Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365

July 10, 202134 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 10, 2021, 2:01 PM CDT for 34 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2021, 2:01 PM CDT (19:01 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Madison County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair21 min
Jul 10, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Marion, Randolph, Washington59 min
Jul 10, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson, Perry39 min
Jul 10, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Jefferson, Perry36 min
Jul 10, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson45 min
Jul 10, 6:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXClay3 hr
Jul 10, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClay, Richland53 min
Jul 10, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Carter, Wayne52 min
Jul 10, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHStoddard52 min
Jul 10, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander44 min
Jul 10, 8:23 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHStoddard52 min
Jul 10, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
952 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

639 
WWUS20 KWNS 101858
SEL5  
SPC WW 101858
ILZ000-MOZ000-110300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 365
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern Illinois
  East-central and southeast Missouri

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and move east
this afternoon and evening with a risk for damaging winds and
isolated large hail.  A tornado or two is also possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest
of Farmington MO to 50 miles east of Mount Vernon IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.

...Bunting

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren3 hr
Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 9 more36 min
Jul 9, 8:18 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 9 more6 hr
Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 7 more64 min
Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Jackson, Monroe, Perry, Randolph, Saint Clair and 3 more59 min
Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jackson and 10 more4 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Jackson, Johnson, Pulaski, Saline and 2 more2 hr
Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 22 more2 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Champaign, DeWitt, Douglas, Ford, Logan and 8 more96 min
Jul 10, 5:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 10 more87 min
Jul 10, 3:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt, Butler and 42 more115 min
Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton and 8 more2 hr
Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton and 22 more7 hr
Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton and 11 more84 min
Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 20 more93 min
Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard56 min
Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, McDonald and 9 more83 min
Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Holt, Nodaway115 min
Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton, Vernon118 min
Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb and 6 more7 hr
Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 26 more8 hr
Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Holt91 min
Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.