Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Gaylord, MI

August 10, 2021Antrim County, Grand Traverse County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Aug 10, 2021, 10:52 PM EDT for Antrim County, Grand Traverse County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2021, 10:52 PM EDT (02:52 UTC)
Expired
Aug 11, 2021, 1:45 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Antrim County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 11, 1:00 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Ene Alden, MI*** 1 INJ *** ALDEN HIGHWAY COMPLETELY WASHED OUT NEAR COMFORT RD. TWO VEHICLES FELL INTO ROAD WASH OUT CAUSING INJURY TO 1 PERSON. MULTIPLE OTHER ROAD SECTIONS HAVE BEEN WASHED THROUGHOUT COUNTY.
Aug 11, 1:32 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 S Bellaire, MIWATER OVER M-88 IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2021-08-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 579 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2021-08-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 65 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
579 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-163 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1058 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

774 
WGUS53 KAPX 110252
FFWAPX
MIC009-055-110545-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0004.210811T0252Z-210811T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1052 PM EDT Tue Aug 10 2021

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  East central Grand Traverse County in northern Michigan...
  Southwestern Antrim County in northern Michigan...

* Until 145 AM EDT.

* At 1047 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Radar estimates of 1.50 to 2.50 
  inches of rain have fallen since 730 PM.  Rainfall rates of 2 to 3 
  inches per hour can be expected through midnight.  Flash flooding 
  is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, streets and 
           underpasses as well as other drainage and low lying areas.

This includes the following streams and drainages... Intermediate 
River/Bellaire...Acme Creek...Rapid River...Yuba Creek... 
Williamsburg Creek...Clam Lake Drainage...and Cedar River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4507 8539 4507 8517 4487 8517 4485 8520
      4486 8522 4486 8529 4485 8532 4482 8532
      4481 8533 4479 8533 4476 8539 4474 8556

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-3 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

JPB
1 follow-up statement
493 
WGUS73 KAPX 110402
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1202 AM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

MIC009-055-110545-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-210811T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Grand Traverse MI-Antrim MI-
1202 AM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM EDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL GRAND TRAVERSE AND SOUTHWESTERN ANTRIM COUNTIES...

At 1155 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
heavy rain across the warned area. Radar estimates a swath of 3 to 5 
inches of rain fell between 730pm and 1145pm. Flash flooding is 
ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Rainfall will continue through 300am...additional rainfall amounts 
of up to an inch between midnight and 300am possible within the 
warning area.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, highways, streets and 
         underpasses as well as other drainage and low lying areas.

This includes the following streams and drainages...Acme Creek... 
Rapid River...Yuba Creek...Bonnie Brook...Intermediate River... 
Grass River...Cold Creek...Follet Creek...Williamsburg Creek... 
Cedar River...Grass Creek...Tobeco Creek and Fisk Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4507 8539 4507 8517 4487 8517 4485 8520
      4486 8522 4486 8529 4485 8532 4482 8532
      4481 8533 4479 8533 4476 8539 4474 8556

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL...0.50 to 1.00 INCH IN 3 HOURS

$$

JPB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 9:00 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Aug 10, 9:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Charlevoix46 min
Aug 10, 10:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee, Wexford41 min
Aug 10, 10:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Kalkaska30 min
Aug 10, 10:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau, Missaukee, Wexford45 min
Aug 10, 10:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego32 min
Aug 10, 11:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego51 min
Aug 10, 11:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Roscommon32 min
Aug 11, 12:13 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXLeelanau3 hr
Aug 11, 12:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Arenac, Iosco, Ogemaw, Oscoda47 min
Aug 11, 12:31 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Alpena, Montmorency, Oscoda, Presque Isle44 min
Aug 11, 12:37 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX83 min
Aug 11, 1:46 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningAPXAntrim, Grand Traverse3 hr
Aug 11, 4:12 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX16 hr
Aug 11, 2:52 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX53 min
Aug 11, 2:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXMackinac31 min
Aug 11, 3:11 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX64 min
Aug 11, 3:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXChippewa42 min
Aug 11, 3:38 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX52 min
Aug 11, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXChippewa, Mackinac43 min
Aug 11, 3:58 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX92 min
Aug 11, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXChippewa, Mackinac49 min
Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Aug 11, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCheboygan51 min
Aug 11, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXEmmet18 min
Aug 11, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCharlevoix, Cheboygan, Emmet36 min
Aug 11, 5:28 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Aug 11, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau45 min
Aug 11, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCheboygan, Emmet, Presque Isle47 min
Aug 11, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCheboygan, Presque Isle38 min
Aug 11, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatAPXBenzie, Leelanau30 min
Aug 11, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego35 min
Aug 11, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAPXAntrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau51 min
Aug 11, 6:26 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX34 min
Aug 11, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Montmorency, Oscoda, Otsego44 min
Aug 11, 6:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Alpena, Presque Isle47 min
Aug 11, 7:26 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX46 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.