Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358

July 9, 20214 counties in Illinois; 10 counties in Iowa; Clark County, Scotland County, Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2021, 7:08 PM CDT for 4 counties in Illinois; 10 counties in Iowa; Clark County, Scotland County, Missouri. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2021, 7:08 PM CDT (00:08 UTC)
Expired
Jul 9, 2021, 10:36 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Warren County, IL, Clark County, MO, Scotland County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren37 min
Jul 9, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock, Henderson, McDonough41 min
Jul 9, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Johnson, Keokuk, Louisa, Washington31 min
Jul 9, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren66 min
Jul 9, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Keokuk, Washington24 min
Jul 9, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Lee, Van Buren35 min
Jul 9, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1111 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

078 
WWUS20 KWNS 100005
SEL8  
SPC WW 100005
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-100500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 358
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
705 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Iowa
  Extreme northwest Illinois
  Extreme northeast Missouri

* Effective this Friday night from 705 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...A small cluster of elevated storms, some with supercell
structures, may persist for the next few hours while moving
southeastward near the Illinois, Iowa, Missouri border region. 
Isolated very large hail and severe wind gusts will be the main
threats.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles north northwest
of Burlington IA to 35 miles south southwest of Burlington IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 356...WW 357...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 9 more36 min
Jul 9, 8:18 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 9 more6 hr
Jul 9, 10:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 7 more64 min
Jul 10, 1:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Jackson, Monroe, Perry, Randolph, Saint Clair and 3 more59 min
Jul 10, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jackson and 10 more4 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Jackson, Johnson, Pulaski, Saline and 2 more2 hr
Jul 10, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 22 more2 hr
Jul 10, 2:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Edwards and 28 more8 hr
Jul 10, 3:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Champaign, DeWitt, Douglas, Ford, Logan and 8 more96 min
Jul 10, 5:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 10 more87 min
Jul 9, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 7 more2 hr
Jul 9, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke and 16 more7 hr
Jul 10, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page115 min
Jul 10, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more7 hr
Jul 10, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page91 min
Jul 10, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton and 11 more84 min
Jul 10, 2:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 20 more93 min
Jul 10, 5:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard56 min
Jul 10, 11:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, McDonald and 9 more83 min
Jul 10, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton, Vernon118 min
Jul 10, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 26 more8 hr
Jul 10, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.