Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 43

February 28, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2012, 10:30 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2012, 10:30 PM CST (04:30 UTC)
Expired
Feb 29, 2012, 4:56 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 72 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 10:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata, Ottawa, Washington58 min
Feb 28, 10:48 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFCrawford27 min
Feb 28, 10:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee31 min
Feb 28, 11:07 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFBarton, Dade38 min
Feb 28, 11:18 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFBarton, Cedar, Dade, Vernon27 min
Feb 28, 11:29 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDade, Greene, Polk31 min
Feb 28, 11:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes30 min
Feb 28, 11:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee42 min
Feb 28, 11:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Cedar, Dallas, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair46 min
Feb 28, 11:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOttawa20 min
Feb 28, 11:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton52 min
Feb 28, 11:54 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Polk, Webster51 min
Feb 28, 11:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner48 min
Feb 28, 11:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMcDonald, Newton32 min
Feb 29, 12:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLawrence25 min
Feb 29, 12:19 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFBarry, McDonald56 min
Feb 29, 12:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFGreene24 min
Feb 29, 12:25 AM CSTTornado WarningTSABenton15 min
Feb 29, 12:31 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFLaclede, Phelps, Pulaski44 min
Feb 29, 12:35 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Stone40 min
Feb 29, 12:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington39 min
Feb 29, 12:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFWebster, Wright47 min
Feb 29, 12:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede, Texas, Wright67 min
Feb 29, 12:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Washington33 min
Feb 29, 12:58 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFStone, Taney47 min
Feb 29, 1:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas58 min
Feb 29, 1:06 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFDent, Phelps39 min
Feb 29, 1:09 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington33 min
Feb 29, 1:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFTexas, Wright65 min
Feb 29, 1:28 AM CSTTornado WarningTSACarroll, Madison, Washington32 min
Feb 29, 1:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Shannon, Texas57 min
Feb 29, 1:36 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFOzark54 min
Feb 29, 1:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent32 min
Feb 29, 1:51 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFDouglas39 min
Feb 29, 1:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison34 min
Feb 29, 1:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Madison15 min
Feb 29, 2:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion41 min
Feb 29, 2:06 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFHowell39 min
Feb 29, 2:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy29 min
Feb 29, 2:24 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFOregon, Shannon43 min
Feb 29, 2:26 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Oregon, Ozark64 min
Feb 29, 2:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Marion48 min
Feb 29, 2:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Izard, Marion, Newton, Searcy and 1 more44 min
Feb 29, 3:08 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion37 min
Feb 29, 3:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell17 min
Feb 29, 3:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Sharp47 min
Feb 29, 3:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Sharp37 min
Feb 29, 3:49 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKFulton, Sharp26 min
Feb 29, 3:51 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon28 min
Feb 29, 4:01 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Sharp29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2012-02-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 75 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2012-02-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 482 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
75 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-196 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
595 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
482 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
563 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

502 
WWUS20 KWNS 290431
SEL3
SPC WW 290431
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-291100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 43
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
       EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
       EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1030 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH OF SPRINGFIELD
MISSOURI TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF POTEAU OKLAHOMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 41...WW 42...

DISCUSSION...BROKEN FRONTAL SQUALL LINE...WITH SOME EMBEDDED
SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS/SUPERCELLS...WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE EWD ACROSS
OK/KS INTO SW MO/NW AR OVERNIGHT.  SOME LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING AND A
CONTINUATION OF VERY STRONG LOW-MIDLEVEL SHEAR PROFILES WILL
MAINTAIN A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES...AS WELL AS LARGE HAIL WITH THE MOST INTENSE/PERSISTENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27050.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 11:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton95 min
Feb 29, 12:49 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clay, Cleburne and 31 more56 min
Feb 29, 3:20 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Fulton and 20 more9 hr
Feb 29, 3:53 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Faulkner and 20 more97 min
Feb 29, 8:07 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Independence, Jackson, Lawrence and 2 more53 min
Feb 29, 11:11 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Mississippi2 hr
Feb 29, 11:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 7 more89 min
Feb 29, 2:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot6 hr
Feb 28, 7:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 9 more48 min
Feb 28, 7:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Ottawa and 5 more31 min
Feb 28, 8:10 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 25 more5 hr
Feb 28, 9:47 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Franklin and 9 more58 min
Feb 28, 10:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJohnson, Linn, Miami, Wyandotte3 hr
Feb 28, 8:23 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Holt, Nodaway37 min
Feb 29, 1:14 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin and 19 more11 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.