Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 157
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 9, 2016, 7:23 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 9, 2016, 7:23 PM CDT (00:23 UTC)
- Expired
- May 10, 2016, 3:41 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 84 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Cleburne, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren | 50 min |
| May 9, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Izard, Sharp | 48 min |
| May 9, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Randolph | 52 min |
| May 9, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River, Sevier | 46 min |
| May 9, 8:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Red River | 45 min |
| May 9, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Randolph | 52 min |
| May 9, 8:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Red River | 57 min |
| May 9, 8:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Red River | 47 min |
| May 9, 8:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River | 56 min |
| May 9, 8:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Little River | 53 min |
| May 9, 8:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk | 22 min |
| May 9, 8:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Red River | 48 min |
| May 9, 8:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay | 46 min |
| May 9, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 36 min |
| May 9, 9:26 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Little River | 3 hr |
| May 9, 9:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Little River | 45 min |
| May 9, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Sevier | 52 min |
| May 9, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Pike | 50 min |
| May 9, 9:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Izard, Sharp | 45 min |
| May 9, 9:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River, Miller | 56 min |
| May 9, 9:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 40 min |
| May 9, 10:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Pike | 21 min |
| May 9, 10:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring, Pike | 34 min |
| May 9, 10:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 47 min |
| May 9, 10:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Little River | 45 min |
| May 9, 10:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 53 min |
| May 9, 10:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Pulaski, Saline | 13 min |
| May 9, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River | 32 min |
| May 9, 10:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Izard, Sharp, Stone | 49 min |
| May 9, 11:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Pulaski | 16 min |
| May 9, 11:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White | 54 min |
| May 9, 11:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada | 63 min |
| May 9, 11:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 31 min |
| May 9, 11:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Miller | 30 min |
| May 9, 11:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Randolph | 3 hr |
| May 9, 11:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jackson, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 49 min |
| May 10, 12:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas | 48 min |
| May 10, 12:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Lafayette, Union | 61 min |
| May 10, 12:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie | 55 min |
| May 10, 12:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, Lee, St. Francis | 53 min |
| May 10, 12:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Desha, Lincoln | 45 min |
| May 10, 12:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie | 43 min |
| May 10, 12:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Dallas | 38 min |
| May 10, 1:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Monroe | 55 min |
| May 10, 1:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 41 min |
| May 10, 1:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson | 46 min |
| May 10, 1:33 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson | 42 min |
| May 10, 3:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Phillips | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1192 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1065 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 189 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 263 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.5
- Supercell composite
- 10.9
The text
As transmitted.
756
WWUS20 KWNS 100021
SEL7
SPC WW 100021
ARZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-100700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 157
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
720 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 720 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS NOW NEAR THE RED RIVER ALONG THE OK-TX BORDER
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY E OR ENE THROUGH LATER TONIGHT...WITH
AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR TORNADOS...ONE OR TWO OF WHICH COULD BE
STRONG...AND LARGE HAIL. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM IN NE TX / NW LA
/ SW AR AHEAD OF THE SUPERCELLS. THESE MAY THEMSELVES EVOLVE INTO
SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOS E / NE ACROSS NRN LA / SRN AR.
FINALLY...SOME INTENSIFICATION OF THE LINE OF STORMS IN N CENTRAL AR
MAY OCCUR THIS EVENING...WITH EMBEDDED SUSTAINED STORMS / SUPERCELLS
POSING A RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND...HAIL...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
LONGVIEW TEXAS TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF WALNUT RIDGE
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 154...WW 155...WW 156...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 8:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 32 more | 89 min |
| May 9, 10:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll | 83 min |
| May 9, 11:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 26 more | 90 min |
| May 10, 1:42 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew | 93 min |
| May 9, 7:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Holt | 57 min |
| May 9, 8:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Iron, Madison and 8 more | 6 hr |
| May 9, 9:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Perry, Scott and 1 more | 93 min |
| May 9, 10:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Holt, Nodaway | 54 min |
| May 10, 7:01 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Iron, Jefferson, Madison, Perry, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois | 104 min |
| May 10, 12:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard | 9 hr |
| May 10, 3:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mississippi | 67 min |
| May 10, 5:06 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Cheatham, Clay, Davidson, Dickson and 14 more | 6 hr |
| May 10, 1:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 45 more | 2 hr |
| May 10, 2:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet and 63 more | 7 hr |
| May 10, 6:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet and 61 more | 96 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Texas, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.