Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 180

February 29, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 29, 2012, 8:07 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 29, 2012, 8:07 AM CST (14:07 UTC)
Expired
Feb 29, 2012, 9:00 AM CST
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 42 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Webster County, KY, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Carroll County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-02-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1168 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-02-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 289 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1168 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
535 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
289 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
292 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.3
Supercell composite
8.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

981 
ACUS11 KWNS 291407
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291407 
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-291500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0180
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0807 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR/PART OF WRN TN/FAR SERN MO AND WRN KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 44...45...

VALID 291407Z - 291500Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 44...45...CONTINUES.

WW 44 WHICH IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 15Z MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED
LOCALLY IN TIME TO 16 OR 17Z.  AN ONGOING STRONG-SEVERE STORM OVER
FULTON COUNTY KY/OBION COUNTY TN IS TRACKING ENE AND WILL AFFECT THE
FAR SERN PART OF WW 44 BETWEEN 15-1630Z.

AT 14Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY/LIGHTNING DATA SHOWED THE WRN EXTENT
OF THE OVERNIGHT MCS EXTENDED FROM WRN KY SWWD INTO NERN AR....WITH
ONGOING STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS LINE.  THIS
ACTIVITY WAS LOCATED WITHIN A CORRIDOR OF WEAK INSTABILITY /MUCAPE
AROUND 500 J/KG/...BUT STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR /50-70 KT/ AND LOW
LEVEL SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH OF 300-500 M2 PER S2/ CONTINUE TO FAVOR
BOWING SEGMENTS AND A TORNADO THREAT.

..PETERS.. 02/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LZK...

LAT...LON   35869153 36499049 37068878 37498789 37728691 36698710
            36428805 35818829 35438879 35379033 35339167 35869153

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 10:30 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 20 more6 hr
Feb 28, 11:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton95 min
Feb 29, 12:49 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clay, Cleburne and 31 more56 min
Feb 29, 3:20 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Fulton and 20 more9 hr
Feb 29, 3:53 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Faulkner and 20 more97 min
Feb 29, 11:11 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Mississippi2 hr
Feb 29, 11:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 7 more89 min
Feb 29, 2:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot6 hr
Feb 29, 1:14 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more11 hr
Feb 29, 2:40 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 63 more65 min
Feb 29, 4:39 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bourbon and 54 more7 hr
Feb 29, 7:27 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 6 more5 hr
Feb 29, 7:38 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 70 more67 min
Feb 29, 11:31 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bath, Bell, Boyle and 59 more8 hr
Feb 29, 11:41 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton and 2 more3 hr
Feb 29, 12:24 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Greenup, Lawrence36 min
Feb 29, 12:37 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence, Lewis, Mason7 hr
Feb 29, 3:18 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence, Lewis87 min
Feb 29, 3:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bath, Bell, Boyle and 48 more116 min
Feb 28, 8:23 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Holt, Nodaway37 min
Feb 28, 9:47 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Clay and 9 more58 min
Feb 28, 10:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBates, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Clay, Clinton and 9 more3 hr
Feb 29, 1:48 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCFranklin, Lincoln, Moore7 hr
Feb 29, 2:23 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJohnson67 min
Feb 29, 4:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Bradley, Carter, Cocke, Greene, Hamilton and 6 more54 min
Feb 29, 5:37 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBlount, Bradley, Carter, Cocke, Greene, Hamilton and 10 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.