Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Gaylord, MI

August 11, 2021Leelanau County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Aug 11, 2021, 12:13 AM EDT for Leelanau County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 11, 2021, 12:13 AM EDT (04:13 UTC)
Expired
Aug 11, 2021, 3:15 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Leelanau County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 11, 12:20 AM EDTFLASH FLOODEmpire, MIWATER UP TO 6 INCHES DEEP FLOWING OVER SOME ROADS AROUND EMPIRE.
Aug 11, 12:21 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 Wsw Fouch, MIWATER RUSHING OVER THE ROAD ROUGHLY 6 INCHES DEEP AT THE INTERSECTION OF GALLIVAN AND ALPINE ROADS. FROM TV 7/4.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 272 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2021-08-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 579 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2021-08-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 65 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
579 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-163 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1058 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

245 
WGUS53 KAPX 110413
FFWAPX
MIC089-110715-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0005.210811T0413Z-210811T0715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1213 AM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Leelanau County in northern Michigan...

* Until 315 AM EDT.

* At 1208 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Radar rainfall estimates of 2 
  to 3 inches has already fallen since 700pm. Additional 
  thunderstorms over Lake Michigan are expected to move across the 
  warned area through 300am...which may bring locally an additional 
  1 to 2 inches of rain.  Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to 
  begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, streets and 
           underpasses as well as other drainage and low lying areas.

This includes the following streams and drainages...Mann Creek... 
Hatlems Creek...Victoria Creek...Ennis Creek...Cedar Run...Lee 
Creek...Weisler Creek...Houdek Creek...Cedar Creek...Shetland Creek 
and Shalda Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or
creeks.

&&

LAT...LON 4488 8611 4495 8604 4494 8602 4500 8595
      4498 8584 4507 8579 4511 8573 4515 8570
      4515 8552 4500 8558 4477 8562 4478 8613

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

JPB
1 follow-up statement
608 
WGUS73 KAPX 110555
FFSAPX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
155 AM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

MIC089-110715-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210811T0715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Leelanau MI-
155 AM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM EDT FOR
LEELANAU COUNTY...

Radar rainfall estimates indicate a wide area of 2 to 3 inches of 
rain have fallen across most of Leelanau County since early Tuesday 
evening.  Some flooding has been reported in parts of the county.

Additional rainfall amounts of one-quarter to one-half inch can be 
expected between 200am and 400am.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, roadways, streets and 
         underpasses as well as other drainage and low lying areas.

This includes the following streams and drainages...Belnap Creek... 
Houdek Creek...Victoria Creek...Cedar Creek...Ennis Creek...and 
Mehert Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.  Be especially cautious at night when it 
is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

Flooding is occurring. It is important to know where you are 
relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in 
heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks.

&&

LAT...LON 4488 8611 4495 8604 4494 8602 4500 8595
      4498 8584 4507 8579 4511 8573 4515 8570
      4515 8552 4500 8558 4477 8562 4478 8613

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL...0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES IN TWO HOURS

$$

JPB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 9:00 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Aug 10, 9:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Charlevoix46 min
Aug 10, 10:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee, Wexford41 min
Aug 10, 10:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Kalkaska30 min
Aug 10, 10:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau, Missaukee, Wexford45 min
Aug 10, 10:52 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXAntrim, Grand Traverse3 hr
Aug 10, 10:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego32 min
Aug 10, 11:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego51 min
Aug 10, 11:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Roscommon32 min
Aug 11, 12:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Arenac, Iosco, Ogemaw, Oscoda47 min
Aug 11, 12:31 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Alpena, Montmorency, Oscoda, Presque Isle44 min
Aug 11, 12:37 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX83 min
Aug 11, 1:46 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningAPXAntrim, Grand Traverse3 hr
Aug 11, 4:12 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX16 hr
Aug 11, 2:52 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX53 min
Aug 11, 2:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXMackinac31 min
Aug 11, 3:11 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX64 min
Aug 11, 3:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXChippewa42 min
Aug 11, 3:38 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX52 min
Aug 11, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXChippewa, Mackinac43 min
Aug 11, 3:58 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX92 min
Aug 11, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXChippewa, Mackinac49 min
Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Aug 11, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCheboygan51 min
Aug 11, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXEmmet18 min
Aug 11, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCharlevoix, Cheboygan, Emmet36 min
Aug 11, 5:28 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX2 hr
Aug 11, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau45 min
Aug 11, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCheboygan, Emmet, Presque Isle47 min
Aug 11, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCheboygan, Presque Isle38 min
Aug 11, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatAPXBenzie, Leelanau30 min
Aug 11, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego35 min
Aug 11, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAPXAntrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau51 min
Aug 11, 6:26 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX34 min
Aug 11, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Montmorency, Oscoda, Otsego44 min
Aug 11, 6:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Alpena, Presque Isle47 min
Aug 11, 7:26 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX46 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.