Alert archive / Arkansas / Van Buren County
Weather alerts in Van Buren County, Arkansas, 2016
65 weather alerts in 2016, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Van Buren County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 65
- Warnings
- 26
- Watches
- 5
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- July18 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 10, 20165 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Van Buren County, 2016
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 20 | 5 | 75% | 5 | 60% | 26 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 5 | 1 | 80% | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2016
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings | 39 | 2 | 95% | 6 | 33% | 18 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings | 310 | 105 | 66% | 224 | 84% | 20 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings | 90 | 28 | 69% | 61 | 92% | 105 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 9:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 1, 1:47 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Mar 8, 5:00 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 45 min |
| Mar 13, 5:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Mar 13, 6:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Mar 13, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 7:11 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 24, 1:16 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 29 min |
| Mar 30, 11:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Mar 30, 4:47 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:27 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 11:45 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Apr 11, 4:51 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 23 min |
| Apr 11, 5:13 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 1:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Apr 27, 2:29 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 61 min |
| Apr 29, 4:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 30, 3:02 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Apr 30, 3:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 30, 7:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| May 9, 6:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| May 9, 7:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 24 min |
| May 9, 7:23 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 9, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 50 min |
| May 9, 8:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| May 9, 8:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 30 min |
| May 12, 2:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| May 24, 5:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 24, 5:18 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 42 min |
| May 24, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 31 min |
| May 26, 6:05 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 25 min |
| Jun 15, 3:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 30, 11:06 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 39 min |
| Jul 8, 1:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Jul 8, 2:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jul 8, 11:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 28 min |
| Jul 8, 11:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Jul 14, 5:52 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 53 min |
| Jul 14, 6:47 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 58 min |
| Jul 14, 7:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 51 min |
| Jul 20, 11:41 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 23, 2:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 24, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 30 min |
| Jul 25, 7:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 24 min |
| Jul 25, 8:23 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 37 min |
| Jul 29, 12:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 29, 3:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 42 min |
| Jul 30, 2:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 39 min |
| Jul 30, 3:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Jul 31, 5:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 51 min |
| Aug 6, 12:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 48 min |
| Aug 6, 12:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 38 min |
| Aug 6, 1:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 32 min |
| Aug 7, 2:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Aug 7, 2:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 51 min |
| Aug 7, 3:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 40 min |
| Aug 7, 3:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 25 min |
| Aug 7, 3:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 33 min |
| Aug 13, 3:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Aug 26, 7:18 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 27 min |
| Sep 16, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Sep 18, 9:52 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 38 min |
| Oct 12, 2:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Oct 12, 7:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 42 min |
| Oct 12, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 40 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 20 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 3 |
| Tornado Watch | 2 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 19 |
| Special Weather Statement | 15 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 1 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 5 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.