Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 363

July 9, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2021, 9:58 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2021, 9:58 PM CDT (02:58 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 98 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 10:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Macon38 min
Jul 9, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Colfax, Platte45 min
Jul 9, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXRinggold39 min
Jul 9, 10:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMonona38 min
Jul 9, 10:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Colfax, Dodge, Platte, Saunders64 min
Jul 9, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming, Madison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne45 min
Jul 9, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby29 min
Jul 9, 11:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona41 min
Jul 9, 11:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic56 min
Jul 9, 11:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Gage, Lancaster, Saline, Saunders, Seward64 min
Jul 9, 11:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Mills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie, Shelby45 min
Jul 9, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie52 min
Jul 9, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Cass49 min
Jul 9, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Platte, Saunders and 1 more49 min
Jul 9, 11:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJefferson44 min
Jul 9, 11:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPWashington66 min
Jul 9, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie65 min
Jul 9, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass49 min
Jul 10, 12:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud60 min
Jul 10, 12:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Howard, Macon, Randolph41 min
Jul 10, 12:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Johnson, Pawnee49 min
Jul 10, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie47 min
Jul 10, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic32 min
Jul 10, 12:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie19 min
Jul 10, 12:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington56 min
Jul 10, 12:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page50 min
Jul 10, 12:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass, Ringgold, Taylor, Union64 min
Jul 10, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie18 min
Jul 10, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont61 min
Jul 10, 12:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway, Worth52 min
Jul 10, 12:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Dickinson, Geary, Marshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie and 1 more48 min
Jul 10, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPGeary, Jackson, Morris, Shawnee, Wabaunsee56 min
Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAdair, Sullivan8 hr
Jul 10, 1:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Atchison, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway and 1 more50 min
Jul 10, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan, Leavenworth46 min
Jul 10, 1:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown30 min
Jul 10, 1:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Lyon, Morris and 3 more47 min
Jul 10, 2:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte51 min
Jul 10, 2:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Leavenworth47 min
Jul 10, 2:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison, Nodaway and 1 more43 min
Jul 10, 2:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXLinn, Macon7 hr
Jul 10, 4:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Republic35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2603 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2603 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-130 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1447 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
8.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

022 
WWUS20 KWNS 100256
SEL3  
SPC WW 100256
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-101000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 363
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1000 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwestern Iowa
  Northeastern Kansas
  Northwestern Missouri
  Eastern Nebraska

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1000 PM
  until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms are expected to form
within and move into the watch area during the overnight hours.  The
storm environment and predominant cluster mode supports swaths of
damaging winds (some near 80 mph) as the main threat, though more
isolated supercells early in the watch could produce hail close to
tennis ball size.  An isolated tornado or two may also occur with
storm interactions.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Tekamah NE to 20 miles southeast of Topeka KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 356...WW 357...WW
358...WW 359...WW 360...WW 361...WW 362...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
31035.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDes Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jefferson, Johnson, Keokuk and 4 more3 hr
Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 7 more2 hr
Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page115 min
Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more7 hr
Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page91 min
Jul 9, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith8 hr
Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane, Logan and 4 more86 min
Jul 9, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFinney, Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane and 8 more4 hr
Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Grant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny and 4 more66 min
Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 10 more65 min
Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 2 more84 min
Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas and 16 more93 min
Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 11 more118 min
Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 9 more8 hr
Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more2 hr
Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Chariton, Clark, Grundy, Knox and 18 more36 min
Jul 9, 8:18 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton and 32 more6 hr
Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Chariton, Cole and 21 more64 min
Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Boone, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Chariton, Cole and 23 more59 min
Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more4 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more2 hr
Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard56 min
Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, McDonald and 9 more83 min
Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Cedar and 34 more2 hr
Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin and 16 more8 hr
Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Boyd and 44 more114 min
Jul 9, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Custer and 15 more6 hr
Jul 9, 10:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Clay, Fillmore, Gage, Hamilton, Jefferson and 7 more115 min
Jul 9, 10:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Garden, Grant, Sheridan91 min
Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas53 min
Jul 10, 1:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.