Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 25
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 17, 2021, 4:37 AM CDT for 7 counties in Arkansas; 5 counties in Oklahoma; 36 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 17, 2021, 4:37 AM CDT (09:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 17, 2021, 10:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 48 counties
Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Collin County, TX, Delta County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Marion County, TX, Milam County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 4:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Falls, Freestone, Hill, Limestone, McLennan, Navarro | 48 min |
| Mar 17, 5:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall, Van Zandt | 56 min |
| Mar 17, 5:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan | 35 min |
| Mar 17, 6:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Delta, Hopkins, Hunt, Rains, Van Zandt | 54 min |
| Mar 17, 6:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan | 34 min |
| Mar 17, 6:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Smith, Titus, Wood | 63 min |
| Mar 17, 6:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bowie, Camp, Franklin, Morris, Red River, Titus | 49 min |
| Mar 17, 7:08 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bowie, Cass, Morris, Red River, Titus | 37 min |
| Mar 17, 7:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Cherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Rusk and 2 more | 58 min |
| Mar 17, 7:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 54 min |
| Mar 17, 7:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Smith | 62 min |
| Mar 17, 8:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Angelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk, Shelby | 63 min |
| Mar 17, 8:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Lafayette, Miller | 56 min |
| Mar 17, 8:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby | 44 min |
| Mar 17, 9:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, San Augustine, Shelby | 61 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 805 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -80 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1449 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 37 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 146 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 3.8
The text
As transmitted.
896 WWUS20 KWNS 170935 SEL5 SPC WW 170935 ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-171500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 25 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 435 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Arkansas Extreme northwest Louisiana Southeast Oklahoma Northeast Texas * Effective this Wednesday morning from 435 AM until 1000 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A broken band of strong-severe storms will continue to spread east-northeastward from the Dallas-Fort Worth area toward Texarkana through the morning. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main threats, but the storm environment still suggests some potential for embedded circulations with a tornado or two possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northwest of De Queen AR to 40 miles south of Tyler TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 23...WW 24... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Washington | 90 min |
| Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more | 118 min |
| Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 5:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Lincoln and 3 more | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 5:53 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 8 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Columbia, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 19 more | 95 min |
| Mar 17, 7:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, St. Francis | 67 min |
| Mar 17, 7:47 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland and 15 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 17, 8:43 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Columbia, Union | 4 hr |
| Mar 17, 12:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips | 90 min |
| Mar 17, 12:57 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Lee, Phillips | 6 hr |
| Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 22 more | 57 min |
| Mar 17, 2:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 12 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew | 94 min |
| Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more | 83 min |
| Mar 17, 6:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross | 66 min |
| Mar 16, 7:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer and 19 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 1:54 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Craig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Osage and 5 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 17, 1:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Custer, Garfield, Kay, Kingfisher, Logan and 3 more | 64 min |
| Mar 17, 4:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Cimarron, Texas | 6 hr |
| Mar 17, 5:18 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craig, Nowata, Washington | 87 min |
| Mar 16, 9:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 30 more | 93 min |
| Mar 16, 10:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 44 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 2:20 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland, Erath and 6 more | 85 min |
| Mar 17, 11:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Harris and 10 more | 85 min |
| Mar 17, 11:53 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Tyler | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.