Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 582

May 10, 201615 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2016, 7:01 AM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 104 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2016, 7:01 AM CDT (12:01 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2016, 8:45 AM CDT
In force
104 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
5%
All 21 counties

Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Perry County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Madison County, MO, Perry County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 339 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 62 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 339 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
62 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
818 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
339 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
332 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Massac and 5 more6 hr
May 9, 9:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Pulaski and 2 more93 min
May 10, 12:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Pulaski and 1 more9 hr
May 10, 3:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Massac, Pulaski67 min
May 10, 5:06 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCGallatin, Hardin, Massac, Pope, Saline6 hr
May 9, 7:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot8 hr
May 9, 7:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Holt57 min
May 9, 10:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Holt, Nodaway54 min
May 9, 10:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 10 more83 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.