Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 10, 2021, 2:18 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 10, 2021, 2:18 PM CDT (19:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2021, 8:51 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 49 counties
Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Cass County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Worth County, MO, Cass County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Sarpy County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Pottawattamie, Shelby | 42 min |
| Jul 10, 5:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Pottawatomie, Washington | 25 min |
| Jul 10, 6:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, Platte | 27 min |
| Jul 10, 7:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Douglas, Shawnee | 35 min |
| Jul 10, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Johnson, Leavenworth | 28 min |
| Jul 10, 7:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Douglas | 38 min |
| Jul 10, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Johnson, Miami | 23 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 976 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
159 WWUS20 KWNS 101915 SEL6 SPC WW 101915 IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-110300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 366 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Iowa Northeast Kansas Northwest Missouri Southeast Nebraska * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop and move southeast across the watch area through this evening with a risk for damaging winds and isolated large hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Omaha NE to 35 miles south of Falls City NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 365... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29035. ...Bunting
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Des Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jefferson, Johnson, Keokuk and 4 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke and 16 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page | 115 min |
| Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fremont, Page | 91 min |
| Jul 9, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith | 8 hr |
| Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane, Logan and 4 more | 86 min |
| Jul 9, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Finney, Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane and 8 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Finney, Grant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny and 4 more | 66 min |
| Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Edwards, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 10 more | 65 min |
| Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 2 more | 84 min |
| Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas and 16 more | 93 min |
| Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 11 more | 118 min |
| Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 9 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Chariton, Clark, Grundy, Knox and 18 more | 36 min |
| Jul 9, 8:18 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton and 32 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Chariton, Cole and 21 more | 64 min |
| Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Boone, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Chariton, Cole and 23 more | 59 min |
| Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard | 56 min |
| Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, McDonald and 9 more | 83 min |
| Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Cedar and 34 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Antelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Boyd and 44 more | 114 min |
| Jul 9, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arthur, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Custer and 15 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 9, 10:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Clay, Fillmore, Gage, Hamilton, Jefferson and 7 more | 115 min |
| Jul 9, 10:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Box Butte, Garden, Grant, Sheridan | 91 min |
| Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas | 53 min |
| Jul 10, 1:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas | 60 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.