomery, Wilson14 min
Jul 10, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Montgomery54 min
Jul 10, 3:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBenton, Camden, Hickory, St. Clair6 hr
Jul 10, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage46 min
Jul 10, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Washington47 min
Jul 10, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata, Rogers, Washington51 min
Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Washington48 min
Jul 10, 5:41 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSANowata, Osage, Washington3 hr
Jul 10, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMayes, Nowata, Rogers41 min
Jul 10, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee38 min
Jul 10, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington39 min
Jul 10, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Rogers, Wagoner41 min
Jul 10, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNNoble, Payne49 min
Jul 10, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Wagoner47 min
Jul 10, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Kingfisher45 min
Jul 10, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMayes, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner, Washington43 min
Jul 10, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee52 min
Jul 10, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLogan, Payne18 min
Jul 10, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFTexas, Wright57 min
Jul 10, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Logan, Payne52 min
Jul 10, 7:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Webster, Wright6 hr
Jul 10, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek39 min
Jul 10, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Payne47 min
Jul 10, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner49 min
Jul 10, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Canadian, Kingfisher61 min
Jul 10, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Texas44 min
Jul 10, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie50 min
Jul 10, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas66 min
Jul 10, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, McIntosh, Okmulgee51 min
Jul 10, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah, Wagoner29 min
Jul 10, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee44 min
Jul 10, 8:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNLincoln, Payne101 min
Jul 10, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, McClain, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie49 min
Jul 10, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian40 min
Jul 10, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee34 min
Jul 10, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 917 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
917 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
703 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

611 
WWUS20 KWNS 102000
SEL7  
SPC WW 102000
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-110400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Arkansas
  Southeast Kansas
  Southwest Missouri
  Northeast Oklahoma

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms will be capable of large
hail and damaging winds initially, before evolving into a line with
an increasing risk for more widespread damaging winds this evening. 
A tornado or two is also possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles north
northwest of Enid OK to 35 miles north northeast of West Plains MO.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 365...WW 366...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31025.

...Bunting

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Marion and 2 more83 min
Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington118 min
Jul 9, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith8 hr
Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane, Logan and 4 more86 min
Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Doniphan, Jackson and 9 more2 hr
Jul 9, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFinney, Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane and 8 more4 hr
Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Coffey and 22 more7 hr
Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Grant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny and 4 more66 min
Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 10 more65 min
Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 2 more84 min
Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas and 16 more93 min
Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Marshall, Nemaha, Washington115 min
Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Geary, Jackson and 10 more7 hr
Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more2 hr
Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Scotland3 hr
Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Chariton, Clark, Grundy, Knox and 18 more36 min
Jul 9, 8:18 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton and 32 more6 hr
Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Chariton, Cole and 21 more64 min
Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Boone, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Chariton, Cole and 23 more59 min
Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more4 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more2 hr
Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard56 min
Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Cedar and 34 more2 hr
Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin and 16 more8 hr
Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Holt91 min
Jul 10, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 19 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.