Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 28

March 17, 2021Columbia County, Union County, Arkansas; 14 parishes in Louisiana; 5 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 17, 2021, 8:43 AM CDT for Columbia County, Union County, Arkansas; 14 parishes in Louisiana; 5 counties in Texas. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2021, 8:43 AM CDT (13:43 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2021, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 21 counties

Columbia County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 9:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Sabine61 min
Mar 17, 11:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Sabine, San Augustine48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1417 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 328 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1417 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
682 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
328 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
340 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.7
Supercell composite
14.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

985 
WWUS20 KWNS 171338
SEL8  
SPC WW 171338
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-171800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 28
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
840 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Arkansas
  Northwest Louisiana
  Far eastern Texas

* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 840 AM
  until 100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A squall line across eastern TX should continue east
across parts of the Sabine Valley into Louisiana and southern
Arkansas through midday. Damaging wind gusts will be the main hazard
initially, but the tornado risk should increase later this morning.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles east of El Dorado AR to 55
miles southwest of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 25...WW 26...WW 27...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26035.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Washington90 min
Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more118 min
Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier86 min
Mar 17, 4:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more5 hr
Mar 17, 5:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Lincoln and 3 more86 min
Mar 17, 5:53 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 8 more7 hr
Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 19 more95 min
Mar 17, 7:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, St. Francis67 min
Mar 17, 7:47 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Clark, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland and 15 more5 hr
Mar 17, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips90 min
Mar 17, 12:57 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAshley, Chicot, Lee, Phillips6 hr
Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 22 more57 min
Mar 17, 2:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 12 more7 hr
Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew94 min
Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more83 min
Mar 17, 6:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross66 min
Mar 17, 11:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Bienville, Calcasieu, Cameron, De Soto and 8 more85 min
Mar 17, 11:53 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 7 more6 hr
Mar 17, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 18 more90 min
Mar 17, 2:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 19 more8 hr
Mar 16, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCollingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Roberts and 1 more7 hr
Mar 16, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 30 more93 min
Mar 16, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 44 more7 hr
Mar 17, 2:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland, Erath and 6 more85 min
Mar 17, 4:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Dallam, Deaf Smith, Gray, Hansford and 11 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.