Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 25

March 17, 20217 counties in Arkansas; 5 counties in Oklahoma; 36 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 17, 2021, 4:37 AM CDT for 7 counties in Arkansas; 5 counties in Oklahoma; 36 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2021, 4:37 AM CDT (09:37 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2021, 10:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Collin County, TX, Delta County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Marion County, TX, Milam County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 4:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFalls, Freestone, Hill, Limestone, McLennan, Navarro48 min
Mar 17, 5:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall, Van Zandt56 min
Mar 17, 5:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan35 min
Mar 17, 6:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Hopkins, Hunt, Rains, Van Zandt54 min
Mar 17, 6:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan34 min
Mar 17, 6:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Smith, Titus, Wood63 min
Mar 17, 6:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBowie, Camp, Franklin, Morris, Red River, Titus49 min
Mar 17, 7:08 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVBowie, Cass, Morris, Red River, Titus37 min
Mar 17, 7:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Rusk and 2 more58 min
Mar 17, 7:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier54 min
Mar 17, 7:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Smith62 min
Mar 17, 8:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk, Shelby63 min
Mar 17, 8:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLafayette, Miller56 min
Mar 17, 8:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby44 min
Mar 17, 9:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, San Augustine, Shelby61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2021-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 805 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2021-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
805 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1449 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

896 
WWUS20 KWNS 170935
SEL5  
SPC WW 170935
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-171500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 25
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Arkansas
  Extreme northwest Louisiana
  Southeast Oklahoma
  Northeast Texas

* Effective this Wednesday morning from 435 AM until 1000 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A broken band of strong-severe storms will continue to
spread east-northeastward from the Dallas-Fort Worth area toward
Texarkana through the morning.  Damaging winds and large hail will
be the main threats, but the storm environment still suggests some
potential for embedded circulations with a tornado or two possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northwest of De
Queen AR to 40 miles south of Tyler TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 23...WW 24...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24040.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Washington90 min
Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more118 min
Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier86 min
Mar 17, 5:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Lincoln and 3 more86 min
Mar 17, 5:53 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 8 more7 hr
Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 19 more95 min
Mar 17, 7:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, St. Francis67 min
Mar 17, 7:47 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Clark, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland and 15 more5 hr
Mar 17, 8:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Union4 hr
Mar 17, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips90 min
Mar 17, 12:57 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAshley, Chicot, Lee, Phillips6 hr
Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 22 more57 min
Mar 17, 2:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 12 more7 hr
Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew94 min
Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more83 min
Mar 17, 6:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross66 min
Mar 16, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer and 19 more7 hr
Mar 17, 1:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCraig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Osage and 5 more6 hr
Mar 17, 1:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Custer, Garfield, Kay, Kingfisher, Logan and 3 more64 min
Mar 17, 4:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Texas6 hr
Mar 17, 5:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Nowata, Washington87 min
Mar 16, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 30 more93 min
Mar 16, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 44 more7 hr
Mar 17, 2:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland, Erath and 6 more85 min
Mar 17, 11:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Harris and 10 more85 min
Mar 17, 11:53 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Tyler6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.