Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 34
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 17, 2021, 2:00 PM CDT for 18 counties in Arkansas; 12 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 17, 2021, 2:00 PM CDT (19:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 17, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
All 41 counties
Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Rogers, Wagoner | 28 min |
| Mar 17, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Osage, Tulsa | 47 min |
| Mar 17, 3:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 13 min |
| Mar 17, 3:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 40 min |
| Mar 17, 4:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Washington | 13 min |
| Mar 17, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, McDonald, Newton | 50 min |
| Mar 17, 4:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 50 min |
| Mar 17, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 27 min |
| Mar 17, 4:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Jasper, Lawrence, Newton | 52 min |
| Mar 17, 4:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry | 50 min |
| Mar 17, 5:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 4 hr |
| Mar 17, 5:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, McDonald, Newton | 35 min |
| Mar 17, 5:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry | 33 min |
| Mar 17, 5:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence | 43 min |
| Mar 17, 5:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Stone | 57 min |
| Mar 17, 5:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence | 27 min |
| Mar 17, 5:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry | 37 min |
| Mar 17, 5:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence, Newton | 4 hr |
| Mar 17, 6:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Dade, Greene, Lawrence | 44 min |
| Mar 17, 6:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry, Stone | 17 min |
| Mar 17, 6:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry, Stone | 25 min |
| Mar 17, 6:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Stone | 50 min |
| Mar 17, 6:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Stone | 23 min |
| Mar 17, 6:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian | 57 min |
| Mar 17, 6:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Jasper, Lawrence, Stone | 4 hr |
| Mar 17, 7:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Greene, Webster | 54 min |
| Mar 17, 7:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Webster, Wright | 66 min |
| Mar 17, 7:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Christian, Dade, Greene, Lawrence, Polk and 2 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 17, 7:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Douglas | 32 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 102 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -235 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 956 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 220 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 236 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.9
The text
As transmitted.
059 WWUS20 KWNS 171858 SEL4 SPC WW 171858 ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-180100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 34 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 200 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest Arkansas Southwest Missouri Northeast Oklahoma * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...Multiple supercells may intensify across northeast Oklahoma before spreading/developing into parts of northwest Arkansas and southwest Missouri. Greatest tornado threat should be in a narrow corridor near the surface cyclone and warm front. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Monett MO to 40 miles southwest of Russellville AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 29...WW 30...WW 31...WW 32...WW 33... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 22025. ...Grams
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Washington | 90 min |
| Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more | 118 min |
| Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 4:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 17, 5:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Lincoln and 3 more | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 5:53 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 8 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Columbia, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 19 more | 95 min |
| Mar 17, 7:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, St. Francis | 67 min |
| Mar 17, 7:47 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland and 15 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 17, 8:43 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Columbia, Union | 4 hr |
| Mar 17, 12:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips | 90 min |
| Mar 17, 12:57 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Lee, Phillips | 6 hr |
| Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 22 more | 57 min |
| Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew | 94 min |
| Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more | 83 min |
| Mar 17, 6:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross | 66 min |
| Mar 17, 1:54 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barry, Barton, Bates, Cedar, Dade, Jasper and 5 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 17, 5:18 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Bates, Vernon | 87 min |
| Mar 17, 8:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Christian, Cole and 35 more | 84 min |
| Mar 16, 7:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer and 19 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 1:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Custer, Garfield, Kay, Kingfisher, Logan and 3 more | 64 min |
| Mar 17, 4:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Cimarron, Texas | 6 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2021Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.