Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1784

October 12, 201621 counties in Arkansas; McDonald County, Missouri; 14 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 12, 2016, 2:22 PM CDT for 21 counties in Arkansas; McDonald County, Missouri; 14 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 83 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 12, 2016, 2:22 PM CDT (19:22 UTC)
Expired
Oct 12, 2016, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
83 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 36 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Pope County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, McDonald County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2016-10-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 514 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2016-10-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
514 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-142 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
919 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 7:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Garfield, Grant, Kay, Major, Woods and 1 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.