Alert archive / Arkansas

Weather alerts in Van Buren County, Arkansas

3,345 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Van Buren County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,345
Warnings
1,393
Watches
555
Advisories
196
Busiest year
2011234 alerts
Average year
82over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 83% of tornado reports in Van Buren County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 20 minutes before, and 83% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200810460%580%18 min
200930100%0
20109278%1100%35 min
2011160100%0
20122150%1100%10 min
20134250%4100%21 min
201420100%0
20152150%10%
201740100%0
201850100%0
201920100%0
20203233%0
202110100%0
20223167%0
202360100%0
202430100%0
20257186%0
Share of tornado reports inside a tornado warning, by year.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008491373%5100%22 min
2009401660%13100%21 min
2010291548%683%17 min
2011702761%786%18 min
2012462252%1593%26 min
2013441761%6100%13 min
2014412051%367%12 min
2015381463%4100%26 min
201620575%560%26 min
2017251252%9100%24 min
2018442152%1377%19 min
2019281450%8100%22 min
2020401465%5100%32 min
202113562%10%
2022331458%475%13 min
2023541965%1182%25 min
202415567%20%
2025572065%3100%24 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008191237%20%
2009231152%3100%78 min
201013377%0
201126773%1100%184 min
2012220%0
2013201145%2100%115 min
201410100%0
20159456%2100%82 min
20165180%0
2017440%1100%148 min
201813654%3100%57 min
20197271%250%60 min
20207357%1100%70 min
20218450%3100%137 min
202250100%0
20238363%0
20243233%0
202512650%4100%118 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 24, 3:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK13 min
Aug 24, 2:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK19 min
Aug 22, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK32 min
Aug 22, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK39 min
Jul 25, 11:14 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningLZK3 days
Jul 19, 11:50 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningLZK57 hr
Jul 15, 1:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Jul 11, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK34 min
Jul 4, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK26 min
Jun 25, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK17 min
Jun 22, 8:02 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Jun 22, 7:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK39 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.