Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 359
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 9, 2021, 8:18 PM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 38 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 9, 2021, 8:18 PM CDT (01:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 53 counties
Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lewis, Marion | 39 min |
| Jul 9, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Brown | 47 min |
| Jul 9, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Schuyler | 46 min |
| Jul 9, 8:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Marion, Ralls | 50 min |
| Jul 9, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis | 62 min |
| Jul 9, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Knox | 45 min |
| Jul 9, 9:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams | 65 min |
| Jul 9, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 48 min |
| Jul 9, 9:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Brown, Pike | 43 min |
| Jul 9, 9:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon | 52 min |
| Jul 9, 9:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon | 12 min |
| Jul 9, 9:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Marion, Monroe, Pike, Ralls, Shelby | 54 min |
| Jul 9, 9:40 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Lewis, Marion | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 10:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon | 38 min |
| Jul 9, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Lincoln, Monroe, Pike, Ralls | 50 min |
| Jul 9, 10:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Shelby | 23 min |
| Jul 9, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Warren | 45 min |
| Jul 9, 11:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Callaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren | 67 min |
| Jul 9, 11:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Jersey | 47 min |
| Jul 9, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Jersey, Madison | 61 min |
| Jul 10, 12:04 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Chariton, Howard, Macon, Randolph | 41 min |
| Jul 10, 12:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Bond, Clinton, Madison, Monroe, Saint Clair, Washington | 63 min |
| Jul 10, 1:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Randolph | 52 min |
| Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Bond, Clinton, Marion, Saint Clair, Washington | 54 min |
| Jul 10, 1:37 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Adair, Sullivan | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 1:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Randolph | 40 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1111 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 19 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 114 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
691
WWUS20 KWNS 100116
SEL9
SPC WW 100116
ILZ000-MOZ000-100700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 359
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
West central Illinois
North central and northeast Missouri
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 820 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity this
evening as the storms spread southeastward. The storm environment
is favorable for supercells capable of producing a couple of
tornadoes, as well as isolated very large hail (near tennis ball
size) and significant severe gusts (near 75 mph). The storms could
later grow into a cluster, with a continuing severe threat into the
early overnight hours.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Kirksville
MO to 60 miles south of Quincy IL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 356...WW 357...WW 358...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 32025.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 9 more | 36 min |
| Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 7 more | 64 min |
| Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clinton, Jackson, Monroe, Perry, Randolph, Saint Clair and 3 more | 59 min |
| Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jackson and 10 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Franklin, Jackson, Johnson, Pulaski, Saline and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 22 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Edwards and 28 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cass, Champaign, DeWitt, Douglas, Ford, Logan and 8 more | 96 min |
| Jul 10, 5:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 10 more | 87 min |
| Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton and 22 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton and 11 more | 84 min |
| Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bates, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 20 more | 93 min |
| Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard | 56 min |
| Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, McDonald and 9 more | 83 min |
| Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, Holt, Nodaway | 115 min |
| Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Barton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton, Vernon | 118 min |
| Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb and 6 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barry, Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 26 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Holt | 91 min |
| Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton and 13 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2021Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.