Alert archive / Michigan / Grand Traverse County
Weather alerts in Grand Traverse County, Michigan, 2021
78 weather alerts in 2021, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Grand Traverse County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2021. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 78
- Warnings
- 34
- Watches
- 8
- Advisories
- 21
- Busiest month
- August17 alerts
- Busiest day
- August 11, 202110 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Grand Traverse County, 2021
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 12 | 6 | 50% | 8 | 75% | 33 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 4 | 1 | 75% | 1 | 0% |
Each office's whole area, 2021
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Gaylord, MI: severe thunderstorm warnings | 85 | 33 | 61% | 78 | 65% | 17 min |
| NWS Gaylord, MI: flash flood warnings | 7 | 2 | 71% | 5 | 80% | 76 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 1:57 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 5 hr |
| Jan 11, 9:40 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 16 hr |
| Jan 15, 10:18 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 13 hr |
| Jan 18, 3:41 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 36 hr |
| Feb 3, 3:34 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 39 hr |
| Feb 4, 11:18 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | APX | 27 hr |
| Feb 5, 1:59 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 38 hr |
| Feb 19, 3:32 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 24 hr |
| Feb 19, 11:21 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | APX | 12 hr |
| Mar 11, 2:20 AM EST | Wind Advisory | APX | 16 hr |
| Apr 17, 3:18 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 29 hr |
| Apr 19, 3:28 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 30 hr |
| Apr 20, 9:55 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 26 hr |
| Apr 21, 3:00 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 18 hr |
| Apr 25, 3:30 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 24 hr |
| Apr 30, 4:18 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 26 hr |
| May 5, 3:24 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 30 hr |
| May 6, 3:21 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 17 hr |
| May 7, 3:06 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 17 hr |
| May 8, 2:12 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 18 hr |
| May 9, 1:59 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 18 hr |
| May 10, 10:15 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 21 hr |
| May 11, 3:55 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 16 hr |
| May 12, 3:56 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 16 hr |
| May 13, 12:21 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 19 hr |
| May 26, 3:16 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 29 hr |
| May 28, 10:36 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 21 hr |
| May 29, 9:54 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 22 hr |
| Jun 4, 12:39 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | APX | 22 hr |
| Jun 5, 10:27 AM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | APX | 23 hr |
| Jun 5, 10:27 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | APX | 10 hr |
| Jun 6, 9:38 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | APX | 10 hr |
| Jun 9, 4:07 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 53 min |
| Jun 16, 11:14 AM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | APX | 22 hr |
| Jun 17, 9:06 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | APX | 11 hr |
| Jun 22, 12:21 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 24 min |
| Jul 5, 3:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jul 14, 6:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 92 min |
| Jul 24, 9:17 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | 3 hr |
| Jul 24, 9:33 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | 3 hr |
| Jul 27, 12:50 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Jul 31, 7:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 92 min |
| Jul 31, 8:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 24 min |
| Aug 10, 8:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Aug 10, 10:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 41 min |
| Aug 10, 10:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 45 min |
| Aug 10, 10:52 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | 3 hr |
| Aug 10, 10:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Aug 11, 1:46 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | APX | 3 hr |
| Aug 11, 4:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Aug 11, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 11, 5:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 45 min |
| Aug 11, 6:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 51 min |
| Aug 28, 12:49 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 56 min |
| Aug 28, 1:08 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | 3 hr |
| Aug 28, 4:15 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 60 min |
| Aug 29, 1:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Aug 29, 1:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 38 min |
| Aug 29, 1:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Sep 7, 8:05 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Sep 7, 8:40 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 50 min |
| Sep 7, 8:57 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 33 min |
| Sep 7, 9:25 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 50 min |
| Sep 7, 9:29 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 46 min |
| Sep 7, 10:15 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Sep 20, 10:57 AM EDT | Beach Hazards Statement | APX | 3 days |
| Oct 11, 1:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Oct 11, 9:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Nov 27, 4:08 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 32 hr |
| Dec 4, 3:48 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 32 hr |
| Dec 5, 1:40 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Dec 6, 3:03 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 25 hr |
| Dec 9, 3:57 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | APX | 24 hr |
| Dec 10, 3:39 PM EST | Wind Advisory | APX | 28 hr |
| Dec 11, 6:08 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | APX | 4 hr |
| Dec 14, 3:55 PM EST | High Wind Watch | APX | 11 hr |
| Dec 15, 3:19 AM EST | High Wind Warning | APX | 41 hr |
| Dec 24, 4:11 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | APX | 14 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 12 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 3 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 10 |
| Special Weather Statement | 4 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 1 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 4 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 2 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 10 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 11 |
| Frost Advisory | 7 |
| Wind and dust | |
| High Wind Warning | 1 |
| High Wind Watch | 1 |
| Wind Advisory | 2 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 3 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 3 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 2 |
| Coast and beach | |
| Beach Hazards Statement | 1 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20202022
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.