Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 10, 2021, 3:02 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 10, 2021, 3:02 PM CDT (20:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 93 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Washington County, AR, Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chautauqua, Elk, Montgomery, Wilson | 14 min |
| Jul 10, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Montgomery | 54 min |
| Jul 10, 3:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Benton, Camden, Hickory, St. Clair | 6 hr |
| Jul 10, 4:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 46 min |
| Jul 10, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Washington | 47 min |
| Jul 10, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata, Rogers, Washington | 51 min |
| Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Washington | 48 min |
| Jul 10, 5:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Washington | 3 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Mayes, Nowata, Rogers | 41 min |
| Jul 10, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Pawnee | 38 min |
| Jul 10, 6:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington | 39 min |
| Jul 10, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Mayes, Rogers, Wagoner | 41 min |
| Jul 10, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Noble, Payne | 49 min |
| Jul 10, 6:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Wagoner | 47 min |
| Jul 10, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Kingfisher | 45 min |
| Jul 10, 6:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Mayes, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner, Washington | 43 min |
| Jul 10, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Osage, Pawnee | 52 min |
| Jul 10, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Logan, Payne | 18 min |
| Jul 10, 7:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Texas, Wright | 57 min |
| Jul 10, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Lincoln, Logan, Payne | 52 min |
| Jul 10, 7:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Dallas, Laclede, Webster, Wright | 6 hr |
| Jul 10, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek | 39 min |
| Jul 10, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Payne | 47 min |
| Jul 10, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 49 min |
| Jul 10, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Canadian, Kingfisher | 61 min |
| Jul 10, 8:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Texas | 44 min |
| Jul 10, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie | 50 min |
| Jul 10, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas | 66 min |
| Jul 10, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, McIntosh, Okmulgee | 51 min |
| Jul 10, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah, Wagoner | 29 min |
| Jul 10, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Okfuskee | 44 min |
| Jul 10, 8:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Lincoln, Payne | 101 min |
| Jul 10, 9:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Lincoln, McClain, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie | 49 min |
| Jul 10, 9:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 40 min |
| Jul 10, 9:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee | 34 min |
| Jul 10, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 1236 Severe potential...watch possible
- Mesoscale Discussion 1238 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1240 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1247 Severe thunderstorm watch 367...368
- Mesoscale Discussion 1249 Severe thunderstorm watch 367
- Mesoscale Discussion 1251 Severe thunderstorm watch 367...368
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 917 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -52 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 703 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 113 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 125 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.4
- Supercell composite
- 1.8
The text
As transmitted.
611
WWUS20 KWNS 102000
SEL7
SPC WW 102000
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-110400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Southeast Kansas
Southwest Missouri
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms will be capable of large
hail and damaging winds initially, before evolving into a line with
an increasing risk for more widespread damaging winds this evening.
A tornado or two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles north
northwest of Enid OK to 35 miles north northeast of West Plains MO.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 365...WW 366...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31025.
...BuntingSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Marion and 2 more | 83 min |
| Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington | 118 min |
| Jul 9, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith | 8 hr |
| Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane, Logan and 4 more | 86 min |
| Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Doniphan, Jackson and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Finney, Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane and 8 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Anderson, Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Coffey and 22 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Finney, Grant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny and 4 more | 66 min |
| Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Edwards, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 10 more | 65 min |
| Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 2 more | 84 min |
| Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas and 16 more | 93 min |
| Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Marshall, Nemaha, Washington | 115 min |
| Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Geary, Jackson and 10 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clark, Scotland | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Chariton, Clark, Grundy, Knox and 18 more | 36 min |
| Jul 9, 8:18 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton and 32 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Chariton, Cole and 21 more | 64 min |
| Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Boone, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Chariton, Cole and 23 more | 59 min |
| Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard | 56 min |
| Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Cedar and 34 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Holt | 91 min |
| Jul 10, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 19 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.