Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Watches in 2021

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Gaylord, MI

December 9, 202125 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm watch at Dec 9, 2021, 3:57 AM EST for 25 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Dec 10, 2021, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 9, 2021, 3:57 AM EST (08:57 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 10, 2021, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 10, 2021, 3:34 AM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
All 25 counties

Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Chippewa County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Mackinac County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2021-12-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2021-12-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 128 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
96 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

690 
WWUS43 KAPX 090857
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
357 AM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

MIZ086>088-095-096-091700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
357 AM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow 
  accumulations of 3 to 9 inches and ice accumulations of around 
  one tenth of an inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 
  mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-097>099-091700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Northport, Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Frankfort, 
Traverse City, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Manistee, 
Cadillac, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, 
Gladwin, Standish, Mackinac Island, St. James, and Charlevoix
357 AM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow 
  accumulations of up to 3 inches and ice accumulations of 
  around one tenth of an inch possible. Winds could gust as high 
  as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
3 follow-up statements
970 
WWUS43 KAPX 091548
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1048 AM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

MIZ086>088-095-096-100000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
1048 AM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow and freezing rain. The precipitation could be heavy
  at times. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 9 inches and ice 
  accumulations up to one tenth of an inch possible. Winds could 
  gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-020>022-097>099-100000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Northport, Mancelona, Gaylord, Mackinac Island, St. James, 
and Charlevoix
1048 AM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow and freezing rain, possibly transitioning to rain.
  Total snow accumulations up to 3 inches and ice accumulations up
  to one tenth of an inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 
  40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 

&&

$$

MIZ023>036-041-042-100000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Montmorency-Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-
Alcona-Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-
Arenac-
Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Frankfort, 
Traverse City, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Manistee, 
Cadillac, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, 
Gladwin, and Standish
1048 AM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow and freezing rain...likely changing to all rain. Total
  snow accumulations 1 to 2 inches and ice accumulations up to 
  one tenth of an inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 
  mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
490 
WWUS43 KAPX 092015
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
315 PM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

MIZ018-020>036-041-042-099-092115-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Benzie-
Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Manistee-Wexford-
Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Rogers City, Northport, Mancelona, 
Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, 
Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, 
Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, Standish, 
and Charlevoix
315 PM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

A brief wintry mix of snow and freezing rain will transition to 
all rain Friday night, before gradually turning back to a rain snow
mix Saturday. Windy conditions also develop early Saturday. But snow
and ice amounts are expected to remain below warning levels. 
Winter weather and or wind advisories may be issued for parts of 
northern lower Michigan in the future.

$$

MIZ087-088-096-100415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, 
Sugar Island, Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
315 PM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to a
  tenth of an inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Central Chippewa and Eastern 
  Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-097-098-100415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Mackinac Island, 
and St. James
315 PM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to a
  tenth of an inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Beaver Island and surrounding islands, Mackinac 
  Island/Bois Blanc Island, Cheboygan and Emmet Counties.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 

&&

$$

MIZ086-095-100415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, Engadine, 
Naubinway, and Epoufette
315 PM EST Thu Dec 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
  accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations up to a 
  tenth of inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa and Western Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

JZ
025 
WWUS43 KAPX 100834
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
334 AM EST Fri Dec 10 2021

MIZ016-017-088-097-098-100945-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Southeast Chippewa-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Detour Village, 
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Mackinac Island, and St. James
334 AM EST Fri Dec 10 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

Snow or mixed precipitation this evening is expected to change
over to rain overnight. Roadways could still become slippery. 

$$

MIZ086-087-101645-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0006.211211T0000Z-211211T2100Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, and Sugar Island
334 AM EST Fri Dec 10 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow
  accumulations of 5 to 10 inches and ice accumulations of around
  one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa and Central Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ095-096-101645-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.211211T0000Z-211212T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0031.211211T0000Z-211211T2100Z/
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
334 AM EST Fri Dec 10 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  3 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an 
  inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Michigan, 2021Every winter storm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.