Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360

July 9, 20216 counties in Kansas; 34 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2021, 8:45 PM CDT for 6 counties in Kansas; 34 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2021, 8:45 PM CDT (01:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 40 counties

Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Knox County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson51 min
Jul 9, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Sherman, Valley47 min
Jul 9, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox, Pierce45 min
Jul 9, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Greeley, Hall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick and 2 more44 min
Jul 9, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Gosper, Phelps51 min
Jul 9, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Franklin, Kearney, Webster26 min
Jul 9, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Cedar, Knox, Madison, Pierce, Stanton and 1 more48 min
Jul 9, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Colfax, Platte45 min
Jul 9, 10:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Franklin, Furnas, Gosper, Harlan and 3 more43 min
Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Hall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick and 3 more49 min
Jul 9, 10:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Hall, Hamilton and 5 more39 min
Jul 9, 10:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Colfax, Dodge, Platte, Saunders64 min
Jul 9, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming, Madison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne45 min
Jul 9, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith40 min
Jul 9, 11:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHamilton, Merrick, Polk, York45 min
Jul 9, 11:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore, Hamilton, Nuckolls, Thayer, Webster and 1 more45 min
Jul 9, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Rooks, Smith52 min
Jul 9, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Platte, Saunders and 1 more49 min
Jul 10, 2:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson24 min
Jul 10, 2:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips, Rooks, Smith50 min
Jul 10, 3:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2603 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2603 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-130 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1447 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
8.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

081 
WWUS20 KWNS 100141
SEL0  
SPC WW 100141
KSZ000-NEZ000-100800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 360
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  North central Kansas
  Central and northeast Nebraska

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 845 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to develop and spread
east-southeastward across Nebraska and northern Kansas through the
early overnight hours.  A mix of bowing clusters and supercells will
pose a threat for significant severe wind gusts (near 80 mph) and
isolated very large hail (near tennis ball size).  In addition, an
isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out with embedded supercells
and storm interactions.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast
of Oneill NE to 60 miles west southwest of Concordia KS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 356...WW 357...WW
358...WW 359...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
30035.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane, Logan and 4 more86 min
Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Doniphan, Jackson and 9 more2 hr
Jul 9, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFinney, Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane and 8 more4 hr
Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Coffey and 22 more7 hr
Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Grant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny and 4 more66 min
Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 10 more65 min
Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 2 more84 min
Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas and 16 more93 min
Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Marshall, Nemaha, Washington115 min
Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 11 more118 min
Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Geary, Jackson and 10 more7 hr
Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 9 more8 hr
Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more2 hr
Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Boyd and 44 more114 min
Jul 9, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Custer and 15 more6 hr
Jul 9, 10:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Clay, Fillmore, Gage, Hamilton, Jefferson and 7 more115 min
Jul 9, 10:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Garden, Grant, Sheridan91 min
Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas53 min
Jul 10, 1:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas60 min
Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGage, Johnson, Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.