Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Weather Advisories in 2021

Winter Weather Advisory 9, NWS Gaylord, MI

February 5, 202111 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter weather advisory at Feb 5, 2021, 1:59 PM EST for 11 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 38 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 5, 2021, 1:59 PM EST (18:59 UTC)
Expired
Feb 7, 2021, 3:43 AM EST
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Chippewa County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-02-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-02-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
848 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

617 
WWUS43 KAPX 051859
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
159 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

MIZ086-060600-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.210205T1859Z-210206T1600Z/
Western Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, and Rudyard
159 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6
  inches, with locally higher amounts a definite possibility,
  especially near Paradise. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will 
  result in some blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions
  will impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-020>022-025-026-031-032-099-060600-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.210205T1859Z-210206T1600Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Manistee-Wexford-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Northport, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, Cadillac,
and Charlevoix
159 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5
  inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph will result in some blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions
  will impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ087-088-095>098-052000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210206T0000Z/
Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, 
Sugar Island, Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, 
Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, Brevort, 
Les Cheneaux Islands, Mackinac Island, and St. James
159 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Light snow showers will continue through Saturday morning, but
with little in the way of additional accumulation.

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
6 follow-up statements
051 
WWUS43 KAPX 052105
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
405 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

MIZ086-060515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210206T1700Z/
Western Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, and Rudyard
405 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 
  6 inches, with locally higher amounts a definite possibility, 
  especially near Paradise. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will 
  result in some blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions will impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-020>022-025-026-031-032-099-060515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210206T1700Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Manistee-Wexford-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Northport, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, Cadillac,
and Charlevoix
405 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 
  5 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Winds gusting 
  as high as 35 mph will result in some blowing and drifting 
  snow.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions will impact the evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
170 
WWUS43 KAPX 060300
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1000 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021


MIZ086-061100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210206T1700Z/
Western Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, and Rudyard
1000 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to
  5 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Winds gusting as
  high as 35 mph will result in some blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery and snow covered roads. Patchy 
  blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-020>022-025-026-031-032-099-061100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210206T1700Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Manistee-Wexford-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Northport, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, Cadillac,
and Charlevoix
1000 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3
  inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph will result in some blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery and snow covered roads. Patchy 
  blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
171 
WWUS43 KAPX 060900
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
400 AM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

MIZ086-061700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210207T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, and Rudyard
400 AM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to
  5 inches, especially around Whitefish Point and Paradise.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and hazardous travel
  conditions due to periods of poor visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-020>022-025-026-031-032-099-061700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210207T1200Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Manistee-Wexford-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Northport, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, Cadillac,
and Charlevoix
400 AM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 
  3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and hazardous travel
  conditions due to periods of poor visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
515 
WWUS43 KAPX 061747
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1247 PM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

MIZ086-070000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210207T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, and Rudyard
1247 PM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up 
  to 3 inches.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-020>022-025-026-031-032-099-070200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210207T1200Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Manistee-Wexford-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Northport, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, Cadillac,
and Charlevoix
1247 PM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up 
  to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
067 
WWUS43 KAPX 062005
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
305 PM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

MIZ086-070000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210207T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, and Rudyard
305 PM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up 
  to two inches.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County, mainly in the vicinity of
  Whitefish Point

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-020>022-025-026-031-032-099-070415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210207T1200Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Manistee-Wexford-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Northport, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, Cadillac,
and Charlevoix
305 PM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up 
  to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
177 
WWUS43 KAPX 070843
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
343 AM EST Sun Feb 7 2021

MIZ016-017-020>022-025-026-031-032-099-070945-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-210207T1200Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Benzie-Grand Traverse-
Manistee-Wexford-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Northport, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Frankfort, Traverse City, Manistee, Cadillac,
and Charlevoix
343 AM EST Sun Feb 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Most of the area has seen the snow intensities decrease. However
there is expected to be some pockets of decent snowfall and poor 
visibility through tonight. 

$$

MIZ086-071645-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0010.210207T0900Z-210208T0900Z/
Western Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, and Rudyard
343 AM EST Sun Feb 7 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow and poor visibility expected
  in the far northwest portion of the county, mainly impacting
  Whitefish Point and Paradise. Total snow accumulations of up to
  8 inches in those areas, with snow amounts dropping off to a few
  tenths in the southern part of the county.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The cold wind chills
  as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in
  as little as 30 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Feb 5, 12:42 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 12:42 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1242 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

.UPDATE...
Issued at 923 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

Transition to lake enhanced snows continue as deep low pressure
exits into Ontario. Gusty west and southwest winds resulting in
narrow multi-band snow showers, with those gusty winds propelling
them well inland. Not expecting much change for the remainder of
the day, with periods of snow showers continuing...at times
briefly heavy in the snowbelts, with additional accumulations of a
few inches likely by this evening. Gusty winds, often in excess of
25 mph, will result in blowing and drifting snow, only further
exacerbating the hazardous driving conditions. All winter storm
warnings will remain for now...although a transition to advisories
will likely be needed heading into tonight as lake snows
continue. Other story is the cold temperatures, with readings steady
or slowly falling through the teens. Of course, those gusty winds
will make it feel several degrees colder yet, with wind chill
readings dipping into the single digits.

&&

.NEAR TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 347 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

Impactful weather: Accumulating snow and blowing snow. Falling
temperatures through the day.

Pattern synopsis and forecast:

Deep upper troughing engulfs most of the country this morning, while
deep sfc low pressure was moving toward eastern Lake Superior.
Widespread system snow resulting from low level convergence and
still fairly impressive deep layer -divQ continues over nrn Michigan
with strong cold advection now moving into the GTV Bay region. The
pressure gradient was tight, and winds were turning westerly and
gusting up to 35 to 45 mph. Further upstream across the western
provinces, strong sfc high pressure was noted, with much colder and
drier air pushing through the Dakotas/upper midwest.

The synoptic forcing and deep moisture will depart through daybreak,
bringing an end to the system snow. The strong cold advection will
sweep in over all of nrn Michigan, with lake effect snow developing
in the westerly flow regimes as overlake instability increases. The
lake effect snow will persist through tonight, and my be enhanced a
bit by a shortwave that slides into the region today. Westerly winds
will be quite gusty today into tonight, leading to areas of blowing
snow. Inversion heights are not out of this world, reaching 4000-
4500 feet, and will be a limiting factor in how much snow will fall.
1000-850mb winds do remain steady however, which will be in the
favor of decent snow amounts, which look to range from 3 to 7 inches
in the west snowbelts, with little to no snow across much of NE
lower.

After much discussion, all winter headlines will remain intact.
Radar can be monitored to see if the winter storm warning can
continue into tonight, but thoughts are that we could likely
transition to advisories.

Temperatures will fall through the day, down into the teens most
areas, in the lower 20s across parts of eastern upper. Lows tonight
will mostly range from 5F to 12F

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Saturday through Sunday)
Issued at 347 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

High Impact Weather Potential: Ongoing lake effect snow through the
weekend.

Pattern Synopsis:

Broad longwave troughing will encompass most of the Lower 48 on
Saturday as a strong shortwave/jet max pivots off of the New England
coast. At the surface, a cyclone centered over Hudson Bay will
continue to weaken as it becomes more displaced from favorable upper-
level forcing with time. A shortwave embedded in the main trough is
expected to dig into the Midwest and progress over the Great Lakes
Sunday night, providing enough divergence aloft to induce a weak
cyclone along an existing front that looks to trek across the
southern Great Lakes.

Forecast/Details:

Lake enhanced/lake effect snow is expected to be ongoing across NW
lower and eastern upper at the start of the period. Some stronger
organized bands may carry over into the morning, particularly across
the Tip of the Mitt and far northern Chippewa county. However, the
intensity of this snowfall is expected to wane heading into the
afternoon on Saturday as favorable synoptic moisture temporarily
exits the region. Snowfall intensity looks to pick back up Saturday
night into Sunday as the aforementioned shortwave moves overhead. As
the weak cyclone slides south of the region, associated synoptic
moisture will make profiles more favorable for a second round of
more intense snowfall overnight. The main limiting factor for
snowfall amounts Saturday night into Sunday will be the transient
nature of favorable wind direction, forcing, and moisture. That
being said, a few additional inches are possible overnight Saturday
where the heaviest snowfall sets up - most likely across NW lower
and eastern upper. Most of the area is expected to see at least some
snowfall associated with this weak system, but accumulations for
most should stay relatively light. Otherwise, westerly winds will
continue to pour cold air into the region as temperatures will
struggle to get into the teens during the afternoon this weekend.
Wind chills also look to stay below zero through most of the
period.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Thursday)
Issued at 347 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

High Impact Weather Potential: Low for now...Sub-zero wind chills
through most of the week.

Stout longwave troughing is expected to remain in place over much of
the CONUS through the upcoming week as embedded waves rotate through
the main flow at times. Most notably, a shortwave progressing
through the main flow may provide support for a system to track
through the Ohio River Valley Tuesday, bringing more widespread snow
chances to the state. Plenty of uncertainty remains in the track and
intensity of the system, thus keeping confidence low in terms of
impacts that may be seen across northern Michigan. The main story
for this upcoming week remains the bitter cold temperatures and wind
chills that are expected across the area. Afternoon highs in the
single digits will be common, especially across interior locations
of northern lower and eastern upper. Overnight lows will also be
near or below zero. Perhaps most important will be the wind chills
that will struggle to reach above zero throughout the week, even
during the afternoon hours. This will certainly be the coldest air
we've seen across the region so far this winter, and it looks to
stick around for a bit.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1235 PM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

Strong cold advection via gusty westerly winds with continue,
resulting in more lake effect snow showers, mainly for the NW
lower airports. CIGS will largely be MVFR, with periods of IFR
CIGS/VSBYS in heavier snow showers and blowing snow. Snow ratios
will be between 16/18:1 and snowfall rates are expected to be
largely less than an inch per hour. Additional snowfall today
through tonight will be on the order of 1 to 4 inches across NW
lower, with the most snow occurring at PLN. APN is only expected
to see a few tenths.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 347 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

Strong low pressure in the region will lift northward and into
Hudson Bay tonight into Saturday. A tight pressure gradient will be
over nrn Michigan and result in widespread westerly gales today into
Saturday morning, with speeds dropping to advisory levels by late
Saturday. Widespread system snow will turn to lake effect through
the day as temperatures plummet and overlake instability grows.
Lake effect is expected to continue into this weekend, being
enhanced by system snow Saturday night into Sunday.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WARNING until 7 PM EST this evening for MIZ016-017-
     020>022-025-026-031-032-086>088-095>099.
LH...GALE WARNING until 7 PM EST this evening for LHZ349.
     GALE WARNING until 11 AM EST Saturday for LHZ345>348.
LM...GALE WARNING until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ345-346.
     GALE WARNING until 11 AM EST Saturday for LMZ323-341-342-344.
LS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...MB
NEAR TERM...SMD
SHORT TERM...DJC
LONG TERM...DJC
AVIATION...MB
MARINE...SMD
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 9:38 AM EST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
938 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-061200-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
938 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Lake effect snow showers will continue today and tonight. In
addition, blowing and drifting snow will occur due to strong
westerly winds. Please see the latest Winter weather warnings for
further details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Cold temperatures and low wind chills are also expected this
weekend into next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the
National Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways:

Online:    weather.gov/gaylord
Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord
Twitter: twitter.com/nwsgaylord

&&

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-061200-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
938 AM EST Fri Feb 5 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Gale force wind gusts will occur today into Saturday morning for
the nearshore waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 5, 8:48 AM EST, 5 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
848 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     SNOW             5 E TURNER              44.13N 83.69W
02/05/2021  M3.0 INCH        ARENAC             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GILLEN
Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:13 AM EST, 4 hours 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
913 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY SNOW       2 W BAYVIEW CAMPGROUND  46.44N 84.81W
02/05/2021  E8.0 INCH        CHIPPEWA           MI   PUBLIC

            12 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 900AM.

&&

JSL
Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:32 AM EST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
932 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 AM     SNOW             3 ESE ELMIRA            45.05N 84.79W
02/05/2021  E4.0 INCH        OTSEGO             MI   PUBLIC

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL ENDING 900AM.

&&

JSL
Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:37 AM EST, 4 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
937 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY SNOW       RABER                   46.11N 84.09W
02/05/2021  E10.0 INCH       CHIPPEWA           MI   PUBLIC

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 900AM.

&&

JSL
Local storm report, Feb 5, 9:39 AM EST, 4 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
939 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY SNOW       2 W GRAWN               44.67N 85.72W
02/05/2021  E7.0 INCH        GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   PUBLIC

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 700AM.

&&

JSL
Local storm report, Feb 5, 12:58 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1258 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     SNOW             2 NNW EAST JORDAN       45.19N 85.15W
02/05/2021  M7.5 INCH        CHARLEVOIX         MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION EJNM4 EAST JORDAN 2
            NW.

0800 AM     SNOW             EAST JORDAN             45.15N 85.13W
02/05/2021  M7.1 INCH        CHARLEVOIX         MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION EJDM4 EAST JORDAN.

0800 AM     SNOW             1 SE KALKASKA           44.73N 85.17W
02/05/2021  M7.0 INCH        KALKASKA           MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION KLKM4 KALKASKA.

0802 AM     SNOW             1 SSE PETOSKEY          45.36N 84.95W
02/05/2021  M6.1 INCH        EMMET              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION PTYM4 PETOSKEY NCMC.

0700 AM     SNOW             3 W OMENA               45.06N 85.65W
02/05/2021  M5.8 INCH        LEELANAU           MI   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION MI-LL-1 NORTHPORT 5.0 SSW.

0900 AM     SNOW             5 S BENZONIA            44.54N 86.11W
02/05/2021  M5.4 INCH        BENZIE             MI   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION MI-BZ-1 BENZONIA 5.3 S.

0800 AM     SNOW             1 NE BINGHAM            44.88N 85.68W
02/05/2021  M5.0 INCH        LEELANAU           MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION NWFM4 NW MICHIGAN
            RESEARCH FARM.

0800 AM     SNOW             5 ENE ARCADIA           44.53N 86.13W
02/05/2021  M4.9 INCH        BENZIE             MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION BEUM4 BEULAH 7 SSW.

0830 AM     SNOW             1 SSE MIO               44.65N 84.12W
02/05/2021  M4.0 INCH        OSCODA             MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MYOM4 MIO WWTP.

0830 AM     SNOW             1 W EAST TAWAS          44.28N 83.50W
02/05/2021  M4.0 INCH        IOSCO              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION ETWM4 EAST TAWAS.

0800 AM     SNOW             ROGERS CITY             45.42N 83.81W
02/05/2021  M4.0 INCH        PRESQUE ISLE       MI   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION MI-PI-1 ROGERS CITY 0.2
            WSW.

0800 AM     SNOW             1 NNW CHEBOYGAN         45.65N 84.47W
02/05/2021  M4.0 INCH        CHEBOYGAN          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION CHBM4 CHEBOYGAN.

0800 AM     SNOW             11 ESE GOETZVILLE       46.00N 83.90W
02/05/2021  M4.0 INCH        CHIPPEWA           MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION DTVM4 DETOUR VILLAGE.

0800 AM     SNOW             3 SW OMER               44.01N 83.90W
02/05/2021  M3.2 INCH        ARENAC             MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION STAM4 STANDISH 4 NE.

0700 AM     SNOW             1 NW FIFE LAKE          44.58N 85.37W
02/05/2021  M3.2 INCH        GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION FLAM4 FIFE LAKE 2
            WNW.

0800 AM     SNOW             3 SSE GAYLORD           44.99N 84.66W
02/05/2021  M3.0 INCH        OTSEGO             MI   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS STATION MI-OT-16 GAYLORD 2.2 SSE.

0800 AM     SNOW             GAYLORD                 45.03N 84.68W
02/05/2021  M3.0 INCH        OTSEGO             MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            CO-OP OBSERVER STATION GAYM4 GAYLORD.

&&

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Michigan, 2021Every winter weather advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.