Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Weather Advisories in 2021

Winter Weather Advisory 8, NWS Gaylord, MI

February 3, 202125 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter weather advisory at Feb 3, 2021, 3:34 PM EST for 25 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 4, 2021, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2021, 3:34 PM EST (20:34 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 4, 2021, 4:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 5, 2021, 7:00 AM EST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
All 25 counties

Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Chippewa County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Mackinac County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3244 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

246 
WWUS43 KAPX 032034
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
334 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-040700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210204T2100Z-210205T1200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Manistee, and Cadillac
334 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee and Wexford 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 PM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and areas of reduced
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-021>024-027>030-033>036-041-042-099-040700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-
Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-
Gladwin-Arenac-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, 
Harrisville, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, 
Gladwin, Standish, and Charlevoix
334 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and areas of reduced
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-040700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210204T2100Z-210205T1700Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
334 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO NOON
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 
  inches.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 PM Thursday to noon EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult with slippery road
  conditions and areas of reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
7 follow-up statements
026 
WWUS43 KAPX 040238
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
938 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021


MIZ020-025-026-031-032-041200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210204T2100Z-210205T1200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Manistee, and Cadillac
938 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY
TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee and Wexford 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 PM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and areas of 
  reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-021>024-027>030-033>036-041-042-099-041200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-
Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-
Gladwin-Arenac-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, 
Harrisville, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, 
Gladwin, Standish, and Charlevoix
938 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY
TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and areas of 
  reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-041200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210204T2100Z-210205T1700Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
938 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY
TO NOON EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 
  inches.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 PM Thursday to noon EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult with slippery road 
  conditions and areas of reduced visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
832 
WWUS43 KAPX 040837
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
337 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

MIZ097-098-041645-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the cities of Mackinac Island and St. James
337 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 
  inches.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island and Beaver Island 
  and surrounding islands Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-041645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210204T2100Z-210206T0000Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Manistee, and Cadillac
337 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 9 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Wexford and Manistee 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-041645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1700Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
337 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Western Chippewa, Central 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to noon EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-021-022-099-041645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Antrim-Otsego-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Mancelona, Gaylord, 
and Charlevoix
337 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Antrim, Otsego, Charlevoix, Cheboygan and Emmet 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-023-024-027>030-033>036-041-042-041645-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, 
Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Lake City, Houghton Lake, 
West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
337 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
696 
WWUS43 KAPX 041618
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1118 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021


MIZ020-025-026-031-032-050030-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210204T2100Z-210206T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210204T2100Z-210206T0000Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Manistee, and Cadillac
1118 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to  
  11 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee and Wexford 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-050030-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
1118 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 11
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-021-022-099-050030-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Antrim-Otsego-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Mancelona, Gaylord, 
and Charlevoix
1118 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan, Antrim, Otsego and Charlevoix 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-023-024-027>030-033>036-041-042-097-098-050030-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, 
Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Lake City, Houghton Lake, 
West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, Standish, Mackinac Island, 
and St. James
1118 AM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
702 
WWUS43 KAPX 041723
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1223 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021


MIZ098-050130-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the city of St. James
1223 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 9 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Beaver Island and surrounding islands County.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ097-050130-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the city of Mackinac Island
1223 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island County.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-050130-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210204T2100Z-210206T0000Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Manistee, and Cadillac
1223 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 
  10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Wexford and Manistee 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-050130-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
1223 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Western Chippewa, Central 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-021-022-099-050130-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Antrim-Otsego-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Mancelona, Gaylord, 
and Charlevoix
1223 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 9 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Antrim, Otsego, Charlevoix, Cheboygan and Emmet 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-023-024-027>030-033>036-041-042-050130-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, 
Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Lake City, Houghton Lake, 
West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
1223 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
183 
WWUS43 KAPX 042012
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
312 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021


MIZ020-025-026-031-032-050415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210204T2100Z-210206T0000Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Manistee, and Cadillac
312 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Wexford and Manistee 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095>097-050415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, Les Cheneaux Islands, and Mackinac Island
312 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 
  10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-021-022-098-099-050415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.210205T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Antrim-Otsego-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Mancelona, Gaylord, 
St. James, and Charlevoix
312 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-023-024-027>030-033>036-041-042-050415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.210205T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, 
Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Lake City, Houghton Lake, 
West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
312 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
645 
WWUS43 KAPX 050251
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
951 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-051200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Manistee, and Cadillac
951 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches. 
  Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Wexford and Manistee 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions
  will impact the morning and evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095>097-051200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, Les Cheneaux Islands, and Mackinac Island
951 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions
  will impact the morning and evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-021-022-098-099-051200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Antrim-Otsego-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Mancelona, Gaylord, 
St. James, and Charlevoix
951 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions
  will impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-023-024-027>030-033>036-041-042-051200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, 
Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Lake City, Houghton Lake, 
West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
951 PM EST Thu Feb 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions
  will impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
061 
WWUS43 KAPX 050940
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
440 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-051745-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Manistee, and Cadillac
440 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Wexford and Manistee 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095>097-051745-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, Les Cheneaux Islands, and Mackinac Island
440 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-021-022-098-099-051745-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Antrim-Otsego-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Mancelona, Gaylord, 
St. James, and Charlevoix
440 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ018-023-024-027>030-033>036-041-042-051200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-210205T1200Z/
Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, 
Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Lake City, Houghton Lake, 
West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
440 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Feb 3, 12:50 PM EST, 2 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 12:50 PM EST, 2 hours 44 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1250 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

.UPDATE...
Issued at 945 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

High pressure centered right across the area this morning, bringing
with it clear skies and a chilly start to the day. Other than a
few lake clouds scraping our coastlines, expect mostly sunny skies
to continue as overhead high only slowly pushes off to the
southeast. This ample sunshine will help temperatures recovery
quickly, with afternoon readings pushing up into the lower 30s for
most areas.

&&

.NEAR TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 355 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...One more 24 hour period of dry and quiet wx...

High Impact Weather Potential...None.

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...Nor'easter continues to churn just off
the New England Coast early this morning...while strong high
pressure now extends from James Bay thru the Western Great Lakes and
into the Mid and Lower Mississippi Valley. Dry northerly flow and
strong subsidence is maintaining mainly clear skies across most of
our CWA. The exception is some lake cloudiness streaming into far NW
Lower Michgian along and west of a line from TVC to CAD. Over-lake
instability will steadily wane early this morning as low levels
begin to warm. Also...land breeze development has begun early this
morning resulting from weak low level winds and cold temps.
Developing offshore flow should tend to push any remaining lake
clouds out of our SW CWA and into Lake Michigan over the next few
hours.

As we head into today...maintenance of strong subsidence and dry air
thru the column will give us one more mostly sunny early February
day across Northern Michigan. High temps this afternoon will warm
into the upper 20s and lower 30s. (Enjoy this wx while you can!)

Mainly high clouds will increase from west to east across our CWA
tonight well in advance of our next low pressure system slated to
provide our next chance of wintry precip and to usher in much colder
air for the weekend. Low level flow will shift to the south behind
the departing surface ridge axis and ahead of this approaching low
pressure system. Still appears deep moisture and thus any associated
precip with this next system will not reach our area until Thursday
afternoon. So...expect continued dry wx for tonight with some
increase in cloud cover. Overnight lows will drop back into the
teens to lower 20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Thursday through Friday)
Issued at 355 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

High Impact Weather Potential: Wintry precipitation...primarily
snow...with gusty winds and falling temperatures.

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast:

Upper level ridge axis will move over the Great Lakes Thursday
morning...but it will be shortlived...as amplified upstream
troughing digs eastward across the central CONUS. This will begin to
spin up an area of surface low pressure over the south central
Plains early Thursday under region of favorable ascent in left exit
region of 300mb jet. Surface low looks to trek northeastward as the
upper level trough begins to lift and become negatively tilted as
it, too, heads northeastward into the Great Lakes. This should serve
to further deepen the surface low as it crosses the region, and as
it continues its trek northeastward into Ontario, cold air will
funnel into the region on the backside of the system on reasonably
strong west to northwesterly flow...signaling a switch to primarily
lake effect snow...which should extend into the long-term portion of
the forecast...if not beyond.

Primary Forecast Concerns: Timing of onset of
precipitation...precipitation type...precipitation amounts...

With surface high pressure to our southeast...and low pressure
developing in the south central Plains...would expect to see warm,
moist, southwesterly flow develop ahead of the surface low and 500mb
trough. Would therefore expect the atmosphere to begin to saturate
through the day Thursday (if we don't already start off the day with
some mid-high clouds). Guidance does seem to have slowed things down
a tad since yesterday...perhaps by about 6hrs, give or take...with
precipitation looking to start more towards afternoon (from west to
east) into the evening, which will still mean some impacts for the
evening commute Thursday...and certainly for the Friday morning
commute. Additionally...looks like the bulk of the synoptic
precipitation will be Thursday evening into Friday morning as
surface low deepens, therefore intensifying lifting of warm moist
air over the region...and lending to increased potential for higher
precip totals.

Attm, looks as though mid level air will be starting the big
cooldown as the best mid-level moisture arrives into the
region...which will hopefully help mitigate some of the p-type
issues...though there could still be some early on...especially
toward the east side of the state and near the coasts. Snow to
liquid ratios look to be on the low side initially...so a wetter
snow and/or fine snow (given thermal profile looking somewhat
favorable for snowflake growth by riming Thursday evening/night) is
possible...which could also add to travel impacts as it could be a
"greasy" type snow. (As sometimes higher moisture content synoptic
snow can be...) Will continue to message potential for roads to
become slick as snow falls...in addition to falling temps into
Friday.

There are still a few differences in model guidance...though they
all suggest the surface low will move nearly overhead or just to our
northwest overnight Thursday, with winds shifting to the
west/northwest on the backside of the low, and CAA firmly in place.
Will have to still monitor for potential of flash freeze
situation...as more aggressive solution currently drops surface
temps from freezing around 6z into teens across the southwest CWA by
12z. Additionally...either way...once temps start falling, it
currently looks like they won't stop for too much until they bottom
out easily 10-15 degrees below normal for highs this time of the
year.

Otherwise...as winds turn to the west and northwest and 850mb temps
fall into the teens below zero Friday...would expect to see lake
effect machine ramp up through the day Friday. Wraparound moisture
will likely be an aid to lake effect as things switch from synoptic
to more lake-based. Mid-level synoptic moisture could linger into
Saturday morning...which would further assist in lake effect
production.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 355 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

High Impact Weather Potential: Medium

As mentioned above...lake effect should be ongoing at the start of
the long term...as cold northwesterly air flows into the Great
Lakes. Will have to keep an eye on shifting wind directions as
various shortwaves drop into the back of the trough this weekend
into early next week...as this will determine where snow bands set
up and for how long. Even so...reasonably confident to put in some
LES based pops for primarily the west to northwest flow areas
through the weekend into early next week...with lower pops toward
the end of the period indicating decreased confidence. Coldest air
of the season should move into the region during the weekend and
into early next week. Will definitely be something to keep an eye
on, especially for those who work outside or plan to do any work
outside. Though there are some disagreements in model guidance
especially beyond the weekend...there are still signals for cold air
to persist perhaps into the middle of the month.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1248 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

VFR conditions expected through the period. Clear skies into this
evening gives way to a slowly lowering and thickening mid and
upper level cloud deck overnight into Thursday morning. Light
winds become a bit gusty out of the southeast by later Thursday
morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 355 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

Winds and waves will remain below SCA criteria today and into this
evening as high pressure remains in control of the wx across
Northern Michigan. Conditions will begin to increase to SCA criteria
late tonight and Thursday as winds shift to the south and strengthen
ahead of our next approaching low pressure system. No precip is
expected across any of our nearshore areas thru tonight as high
pressure and dry air maintain control of our wx. Widespread wintry
precip will develop on Thursday ahead of deepening low pressure
tracking thru the Western Great Lakes.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...MB
NEAR TERM...MR
SHORT TERM...FEF
LONG TERM...FEF
AVIATION...MB
MARINE...MR
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 11:02 AM EST, 4 hours 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1102 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-041200-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
1102 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Accumulating snow is expected across all of northern Michigan late
Thursday into Friday. In addition, blowing and drifting snow is
likely Friday. Cold temperatures, low wind chills and accumulating
lake effect snow are expected this weekend into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-041200-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1102 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Gale force winds will be possible in the Friday time frame.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 3, 3:39 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX19 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Michigan, 2021Every winter weather advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.