Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Weather Advisories in 2021

Winter Weather Advisory 28, NWS Gaylord, MI

December 4, 202124 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter weather advisory at Dec 4, 2021, 3:48 PM EST for 24 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Dec 5, 2021, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 17 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 4, 2021, 3:48 PM EST (20:48 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 5, 2021, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 5, 2021, 11:37 PM EST
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
All 24 counties

Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Mackinac County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-12-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-12-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
805 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
121 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

687 
WWUS43 KAPX 042048
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
348 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

MIZ086-087-050500-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0001.211205T1700Z-211206T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0005.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211205T0300Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, and Sugar Island
348 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the WINTER STORM WARNING, heavy snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of 7 to 10 inches with locally higher amounts
  near 12" possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. For the 
  WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, lake effect snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations of up to two inches.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa and Central Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...For the WINTER STORM WARNING, from 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM 
  EST Monday. For the WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, until 10 PM EST 
  this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, mainly Sunday
  afternoon and evening. Patchy blowing snow could significantly
  reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ095-050500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0005.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211205T0300Z/
Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Engadine, Naubinway, and Epoufette
348 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the WINTER STORM WARNING, heavy snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of 6 to 9 inches. Winds gusting as high as 
  35 mph. For the WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, lake effect snow. 
  Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...For the WINTER STORM WARNING, from 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM 
  EST Monday. For the WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, until 10 PM EST 
  this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ088-096-050500-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0001.211205T1700Z-211206T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0005.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Southeast Chippewa-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Detour Village, Goetzville, 
Drummond Island, St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
348 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-021-025>028-050500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.211205T0900Z-211206T0600Z/
Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-
Including the cities of Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, 
Traverse City, Kalkaska, and Grayling
348 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  1 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  may reduce visibility at times.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-022>024-029-030-097>099-050500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-
Alcona-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, Mackinac Island, 
St. James, and Charlevoix
348 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  3 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  may reduce visibility at times.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
6 follow-up statements
575 
WWUS43 KAPX 050248
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
948 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

MIZ086-087-095-051200-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211205T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Engadine, 
Naubinway, and Epoufette
948 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO
1 AM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 10
  inches with locally higher amounts near 12" possible. Winds 
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa and Western 
  Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ088-096-051200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Southeast Chippewa-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Detour Village, Goetzville, 
Drummond Island, St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
948 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO
1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow 
  could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-021-025>028-051200-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-
Including the cities of Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, 
Traverse City, Kalkaska, and Grayling
948 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  1 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  may reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-022>024-029-030-097>099-051200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-
Alcona-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, Mackinac Island, 
St. James, and Charlevoix
948 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO
1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  3 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  may reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
148 
WWUS43 KAPX 050759
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
259 AM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

MIZ016>018-024-097-051600-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0005.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena,
and Mackinac Island
259 AM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Emmet, Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Alpena and Mackinac 
  Island/Bois Blanc Island Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-051600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
259 AM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Western Chippewa, Central 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ031>036-041-042-051600-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, 
Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
259 AM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-021-025>028-051600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-
Including the cities of Northport, Mancelona, Frankfort, 
Traverse City, Kalkaska, and Grayling
259 AM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ022-023-029-030-098-099-051600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Otsego-Montmorency-Oscoda-Alcona-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Gaylord, Atlanta, Mio, Harrisville, 
St. James, and Charlevoix
259 AM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
059 
WWUS43 KAPX 051802
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
102 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

MIZ021>023-028>030-099-060215-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Grayling, 
Mio, Harrisville, and Charlevoix
102 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to 8
  inches. Ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ098-060215-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the city of St. James
102 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Beaver Island and surrounding islands County.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-060215-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
102 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 7 to 10 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Western Chippewa, Central 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-024-097-060215-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena,
and Mackinac Island
102 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 6 to 9 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Presque Isle, Alpena, Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc 
  Island, Cheboygan and Emmet Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-025>027-060215-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
and Kalkaska
102 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Additional snow 
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light 
  glaze. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and reduced
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ031>036-041-042-060215-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, 
Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
102 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Additional snow 
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light 
  glaze. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and reduced
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
880 
WWUS43 KAPX 052022
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
322 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

MIZ086>088-095-096-060430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
322 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to 7 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Western Chippewa, Central 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Very difficult travel expected. Patchy blowing snow
  will further reduce visibility to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-024-097-098-060430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena,
Mackinac Island, and St. James
322 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Very difficult travel expected. Patchy blowing snow
  will further reduce visibility to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ021>023-028>030-099-060430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Grayling, 
Mio, Harrisville, and Charlevoix
322 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6
  inches. Patchy freezing drizzle possible tonight with ice 
  accumulations of a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Very difficult travel expected. Patchy blowing snow
  will further reduce visibility to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-025>027-060430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
and Kalkaska
322 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 2 
  to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will further reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ031>036-041-042-060430-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, 
Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
322 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 2 
  to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  will further reduce visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
663 
WWUS43 KAPX 060321
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1021 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

MIZ086>088-095-096-060600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
1021 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Western Chippewa, Central 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Most roads are snow covered and very slippery.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-024-097-098-060600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena,
Mackinac Island, and St. James
1021 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Most roads are snow covered and very slippery.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ021>023-028>030-099-060600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Grayling, 
Mio, Harrisville, and Charlevoix
1021 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up
  to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Most roads are snow covered and very slippery.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-025>027-060600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
and Kalkaska
1021 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch.

* WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Most roads are snow covered and very slippery.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ031>036-041-042-060600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, 
Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
1021 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 
  up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Most roads are snow covered and very slippery.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord
674 
WWUS43 KAPX 060437
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1137 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

MIZ016>018-021>024-028>030-086>088-095>099-060545-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-
Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, 
Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, 
Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, 
Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village, Goetzville, 
Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, 
Brevort, Les Cheneaux Islands, Mackinac Island, St. James, 
and Charlevoix
1137 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

$$

MIZ020-025>027-031>036-041-042-060545-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-211206T0600Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee-Wexford-
Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, 
Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, Lake City, Houghton Lake, 
West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish
1137 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Dec 4, 2:49 PM EST, 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 2:49 PM EST, 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
249 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

.NEAR TERM...(Through Tonight)
Issued at 248 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

High Impact Weather Potential: Lake effect snow/blowing snow
continues with the primary impacts continuing across portions of
eastern upper Michigan.

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Impressive 130+ kt northern jet streak
remains draped across the northern Great Lakes early this afternoon
with broad/weak troughing overhead. Embedded within this is a more
apparent shortwave, currently slipping by to our north while
attendant weak low pressure meanders toward the Ontario/Quebec
border. These features will trek east by this evening as upstream
high pressure settles overhead by mid-evening into the overnight
hours, albeit won't be around for long as primary focus for the
forecast period will revolve around the Sunday-Monday time frame --
in more detail below.

Primary Forecast Concerns: Continuing lake effect snow/blowing
snow with the primary impacts across Chippewa County.

Lake effect snow showers continue this afternoon in earnest across
Chippewa County into portions of Mackinac County, and to a much
lesser extent across the typical WNW flow snow belts of northern
lower. Ample over-lake instability continues across far northern
areas with delta Ts ~20C over Superior, plenty of moisture extending
through a 8kft inversion, and omega pegged squarely in a 3-4 kft
deep DGZ. Similar conditions will remain in place through this
evening before slowly rising mid-level heights and incoming high
pressure alluded to above really make their effects felt heading
into tonight with low-level moisture stripping out, inversion
heights crashing to sub-5kft, and low-level winds gradually taking
on a more southerly component with time.

Across northern lower, less favorable moisture profiles continue
with forecast soundings continuing to display an unfavorable
inverted-V at the low-levels due to abundant near-surface dry air.
Certainly some snow showers will roam areas south of the bridge as
has been the case for much of the afternoon, but with less
coverage/intensity. The only blemish to this area may fall across
the Tip of the Mitt where preconditioning off of Lake Superior has
allowed banding to extend through the straits into Lake Huron. Will
have to keep an eye on this to see if it sags into Emmet/Cheboygan/
Presque Isle counties. None the less, limited overall accumulation
expected, but some brief reductions to visibility and quick accums
leading to snow-covered roads possible.

With respect to amounts this evening, an additional 1-3" (locally
higher) across northern Chippewa County seems reasonable before snow
shower activity really wanes by late evening. Blowing/drifting snow
also remains possible with continued gusts of 20-30 mph. No changes
planned to eastern upper winter wx advisory through 03z. Localized
amounts of an inch or so possible across the Tip of the Mitt/
northwest lower with lesser amounts elsewhere. Lows tonight mainly
in the 20s, but wouldn't be surprised to see a few colder readings
as breaks in the clouds and briefly lighter winds may result in a
brief period of decent radiational cooling.

Attention then rapidly turns to the upstream system for Sunday-
Monday (see short term section below). It's possible isentropically
driven snow showers arrive across far west/southwest areas toward
Sunday morning.
&&

.SHORT TERM...(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 248 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...Winter storm with lake effect to follow...

High Impact Weather Potential: Moderate to high. Several inches of
snow Sunday with system along with potential freezing rain/drizzle
and sleet. Additional accumulating lake effect snow Monday.

Pattern Synopsis:

The upper-level pattern will quickly amplify Sunday as an impressive
trough digs across the central CONUS. Strong forcing aloft will lead
to cyclogenesis in lee of the Rockies and deepen this low near 990mb
as it treks across the northern Plains and into the northern Great
Lakes Sunday night. Longwave troughing will continue to slide over
the Great Lakes on Monday as the associated cyclone continues to
deepen and moves into Quebec by Monday night. Surface high pressure
will build into the region behind the system Monday night underneath
subsidence aloft.

Forecast/Details:

As well-advertised in past days, an impactful winter storm is set to
reach northern Michigan Sunday and create hazardous weather and
travel conditions through the short term period. Heavy snow
associated with the system is anticipated Sunday and Sunday night,
especially across eastern upper, while additional accumulating lake
effect snow is expected across parts of the area Monday and Monday
night. The following will detail each of these events:

1.) Heavy snowfall and wintry mix Sunday - Sunday night

Snowfall will begin Sunday morning across far SW portions of the
area near Manistee/Benzie counties. Strong mid-level warm/moist
advection northward across the area will help drive a frontogenetic
snowband that is expected to lift NE across the CWA through Sunday
morning/early afternoon. With amplified forcing, snowfall rates of
1"/hr will certainly be possible with this band. Forecast soundings
display a very favorable environment to support higher snowfall
rates and snow-to-liquid ratios with a saturated isothermal layer
extending a few thousand feet through/near the DGZ. Thus, a quick 2-
3" will be possible as this band moves through Sunday morning across
parts of northern lower. Higher snowfall rates and wind gusts of 20-
30 mph will lead to blowing snow and hazardous road conditions at
times.

The heaviest snowfall on Sunday is expected to arrive Sunday
afternoon/evening across eastern upper MI. The aforementioned band
will move into eastern upper around noon while receiving lake
enhancement with SE winds coming off of northern Lake Huron.
Snowfall rates near 1"/hr may continue for a few hours across
eastern portions of Chippewa/Mackinac county during the afternoon
and evening should lake enhancement materialize. Wind gusts of 20-30
mph will also lead to some blowing snow concerns across eastern
upper and, with higher snowfall totals, create even worse road
conditions across this area. In total, 7-10" is expected by Monday
morning across most of eastern upper with locally higher amounts
possible with lake enhancement. Amounts of 4-7" are expected from M-
32 to the bridge with lessening amounts with southward extent. There
is a chance for sleet/freezing rain later Sunday afternoon and
evening mainly along and south of M-72, but confidence is currently
higher for sleet than freezing rain and associated icing conditions.
The best chance for any glaze of ice will come with potential
freezing drizzle Sunday evening/Sunday night across northern lower
as there will be a break in precip potential during the overnight
hours.

2.) Accumulating lake effect snow Monday - Monday night

As this system departs to the east, WNW/NW winds behind it will
usher in the coldest air of the season and associated lake effect
snow chances beginning Monday morning. A broad area of snow is
expected around sunrise as a secondary front moves through, but lake
effect snow is expected to organize over the following hours Monday
afternoon and evening. Increased moistening through the lower
troposphere is expected via forecast soundings with ample delta-Ts
and saturation extending through the DGZ. This may support an uptick
in lake effect snow intensity Monday late afternoon through Monday
evening. Several inches of snow will be possible in the hardest hit
lake effect areas of northern lower and eastern upper, along with
increased potential for blowing snow and drops in visibility. Wind
gusts will increase to 30-40+ mph at times Monday afternoon and
evening, especially near the lakeshores. Quickly deteriorating road
conditions will certainly be possible underneath the heaviest lake
effect snow. Chances will wane overnight heading into Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 248 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

High Impact Weather Potential: Remaining fairly active with various
chances of additional wintry weather.

By early Tuesday, impressive troughing across the eastern Great
Lakes is expected to have trekked northeast across Quebec. While
enough lingering low-mid level cold air may prove to be enough to
continue scattered lake effect snow showers, latest trends suggest
upper-level subsidence and incoming sfc high pressure will aid to
fight much in the way of additional appreciable accumulation. Precip
chances across much of the area return Tuesday night into Wednesday
as another wave dives out of Canada toward the Great Lakes region,
although subtle forcing mechanisms bring higher than desired
uncertainty through this time frame. An active pattern looks to
remain in place toward the end of the week into next weekend with
seemingly better precip potential as guidance continues to hint as
strong upper-level forcing across the nation's midsection.
Otherwise, chilly teens/20s for highs Tuesday gradually moderate
into the 30s as we head through the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 138 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

Lake effect snow showers/flurries this afternoon into this
evening, primarily at PLN and APN. Cigs primarily remain VFR this
afternoon, but some brief reductions to MVFR not out of the
question. Gusty winds continue into this evening before breifly
diminishing overnight. Attention turns to Sunday when a low
pressure system is expected to bring a mixture of snow and
possible freezing rain, along with another round of gusty winds.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 248 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

Windy conditions expected over the next several days. Ongoing WNW
small craft/gale force winds this afternoon diminish briefly
tonight. Strong low pressure moves through the northern Great lakes
Sunday-Monday with SSE winds pick up through the day Sunday,
gradually veering more westerly during the day Monday. Periods of
gale force wind gusts are possible through this time frame across
all nearshore zones.&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WATCH from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning
     for MIZ086>088-096.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 10 PM EST this evening for MIZ086-
     087-095.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 10 PM EST this evening for LHZ346>348.
     GALE WARNING until 4 PM EST this afternoon for LHZ346>348.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 10 PM EST this evening for LHZ345-349.
     GALE WATCH from Sunday afternoon through Monday evening for
     LHZ345>349.
LM...GALE WATCH from Sunday morning through Monday evening for LMZ323-
     341-342-344>346.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 10 PM EST this evening for LMZ323-341-
     342-344>346.
LS...GALE WATCH from Sunday morning through Monday evening for LSZ321-
     322.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 10 PM EST this evening for LSZ321-322.
     GALE WARNING until 4 PM EST this afternoon for LSZ321-322.
&&

NEAR TERM...MG
SHORT TERM...DJC
LONG TERM...MG
AVIATION...MG
MARINE...MG
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 4, 11:07 AM EST, 4 hours 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1107 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-051615-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
1107 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Accumulating lake effect snow and gusty winds will continue
across eastern upper Michigan through this evening, with the
heaviest snow expected along and north of M-28. Please see the
latest Winter Weather Advisory for additional details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Accumulating snow and gusty winds are expected Sunday into early
Monday. Freezing rain is also possible, especially across northern
lower Michigan. Please see the latest Winter Storm Watch for
additional details. Accumulating lake effect snow and blowing snow
are expected Monday into early Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-051615-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1107 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Gale force wind gusts are expected on Lake Huron nearshore waters
and Whitefish Bay today. Please see the latest nearshore forecasts
and marine headlines for additional details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Gale force wind gusts are possible across all nearshore zones
Sunday into Monday. Please see the latest nearshore forecasts and
marine headlines for additional details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 4, 4:46 AM ESTGale WatchAPX17 hr
Dec 4, 5:08 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchAPXChippewa, Mackinac11 hr
Dec 4, 3:48 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningAPXAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Chippewa and 7 more32 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Michigan, 2021Every winter weather advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.