Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 43
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2012, 10:30 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 28, 2012, 10:30 PM CST (04:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 29, 2012, 4:56 AM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 72 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 10:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata, Ottawa, Washington | 58 min |
| Feb 28, 10:48 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Crawford | 27 min |
| Feb 28, 10:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 31 min |
| Feb 28, 11:07 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barton, Dade | 38 min |
| Feb 28, 11:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barton, Cedar, Dade, Vernon | 27 min |
| Feb 28, 11:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dade, Greene, Polk | 31 min |
| Feb 28, 11:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Delaware, Mayes | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 11:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 42 min |
| Feb 28, 11:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Camden, Cedar, Dallas, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair | 46 min |
| Feb 28, 11:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Ottawa | 20 min |
| Feb 28, 11:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 52 min |
| Feb 28, 11:54 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dallas, Laclede, Polk, Webster | 51 min |
| Feb 28, 11:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner | 48 min |
| Feb 28, 11:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 32 min |
| Feb 29, 12:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Lawrence | 25 min |
| Feb 29, 12:19 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry, McDonald | 56 min |
| Feb 29, 12:21 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Greene | 24 min |
| Feb 29, 12:25 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Benton | 15 min |
| Feb 29, 12:31 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Laclede, Phelps, Pulaski | 44 min |
| Feb 29, 12:35 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Stone | 40 min |
| Feb 29, 12:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Washington | 39 min |
| Feb 29, 12:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Webster, Wright | 47 min |
| Feb 29, 12:53 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Laclede, Texas, Wright | 67 min |
| Feb 29, 12:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Washington | 33 min |
| Feb 29, 12:58 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Stone, Taney | 47 min |
| Feb 29, 1:02 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas | 58 min |
| Feb 29, 1:06 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dent, Phelps | 39 min |
| Feb 29, 1:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Madison, Washington | 33 min |
| Feb 29, 1:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Texas, Wright | 65 min |
| Feb 29, 1:28 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison, Washington | 32 min |
| Feb 29, 1:33 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent, Shannon, Texas | 57 min |
| Feb 29, 1:36 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Ozark | 54 min |
| Feb 29, 1:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent | 32 min |
| Feb 29, 1:51 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Douglas | 39 min |
| Feb 29, 1:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Madison | 34 min |
| Feb 29, 1:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison | 15 min |
| Feb 29, 2:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion | 41 min |
| Feb 29, 2:06 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Howell | 39 min |
| Feb 29, 2:16 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy | 29 min |
| Feb 29, 2:24 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Oregon, Shannon | 43 min |
| Feb 29, 2:26 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Ozark | 64 min |
| Feb 29, 2:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Marion | 48 min |
| Feb 29, 2:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Izard, Marion, Newton, Searcy and 1 more | 44 min |
| Feb 29, 3:08 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion | 37 min |
| Feb 29, 3:21 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell | 17 min |
| Feb 29, 3:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 47 min |
| Feb 29, 3:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Izard, Sharp | 37 min |
| Feb 29, 3:49 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 26 min |
| Feb 29, 3:51 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon | 28 min |
| Feb 29, 4:01 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Fulton, Izard, Sharp | 29 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 75 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -196 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 595 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 482 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 563 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
502
WWUS20 KWNS 290431
SEL3
SPC WW 290431
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-291100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 43
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1030 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH OF SPRINGFIELD
MISSOURI TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF POTEAU OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 41...WW 42...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN FRONTAL SQUALL LINE...WITH SOME EMBEDDED
SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS/SUPERCELLS...WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE EWD ACROSS
OK/KS INTO SW MO/NW AR OVERNIGHT. SOME LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING AND A
CONTINUATION OF VERY STRONG LOW-MIDLEVEL SHEAR PROFILES WILL
MAINTAIN A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES...AS WELL AS LARGE HAIL WITH THE MOST INTENSE/PERSISTENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27050.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 11:40 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton | 95 min |
| Feb 29, 12:49 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clay, Cleburne and 31 more | 56 min |
| Feb 29, 3:20 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Fulton and 20 more | 9 hr |
| Feb 29, 3:53 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Faulkner and 20 more | 97 min |
| Feb 29, 8:07 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Independence, Jackson, Lawrence and 2 more | 53 min |
| Feb 29, 11:11 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Mississippi | 2 hr |
| Feb 29, 11:46 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 7 more | 89 min |
| Feb 29, 2:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:57 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 9 more | 48 min |
| Feb 28, 7:59 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Cloud, Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Ottawa and 5 more | 31 min |
| Feb 28, 8:10 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 25 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 9:47 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Franklin and 9 more | 58 min |
| Feb 28, 10:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Johnson, Linn, Miami, Wyandotte | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 8:23 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Holt, Nodaway | 37 min |
| Feb 29, 1:14 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin and 19 more | 11 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.