Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 574

May 9, 201619 counties in Arkansas; 12 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 9, 2016, 6:38 PM CDT for 19 counties in Arkansas; 12 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 97 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2016, 6:38 PM CDT (23:38 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2016, 8:15 PM CDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 31 counties

Baxter County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Marion County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Madison County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 441 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2016-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 15 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2016-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 173 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
15 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-201 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
703 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 1:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Sebastian and 1 more66 min
May 9, 2:36 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCrawford, Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Montgomery and 5 more7 hr
May 9, 5:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Montgomery, Pike and 4 more56 min
May 9, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Buchanan, Holt, Platte59 min
May 9, 4:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison53 min
May 9, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Holt, Nodaway6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.