Alert archive / Arkansas / Polk County

Weather alerts in Polk County, Arkansas, 2012

100 weather alerts in 2012, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Polk County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2012. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
100
Warnings
27
Watches
13
Advisories
1
Busiest month
August29 alerts
Busiest day
April 2, 20126 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Polk County, 2012

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings25772%6100%13 min
Flash flood warnings20100%0

Each office's whole area, 2012

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings301067%2090%21 min
NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings50922456%40485%21 min
NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings351266%2496%140 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 1, 10:18 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Feb 1, 12:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Feb 1, 1:01 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZK44 min
Feb 1, 1:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Feb 20, 8:26 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZK59 min
Feb 28, 10:30 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Feb 29, 3:20 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC9 hr
Feb 29, 3:53 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Mar 8, 10:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC56 min
Mar 8, 5:41 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZK59 min
Mar 22, 4:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Apr 2, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Apr 2, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Apr 2, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK51 min
Apr 2, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK37 min
Apr 2, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK30 min
Apr 2, 5:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC62 min
Apr 3, 3:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Apr 3, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Apr 3, 7:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Apr 4, 8:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Apr 15, 9:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Apr 15, 10:51 AM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Apr 15, 1:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Apr 30, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK24 min
May 7, 3:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK44 min
May 7, 3:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK44 min
May 7, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK47 min
May 7, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK46 min
May 31, 2:48 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK47 min
Jun 11, 3:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Jun 11, 11:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK32 min
Jun 11, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 11, 11:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK32 min
Jun 12, 2:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK4 hr
Jun 15, 5:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSA36 min
Jun 15, 6:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK46 min
Jun 15, 7:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK42 min
Jun 15, 9:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK104 min
Jun 16, 4:47 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLZK103 min
Jul 1, 5:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK45 min
Jul 6, 7:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK30 min
Jul 8, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK41 min
Jul 12, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK30 min
Jul 12, 8:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK28 min
Jul 12, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK29 min
Jul 12, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK33 min
Jul 26, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC33 min
Jul 26, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 26, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK45 min
Jul 26, 7:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK44 min
Jul 26, 8:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK45 min
Aug 5, 2:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC54 min
Aug 5, 2:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK45 min
Aug 5, 3:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK26 min
Aug 5, 3:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK26 min
Aug 5, 4:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK63 min
Aug 6, 5:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK28 min
Aug 6, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK25 min
Aug 6, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK27 min
Aug 7, 2:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK43 min
Aug 7, 3:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK33 min
Aug 7, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK42 min
Aug 7, 3:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK38 min
Aug 7, 3:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK32 min
Aug 8, 1:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC57 min
Aug 8, 1:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK34 min
Aug 8, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK26 min
Aug 8, 3:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK44 min
Aug 9, 4:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK31 min
Aug 9, 4:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min
Aug 9, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK25 min
Aug 12, 6:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Aug 12, 10:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Aug 12, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Aug 16, 1:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Aug 17, 4:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK29 min
Aug 17, 5:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK30 min
Aug 18, 4:47 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK43 min
Aug 18, 5:27 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK43 min
Aug 18, 6:14 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK41 min
Sep 5, 3:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK31 min
Sep 6, 7:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK46 min
Sep 6, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK28 min
Sep 7, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK43 min
Oct 5, 6:00 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK30 min
Oct 5, 11:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Oct 13, 6:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Oct 13, 9:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Oct 13, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK36 min
Oct 13, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Oct 17, 5:21 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Nov 11, 12:53 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Dec 8, 10:18 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Dec 8, 11:22 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZK28 min
Dec 19, 7:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
Dec 19, 7:36 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Dec 19, 10:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Dec 19, 10:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK50 min
Dec 25, 12:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20112013

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.