Alert archive / Ohio / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 49

February 29, 20126 counties in Kentucky; 49 counties in Ohio; 39 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 29, 2012, 1:37 PM EST for 6 counties in Kentucky; 49 counties in Ohio; 39 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 29, 2012, 1:37 PM EST (18:37 UTC)
Expired
Feb 29, 2012, 8:51 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 94 counties

Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Adams County, OH, Ashland County, OH, Athens County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Brown County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Licking County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Medina County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Perry County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Barbour County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Webster County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 29, 1:54 PM ESTTornado WarningRLXLawrence36 min
Feb 29, 2:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMeigs45 min
Feb 29, 2:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLawrence60 min
Feb 29, 3:25 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRLXAthens, Gallia, Jackson, Meigs, Morgan, Vinton and 1 more6 hr
Feb 29, 3:29 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Nicholas46 min
Feb 29, 3:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Logan, McDowell, Mingo, Raleigh, Wyoming55 min
Feb 29, 4:35 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningPBZMarion, Monongalia, Preston, Tucker, Wetzel3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-02-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 18 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-02-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 791 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-228 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
454 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
791 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
857 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

949 
WWUS20 KWNS 291839
SEL9
SPC WW 291839
KYZ000-OHZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-LEZ000-010200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 49
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN KENTUCKY
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN OHIO
       FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA
       WESTERN AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA
       LAKE ERIE

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 140 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
AKRON OHIO TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HUNTINGTON WEST
VIRGINIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 48...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ON NRN AND ERN PERIPHERY OF ONGOING SVR
TSTMS OVER CNTRL KY.  18Z ILN SOUNDING INDICATES THAT AIR MASS HAS
BECOME UNCAPPED AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS OH WITH SBCAPE
VALUES OF AROUND 800 J/KG.  GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELD /REF.
18Z ILN SOUNDING AND CURRENT VAD DATA/...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
FOR LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES
AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26050.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 29, 1:49 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more56 min
Feb 29, 2:14 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more11 hr
Feb 29, 3:40 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 63 more65 min
Feb 29, 4:53 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more97 min
Feb 29, 5:39 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bourbon and 54 more7 hr
Feb 29, 8:27 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 6 more5 hr
Feb 29, 8:38 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 70 more67 min
Feb 29, 9:07 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden, Fulton and 12 more53 min
Feb 29, 12:11 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 61 more2 hr
Feb 29, 12:31 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bath, Bell, Boyle and 59 more8 hr
Feb 29, 12:41 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton and 2 more3 hr
Feb 29, 1:24 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Greenup, Lawrence36 min
Feb 29, 4:18 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence, Lewis87 min
Feb 29, 4:34 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bath, Bell, Boyle and 48 more116 min
Feb 29, 3:23 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreenbrier, McDowell, Mercer, Monroe, Summers67 min
Feb 29, 3:43 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCGreenbrier, Mercer, Monroe, Summers5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2012Tornado Watches in West Virginia, 2012Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.