Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24

March 17, 202116 counties in Kansas; 11 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 17, 2021, 1:54 AM CDT for 16 counties in Kansas; 11 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2021, 1:54 AM CDT (06:54 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2021, 8:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Dade County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 2:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee41 min
Mar 17, 2:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee46 min
Mar 17, 3:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBates, Cass, Henry37 min
Mar 17, 3:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage47 min
Mar 17, 3:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee44 min
Mar 17, 4:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Pawnee, Washington50 min
Mar 17, 5:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon30 min
Mar 17, 5:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn43 min
Mar 17, 5:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Cedar, Vernon29 min
Mar 17, 5:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 295 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
964 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
295 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
405 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

473 
WWUS20 KWNS 170652
SEL4  
SPC WW 170652
KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-171300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 24
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Kansas
  Southwest Missouri
  Northeast Oklahoma

* Effective this Wednesday morning from 155 AM until 800 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of severe storms, some with supercell and/or
bowing structures, will continue to spread east-northeastward from
northern Oklahoma toward northeast Oklahoma, southeast Kansas, and
southwest Missouri through the early morning hours.  Large hail can
be expected with the stronger storms, as well as occasional damaging
gusts.  An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out later this morning
in northeast Oklahoma.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles north of Ponca
City OK to 45 miles northeast of Joplin MO. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 22...WW 23...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCowley, Harper, Sumner7 hr
Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 21 more90 min
Mar 17, 4:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMorton, Stevens6 hr
Mar 17, 5:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Linn, Montgomery and 1 more87 min
Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee57 min
Mar 17, 8:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Christian, Cole and 35 more84 min
Mar 17, 2:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Greene, Lawrence, McDonald and 6 more7 hr
Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Greene, Jasper, Lawrence and 5 more83 min
Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLeFlore, McCurtain118 min
Mar 17, 1:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Custer, Garfield, Kay, Kingfisher, Logan and 3 more64 min
Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Choctaw, McCurtain86 min
Mar 17, 4:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, McCurtain, Pushmataha5 hr
Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Latimer, LeFlore, McCurtain, Pushmataha95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.