Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Gaylord, MI

August 28, 2021Grand Traverse County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Aug 28, 2021, 1:08 AM EDT for Grand Traverse County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 28, 2021, 1:08 AM EDT (05:08 UTC)
Expired
Aug 28, 2021, 4:00 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Grand Traverse County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2021-08-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 552 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2021-08-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 179 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
552 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
916 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

134 
WGUS53 KAPX 280508
FFWAPX
MIC055-280800-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0007.210828T0508Z-210828T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
108 AM EDT Sat Aug 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Grand Traverse County in northern Michigan...

* Until 400 AM EDT.

* At 107 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain have
  already fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, 
           highways, streets and underpasses as well as other 
           drainage and low lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Kingsley, Buckley, Karlin, Interlochen, Hannah and Interlochen
  State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4453 8581 4466 8581 4466 8550 4451 8551
      4451 8582

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

STJ
1 follow-up statement
868 
WGUS73 KAPX 280633
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
233 AM EDT Sat Aug 28 2021

MIC055-280800-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210828T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Grand Traverse MI-
233 AM EDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY...

At 231 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated ongoing rain in portions of 
the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have already fallen. 
Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. Additional 
storms may move into this area over the next couple hours.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, 
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other drainage 
         and low lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Kingsley, Buckley, Karlin, Interlochen, Hannah and Interlochen State
Park.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4453 8581 4466 8581 4466 8550 4451 8551
      4451 8582

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

STJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 28, 12:49 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Manistee, Wexford56 min
Aug 28, 12:51 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXBenzie3 hr
Aug 28, 1:40 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXCrawford, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Roscommon95 min
Aug 28, 3:42 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac, Gladwin, Missaukee, Ogemaw, Roscommon63 min
Aug 28, 4:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Manistee, Missaukee, Wexford60 min
Aug 28, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXKalkaska38 min
Aug 28, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Ogemaw, Oscoda, Roscommon46 min
Aug 28, 3:14 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX89 min
Aug 28, 3:18 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX29 hr
Aug 28, 3:26 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementAPXBenzie, Charlevoix, Emmet, Leelanau, Mackinac, Manistee29 hr
Aug 28, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXPresque Isle33 min
Aug 28, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlpena, Montmorency49 min
Aug 28, 4:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Iosco, Ogemaw, Oscoda43 min
Aug 28, 4:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Aug 28, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Iosco56 min
Aug 28, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Ogemaw55 min
Aug 28, 5:18 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX117 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.