Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 363
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2021, 9:58 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 9, 2021, 9:58 PM CDT (02:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 98 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 70%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 10:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon | 38 min |
| Jul 9, 10:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Colfax, Platte | 45 min |
| Jul 9, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Ringgold | 39 min |
| Jul 9, 10:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Monona | 38 min |
| Jul 9, 10:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Colfax, Dodge, Platte, Saunders | 64 min |
| Jul 9, 11:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cuming, Madison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne | 45 min |
| Jul 9, 11:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Shelby | 29 min |
| Jul 9, 11:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Monona | 41 min |
| Jul 9, 11:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Republic | 56 min |
| Jul 9, 11:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Gage, Lancaster, Saline, Saunders, Seward | 64 min |
| Jul 9, 11:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Mills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie, Shelby | 45 min |
| Jul 9, 11:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Pottawattamie | 52 min |
| Jul 9, 11:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Audubon, Cass | 49 min |
| Jul 9, 11:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Platte, Saunders and 1 more | 49 min |
| Jul 9, 11:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Jefferson | 44 min |
| Jul 9, 11:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Washington | 66 min |
| Jul 9, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills, Pottawattamie | 65 min |
| Jul 9, 11:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Cass | 49 min |
| Jul 10, 12:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Cloud | 60 min |
| Jul 10, 12:04 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Chariton, Howard, Macon, Randolph | 41 min |
| Jul 10, 12:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Johnson, Pawnee | 49 min |
| Jul 10, 12:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie | 47 min |
| Jul 10, 12:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Republic | 32 min |
| Jul 10, 12:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 19 min |
| Jul 10, 12:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington | 56 min |
| Jul 10, 12:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page | 50 min |
| Jul 10, 12:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Cass, Ringgold, Taylor, Union | 64 min |
| Jul 10, 12:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 18 min |
| Jul 10, 12:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont | 61 min |
| Jul 10, 12:53 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt, Nodaway, Worth | 52 min |
| Jul 10, 12:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Dickinson, Geary, Marshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie and 1 more | 48 min |
| Jul 10, 1:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Geary, Jackson, Morris, Shawnee, Wabaunsee | 56 min |
| Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Adair, Sullivan | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 1:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Atchison, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway and 1 more | 50 min |
| Jul 10, 1:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Doniphan, Leavenworth | 46 min |
| Jul 10, 1:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Brown | 30 min |
| Jul 10, 1:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Lyon, Morris and 3 more | 47 min |
| Jul 10, 2:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Johnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte | 51 min |
| Jul 10, 2:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Leavenworth | 47 min |
| Jul 10, 2:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison, Nodaway and 1 more | 43 min |
| Jul 10, 2:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Linn, Macon | 7 hr |
| Jul 10, 4:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Cloud, Republic | 35 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 1219 Severe potential...watch needed soon
- Mesoscale Discussion 1220 Severe thunderstorm watch 356
- Mesoscale Discussion 1222 Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1223 Severe thunderstorm watch 363
- Mesoscale Discussion 1224 Tornado watch 359
- Mesoscale Discussion 1228 Tornado watch 359
- Mesoscale Discussion 1230 Severe thunderstorm watch 363
- Mesoscale Discussion 1233 Severe thunderstorm watch 363
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2603 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -130 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1447 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 90 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 186 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.6
- Supercell composite
- 8.1
The text
As transmitted.
022
WWUS20 KWNS 100256
SEL3
SPC WW 100256
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-101000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 363
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1000 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwestern Iowa
Northeastern Kansas
Northwestern Missouri
Eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1000 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms are expected to form
within and move into the watch area during the overnight hours. The
storm environment and predominant cluster mode supports swaths of
damaging winds (some near 80 mph) as the main threat, though more
isolated supercells early in the watch could produce hail close to
tennis ball size. An isolated tornado or two may also occur with
storm interactions.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Tekamah NE to 20 miles southeast of Topeka KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 356...WW 357...WW
358...WW 359...WW 360...WW 361...WW 362...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
31035.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Des Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jefferson, Johnson, Keokuk and 4 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page | 115 min |
| Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fremont, Page | 91 min |
| Jul 9, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith | 8 hr |
| Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane, Logan and 4 more | 86 min |
| Jul 9, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Finney, Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane and 8 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Finney, Grant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny and 4 more | 66 min |
| Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Edwards, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 10 more | 65 min |
| Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 2 more | 84 min |
| Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas and 16 more | 93 min |
| Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 11 more | 118 min |
| Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 9 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Chariton, Clark, Grundy, Knox and 18 more | 36 min |
| Jul 9, 8:18 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton and 32 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Chariton, Cole and 21 more | 64 min |
| Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Boone, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Chariton, Cole and 23 more | 59 min |
| Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard | 56 min |
| Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, McDonald and 9 more | 83 min |
| Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Cedar and 34 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Antelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Boyd and 44 more | 114 min |
| Jul 9, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arthur, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Custer and 15 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 9, 10:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Clay, Fillmore, Gage, Hamilton, Jefferson and 7 more | 115 min |
| Jul 9, 10:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Box Butte, Garden, Grant, Sheridan | 91 min |
| Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas | 53 min |
| Jul 10, 1:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas | 60 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.