Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132

April 30, 201619 counties in Arkansas; 16 counties in Illinois; 30 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 30, 2016, 3:59 PM CDT for 19 counties in Arkansas; 16 counties in Illinois; 30 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 30, 2016, 3:59 PM CDT (20:59 UTC)
Expired
Apr 30, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 65 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion45 min
Apr 30, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Pike52 min
Apr 30, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey17 min
Apr 30, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion48 min
Apr 30, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPope, Yell31 min
Apr 30, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun41 min
Apr 30, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion29 min
Apr 30, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark52 min
Apr 30, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard46 min
Apr 30, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey, Madison38 min
Apr 30, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Saint Clair49 min
Apr 30, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas44 min
Apr 30, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun42 min
Apr 30, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Pope38 min
Apr 30, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Louis43 min
Apr 30, 7:05 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKConway25 min
Apr 30, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy28 min
Apr 30, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Shannon, Texas43 min
Apr 30, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Saint Clair50 min
Apr 30, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner33 min
Apr 30, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Texas35 min
Apr 30, 7:32 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKConway, Faulkner28 min
Apr 30, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMarion, Searcy52 min
Apr 30, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Izard50 min
Apr 30, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Iron, Washington49 min
Apr 30, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair47 min
Apr 30, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Izard, Marion23 min
Apr 30, 7:56 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKConway, Faulkner11 min
Apr 30, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair51 min
Apr 30, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent11 min
Apr 30, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Pike50 min
Apr 30, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Sharp46 min
Apr 30, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Monroe, Saint Clair, Washington44 min
Apr 30, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Iron, Washington41 min
Apr 30, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIzard, Stone25 min
Apr 30, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton26 min
Apr 30, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Sharp45 min
Apr 30, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIzard, Sharp43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2016-04-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 194 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2016-04-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 252 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
194 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 8:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River and 4 more94 min
Apr 29, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more7 hr
Apr 29, 11:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Columbia, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 2 more93 min
Apr 30, 3:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Union97 min
Apr 30, 3:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Conway, Johnson, Logan, Marion and 5 more118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.