Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 26
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 17, 2021, 5:53 AM CDT for 14 counties in Arkansas; 26 counties in Mississippi; 5 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 17, 2021, 5:53 AM CDT (10:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 17, 2021, 1:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 45 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 5:55 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha | 25 min |
| Mar 17, 6:05 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Bolivar | 40 min |
| Mar 17, 6:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Phillips | 40 min |
| Mar 17, 6:44 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Bolivar | 19 min |
| Mar 17, 6:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Marshall | 14 min |
| Mar 17, 7:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Tate and 1 more | 48 min |
| Mar 17, 9:04 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, DeSoto, Marshall, Tate, Tippah | 3 hr |
| Mar 17, 10:29 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 3 hr |
| Mar 17, 11:38 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Shelby, Tipton | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2044 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 63 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 200 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 260 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
104
WWUS20 KWNS 171050
SEL6
SPC WW 171050
ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-171800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 26
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Extreme southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 550 AM
until 100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of storms with embedded supercell structures will
likely persist through about midday from southeast Arkansas into
northern Mississippi and adjacent southwest Tennessee. The storm
environment will gradually become more favorable for a few tornadoes
this morning, including the possibility of an isolated strong
tornado. Otherwise, large hail and damaging winds can be expected
with the supercell clusters.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 5 miles north of Pine Bluff AR to 40
miles east northeast of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...WW 25...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Washington | 90 min |
| Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more | 118 min |
| Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 4:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 17, 5:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Lincoln and 3 more | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Columbia, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 19 more | 95 min |
| Mar 17, 7:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, St. Francis | 67 min |
| Mar 17, 7:47 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland and 15 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 17, 8:43 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Columbia, Union | 4 hr |
| Mar 17, 12:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips | 90 min |
| Mar 17, 12:57 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Lee, Phillips | 6 hr |
| Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 22 more | 57 min |
| Mar 17, 2:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 12 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew | 94 min |
| Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more | 83 min |
| Mar 17, 6:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross | 66 min |
| Mar 17, 10:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Attala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Copiah, Covington and 26 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 17, 11:36 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Attala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Copiah, Covington and 28 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 17, 12:02 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Jones, Wayne | 58 min |
| Mar 17, 1:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson, Smith | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 1:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Amite, Forrest, George, Greene, Hancock, Harrison and 9 more | 90 min |
| Mar 17, 2:38 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Amite, Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Pike and 2 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 17, 5:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Covington, Forrest, George, Greene, Jasper and 13 more | 86 min |
| Mar 17, 6:48 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Attala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Covington, Forrest and 20 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 17, 12:59 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 13 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 17, 2:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Benton, Cannon, Coffee, Davidson, Decatur and 18 more | 59 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.