Alert archive / Arkansas / Polk County
Weather alerts in Polk County, Arkansas, 2012
100 weather alerts in 2012, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Polk County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2012. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 100
- Warnings
- 27
- Watches
- 13
- Advisories
- 1
- Busiest month
- August29 alerts
- Busiest day
- April 2, 20126 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Polk County, 2012
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 25 | 7 | 72% | 6 | 100% | 13 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2012
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings | 30 | 10 | 67% | 20 | 90% | 21 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings | 509 | 224 | 56% | 404 | 85% | 21 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings | 35 | 12 | 66% | 24 | 96% | 140 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 10:18 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Feb 1, 12:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 1, 1:01 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 44 min |
| Feb 1, 1:22 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Feb 20, 8:26 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 59 min |
| Feb 28, 10:30 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 29, 3:20 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Feb 29, 3:53 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Mar 8, 10:19 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Mar 8, 5:41 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 59 min |
| Mar 22, 4:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Apr 2, 3:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Apr 2, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Apr 2, 4:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 51 min |
| Apr 2, 4:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 37 min |
| Apr 2, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 30 min |
| Apr 2, 5:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| Apr 3, 3:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Apr 3, 3:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 3, 7:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Apr 4, 8:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Apr 15, 9:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Apr 15, 10:51 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 15, 1:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Apr 30, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 24 min |
| May 7, 3:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 44 min |
| May 7, 3:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 44 min |
| May 7, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 47 min |
| May 7, 4:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
| May 31, 2:48 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 47 min |
| Jun 11, 3:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Jun 11, 11:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 32 min |
| Jun 11, 11:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 11, 11:58 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 32 min |
| Jun 12, 2:56 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 4 hr |
| Jun 15, 5:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 36 min |
| Jun 15, 6:34 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 46 min |
| Jun 15, 7:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 42 min |
| Jun 15, 9:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 104 min |
| Jun 16, 4:47 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LZK | 103 min |
| Jul 1, 5:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Jul 6, 7:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 30 min |
| Jul 8, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 41 min |
| Jul 12, 8:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 30 min |
| Jul 12, 8:27 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 28 min |
| Jul 12, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 29 min |
| Jul 12, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 33 min |
| Jul 26, 5:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 33 min |
| Jul 26, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 26, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 45 min |
| Jul 26, 7:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 44 min |
| Jul 26, 8:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Aug 5, 2:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Aug 5, 2:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Aug 5, 3:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| Aug 5, 3:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| Aug 5, 4:42 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 63 min |
| Aug 6, 5:27 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 28 min |
| Aug 6, 5:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 25 min |
| Aug 6, 5:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 27 min |
| Aug 7, 2:47 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 43 min |
| Aug 7, 3:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 33 min |
| Aug 7, 3:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 42 min |
| Aug 7, 3:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 38 min |
| Aug 7, 3:58 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 32 min |
| Aug 8, 1:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 57 min |
| Aug 8, 1:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Aug 8, 2:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 26 min |
| Aug 8, 3:41 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 44 min |
| Aug 9, 4:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 31 min |
| Aug 9, 4:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 61 min |
| Aug 9, 4:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 25 min |
| Aug 12, 6:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Aug 12, 10:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Aug 12, 10:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Aug 16, 1:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Aug 17, 4:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 29 min |
| Aug 17, 5:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 30 min |
| Aug 18, 4:47 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 43 min |
| Aug 18, 5:27 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 43 min |
| Aug 18, 6:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 41 min |
| Sep 5, 3:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 31 min |
| Sep 6, 7:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 46 min |
| Sep 6, 8:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 28 min |
| Sep 7, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 43 min |
| Oct 5, 6:00 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 30 min |
| Oct 5, 11:16 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Oct 13, 6:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Oct 13, 9:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Oct 13, 10:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 36 min |
| Oct 13, 10:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Oct 17, 5:21 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Nov 11, 12:53 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Dec 8, 10:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Dec 8, 11:22 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 28 min |
| Dec 19, 7:07 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Dec 19, 7:36 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Dec 19, 10:22 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Dec 19, 10:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 50 min |
| Dec 25, 12:11 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 25 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 7 |
| Tornado Watch | 6 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 27 |
| Special Weather Statement | 32 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Warning | 2 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 1 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20112013
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.