Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 17, 2021, 1:54 AM CDT for 16 counties in Kansas; 11 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 17, 2021, 1:54 AM CDT (06:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 17, 2021, 8:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 38 counties
Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Dade County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2:04 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Pawnee | 41 min |
| Mar 17, 2:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Pawnee | 46 min |
| Mar 17, 3:23 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Bates, Cass, Henry | 37 min |
| Mar 17, 3:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 47 min |
| Mar 17, 3:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Pawnee | 44 min |
| Mar 17, 4:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Washington | 50 min |
| Mar 17, 5:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Bourbon | 30 min |
| Mar 17, 5:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn | 43 min |
| Mar 17, 5:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Cedar, Vernon | 29 min |
| Mar 17, 5:33 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 57 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 964 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 65 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 295 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 405 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
473
WWUS20 KWNS 170652
SEL4
SPC WW 170652
KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-171300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 24
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Southwest Missouri
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 155 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of severe storms, some with supercell and/or
bowing structures, will continue to spread east-northeastward from
northern Oklahoma toward northeast Oklahoma, southeast Kansas, and
southwest Missouri through the early morning hours. Large hail can
be expected with the stronger storms, as well as occasional damaging
gusts. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out later this morning
in northeast Oklahoma.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles north of Ponca
City OK to 45 miles northeast of Joplin MO. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 22...WW 23...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 7:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cowley, Harper, Sumner | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 21 more | 90 min |
| Mar 17, 4:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Morton, Stevens | 6 hr |
| Mar 17, 5:18 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Linn, Montgomery and 1 more | 87 min |
| Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee | 57 min |
| Mar 17, 8:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Christian, Cole and 35 more | 84 min |
| Mar 17, 2:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barry, Christian, Douglas, Greene, Lawrence, McDonald and 6 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Christian, Douglas, Greene, Jasper, Lawrence and 5 more | 83 min |
| Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | LeFlore, McCurtain | 118 min |
| Mar 17, 1:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Custer, Garfield, Kay, Kingfisher, Logan and 3 more | 64 min |
| Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan, Choctaw, McCurtain | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 4:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Choctaw, McCurtain, Pushmataha | 5 hr |
| Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Latimer, LeFlore, McCurtain, Pushmataha | 95 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.