Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 359

July 9, 202115 counties in Illinois; 38 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 9, 2021, 8:18 PM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 38 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2021, 8:18 PM CDT (01:18 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 53 counties

Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLewis, Marion39 min
Jul 9, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBrown47 min
Jul 9, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Schuyler46 min
Jul 9, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion, Ralls50 min
Jul 9, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis62 min
Jul 9, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox45 min
Jul 9, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams65 min
Jul 9, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis48 min
Jul 9, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBrown, Pike43 min
Jul 9, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Macon52 min
Jul 9, 9:36 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXAdair, Macon12 min
Jul 9, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion, Monroe, Pike, Ralls, Shelby54 min
Jul 9, 9:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLewis, Marion3 hr
Jul 9, 10:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Macon38 min
Jul 9, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Lincoln, Monroe, Pike, Ralls50 min
Jul 9, 10:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Shelby23 min
Jul 9, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Warren45 min
Jul 9, 11:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren67 min
Jul 9, 11:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey47 min
Jul 9, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey, Madison61 min
Jul 10, 12:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Howard, Macon, Randolph41 min
Jul 10, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Madison, Monroe, Saint Clair, Washington63 min
Jul 10, 1:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph52 min
Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Marion, Saint Clair, Washington54 min
Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAdair, Sullivan8 hr
Jul 10, 1:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1111 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

691 
WWUS20 KWNS 100116
SEL9  
SPC WW 100116
ILZ000-MOZ000-100700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 359
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  West central Illinois
  North central and northeast Missouri

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 820 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity this
evening as the storms spread southeastward.  The storm environment
is favorable for supercells capable of producing a couple of
tornadoes, as well as isolated very large hail (near tennis ball
size) and significant severe gusts (near 75 mph).  The storms could
later grow into a cluster, with a continuing severe threat into the
early overnight hours.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Kirksville
MO to 60 miles south of Quincy IL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 356...WW 357...WW 358...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 32025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren3 hr
Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 9 more36 min
Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 7 more64 min
Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Jackson, Monroe, Perry, Randolph, Saint Clair and 3 more59 min
Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jackson and 10 more4 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Jackson, Johnson, Pulaski, Saline and 2 more2 hr
Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 22 more2 hr
Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Edwards and 28 more8 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Champaign, DeWitt, Douglas, Ford, Logan and 8 more96 min
Jul 10, 5:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 10 more87 min
Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton and 8 more2 hr
Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton and 22 more7 hr
Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton and 11 more84 min
Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 20 more93 min
Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard56 min
Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, McDonald and 9 more83 min
Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Holt, Nodaway115 min
Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton, Vernon118 min
Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb and 6 more7 hr
Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 26 more8 hr
Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Holt91 min
Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2021Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.