Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366

July 10, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 10, 2021, 2:18 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2021, 2:18 PM CDT (19:18 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2021, 8:51 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Cass County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Worth County, MO, Cass County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Sarpy County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie, Shelby42 min
Jul 10, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Pottawatomie, Washington25 min
Jul 10, 6:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBuchanan, Clay, Clinton, Platte27 min
Jul 10, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Shawnee35 min
Jul 10, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Leavenworth28 min
Jul 10, 7:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas38 min
Jul 10, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Miami23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -6 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
976 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

159 
WWUS20 KWNS 101915
SEL6  
SPC WW 101915
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-110300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 366
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Iowa
  Northeast Kansas
  Northwest Missouri
  Southeast Nebraska

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop and move southeast
across the watch area through this evening with a risk for damaging
winds and isolated large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Omaha
NE to 35 miles south of Falls City NE. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 365...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.

...Bunting

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDes Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jefferson, Johnson, Keokuk and 4 more3 hr
Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 7 more2 hr
Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke and 16 more7 hr
Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page115 min
Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page91 min
Jul 9, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith8 hr
Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane, Logan and 4 more86 min
Jul 9, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFinney, Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Lane and 8 more4 hr
Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Grant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny and 4 more66 min
Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 10 more65 min
Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 2 more84 min
Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas and 16 more93 min
Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 11 more118 min
Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 9 more8 hr
Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more2 hr
Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Chariton, Clark, Grundy, Knox and 18 more36 min
Jul 9, 8:18 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton and 32 more6 hr
Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Chariton, Cole and 21 more64 min
Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Boone, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Chariton, Cole and 23 more59 min
Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more4 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Perry, Ripley and 3 more2 hr
Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard56 min
Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, McDonald and 9 more83 min
Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Cedar and 34 more2 hr
Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin and 16 more8 hr
Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Boyd and 44 more114 min
Jul 9, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Custer and 15 more6 hr
Jul 9, 10:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Clay, Fillmore, Gage, Hamilton, Jefferson and 7 more115 min
Jul 9, 10:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Garden, Grant, Sheridan91 min
Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas53 min
Jul 10, 1:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.