Alert archive / Michigan / Grand Traverse County

Weather alerts in Grand Traverse County, Michigan, 2021

78 weather alerts in 2021, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Grand Traverse County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2021. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
78
Warnings
34
Watches
8
Advisories
21
Busiest month
August17 alerts
Busiest day
August 11, 202110 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Grand Traverse County, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings12650%875%33 min
Flash flood warnings4175%10%

Each office's whole area, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Gaylord, MI: severe thunderstorm warnings853361%7865%17 min
NWS Gaylord, MI: flash flood warnings7271%580%76 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 5, 1:57 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX5 hr
Jan 11, 9:40 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX16 hr
Jan 15, 10:18 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX13 hr
Jan 18, 3:41 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX36 hr
Feb 3, 3:34 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX39 hr
Feb 4, 11:18 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningAPX27 hr
Feb 5, 1:59 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX38 hr
Feb 19, 3:32 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX24 hr
Feb 19, 11:21 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningAPX12 hr
Mar 11, 2:20 AM ESTWind AdvisoryAPX16 hr
Apr 17, 3:18 AM EDTFreeze WarningAPX29 hr
Apr 19, 3:28 AM EDTFreeze WarningAPX30 hr
Apr 20, 9:55 AM EDTFreeze WarningAPX26 hr
Apr 21, 3:00 PM EDTFreeze WarningAPX18 hr
Apr 25, 3:30 AM EDTFreeze WarningAPX24 hr
Apr 30, 4:18 AM EDTFreeze WarningAPX26 hr
May 5, 3:24 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryAPX30 hr
May 6, 3:21 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryAPX17 hr
May 7, 3:06 PM EDTFreeze WarningAPX17 hr
May 8, 2:12 PM EDTFreeze WarningAPX18 hr
May 9, 1:59 PM EDTFreeze WarningAPX18 hr
May 10, 10:15 AM EDTFreeze WarningAPX21 hr
May 11, 3:55 PM EDTFreeze WarningAPX16 hr
May 12, 3:56 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryAPX16 hr
May 13, 12:21 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryAPX19 hr
May 26, 3:16 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryAPX29 hr
May 28, 10:36 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryAPX21 hr
May 29, 9:54 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryAPX22 hr
Jun 4, 12:39 PM EDTFire Weather WatchAPX22 hr
Jun 5, 10:27 AM EDTFire Weather WatchAPX23 hr
Jun 5, 10:27 AM EDTRed Flag WarningAPX10 hr
Jun 6, 9:38 AM EDTRed Flag WarningAPX10 hr
Jun 9, 4:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPX53 min
Jun 16, 11:14 AM EDTFire Weather WatchAPX22 hr
Jun 17, 9:06 AM EDTRed Flag WarningAPX11 hr
Jun 22, 12:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPX24 min
Jul 5, 3:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jul 14, 6:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPX92 min
Jul 24, 9:17 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPX3 hr
Jul 24, 9:33 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPX3 hr
Jul 27, 12:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC55 min
Jul 31, 7:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPX92 min
Jul 31, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX24 min
Aug 10, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Aug 10, 10:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX41 min
Aug 10, 10:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAPX45 min
Aug 10, 10:52 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPX3 hr
Aug 10, 10:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
Aug 11, 1:46 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningAPX3 hr
Aug 11, 4:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Aug 11, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC3 hr
Aug 11, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX45 min
Aug 11, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAPX51 min
Aug 28, 12:49 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX56 min
Aug 28, 1:08 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPX3 hr
Aug 28, 4:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX60 min
Aug 29, 1:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Aug 29, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX38 min
Aug 29, 1:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Sep 7, 8:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Sep 7, 8:40 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX50 min
Sep 7, 8:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX33 min
Sep 7, 9:25 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX50 min
Sep 7, 9:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPX46 min
Sep 7, 10:15 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Sep 20, 10:57 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementAPX3 days
Oct 11, 1:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Oct 11, 9:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Nov 27, 4:08 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX32 hr
Dec 4, 3:48 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX32 hr
Dec 5, 1:40 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC4 hr
Dec 6, 3:03 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPX25 hr
Dec 9, 3:57 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchAPX24 hr
Dec 10, 3:39 PM ESTWind AdvisoryAPX28 hr
Dec 11, 6:08 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAPX4 hr
Dec 14, 3:55 PM ESTHigh Wind WatchAPX11 hr
Dec 15, 3:19 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningAPX41 hr
Dec 24, 4:11 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAPX14 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20202022

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.