Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 30

March 17, 202113 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 17, 2021, 11:53 AM CDT for 13 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2021, 11:53 AM CDT (16:53 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2021, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt

Counties Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion36 min
Mar 17, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCameron, Vermilion62 min
Mar 17, 4:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 458 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 158 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
458 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-397 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1132 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
158 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
247 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

511 
WWUS20 KWNS 171650
SEL0  
SPC WW 171650
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-172300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 30
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1155 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Louisiana
  Far southeast Texas
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1155 AM until
  600 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A few discrete supercells should develop along and just
ahead of the cold front pushing east from southeast Texas. The
greatest tornado threat is expected towards central Louisiana during
the late afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of Fort Polk LA to
50 miles south southwest of Lake Charles LA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27...WW 28...WW
29...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Jackson and 6 more118 min
Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBossier, Caddo86 min
Mar 17, 4:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBossier, Caddo5 hr
Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBossier, Caddo, Claiborne, Webster95 min
Mar 17, 8:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Jackson and 8 more4 hr
Mar 17, 11:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Bienville, Calcasieu, Cameron, De Soto and 8 more85 min
Mar 17, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Catahoula, East Carroll, Franklin, Jackson, LaSalle and 9 more90 min
Mar 17, 12:57 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBienville, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin and 15 more6 hr
Mar 17, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 18 more90 min
Mar 17, 2:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 19 more8 hr
Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Grant and 7 more94 min
Mar 16, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCollingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Roberts and 1 more7 hr
Mar 16, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 30 more93 min
Mar 16, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 44 more7 hr
Mar 17, 2:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland, Erath and 6 more85 min
Mar 17, 4:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Dallam, Deaf Smith, Gray, Hansford and 11 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.