Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 43
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 13, 2016, 7:11 PM CDT for 45 counties in Arkansas; 22 counties in Mississippi; 5 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 13, 2016, 7:11 PM CDT (00:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 14, 2016, 1:37 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 72 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
57 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 7:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland | 48 min |
| Mar 13, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Lonoke, Perry, Pulaski, White | 47 min |
| Mar 13, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 7:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Pike | 59 min |
| Mar 13, 7:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 39 min |
| Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley | 61 min |
| Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Drew | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 7:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Monroe | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 7:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Nevada | 33 min |
| Mar 13, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun | 40 min |
| Mar 13, 7:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 40 min |
| Mar 13, 7:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 67 min |
| Mar 13, 7:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, White | 51 min |
| Mar 13, 7:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Cross, St. Francis | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski | 48 min |
| Mar 13, 7:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | White | 28 min |
| Mar 13, 7:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Ashley | 66 min |
| Mar 13, 7:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lincoln | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 8:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Woodruff | 28 min |
| Mar 13, 8:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Nevada | 42 min |
| Mar 13, 8:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 40 min |
| Mar 13, 8:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson, White, Woodruff | 44 min |
| Mar 13, 8:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 24 min |
| Mar 13, 8:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Drew | 43 min |
| Mar 13, 8:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, St. Francis | 39 min |
| Mar 13, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White | 51 min |
| Mar 13, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley | 78 min |
| Mar 13, 8:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln | 43 min |
| Mar 13, 8:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 52 min |
| Mar 13, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 51 min |
| Mar 13, 8:54 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 5 hr |
| Mar 13, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett | 49 min |
| Mar 13, 8:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew | 48 min |
| Mar 13, 9:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Chicot | 27 min |
| Mar 13, 9:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett | 24 min |
| Mar 13, 9:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Drew | 3 hr |
| Mar 13, 9:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 41 min |
| Mar 13, 9:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Bolivar | 43 min |
| Mar 13, 9:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | DeSoto | 25 min |
| Mar 13, 9:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis | 4 hr |
| Mar 13, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, Poinsett | 33 min |
| Mar 13, 9:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett | 44 min |
| Mar 13, 10:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 45 min |
| Mar 13, 10:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi | 4 hr |
| Mar 13, 10:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 56 min |
| Mar 13, 10:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett | 25 min |
| Mar 13, 10:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 19 min |
| Mar 13, 10:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, Phillips | 3 hr |
| Mar 13, 10:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Bolivar, Sunflower | 34 min |
| Mar 13, 10:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett | 32 min |
| Mar 13, 10:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Sunflower, Washington | 28 min |
| Mar 13, 10:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto | 17 min |
| Mar 13, 11:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Chicot | 6 hr |
| Mar 13, 11:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey | 47 min |
| Mar 13, 11:31 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale and 5 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 13, 11:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Bolivar, Sunflower | 6 hr |
| Mar 14, 12:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Humphreys, Sharkey, Yazoo | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 301 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 733 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 780 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -4 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 101 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
665
WWUS20 KWNS 140009
SEL3
SPC WW 140009
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-140700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 43
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
705 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
ARKANSAS
EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 705 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING A FEW TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD FROM ARKANSAS AND FAR
NORTHERN LOUISIANA ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER INTO WESTERN PARTS
OF MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE TONIGHT.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
BATESVILLE ARKANSAS TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF MONTICELLO ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 42. WATCH NUMBER 42 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 705
PM CDT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...WEISSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 9:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 12 more | 116 min |
| Mar 13, 8:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo | 84 min |
| Mar 13, 11:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Grenada, Holmes, Humphreys and 10 more | 93 min |
| Mar 14, 11:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Blount, Bradley, Carter, Claiborne, Cocke and 19 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.