Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 26

March 17, 202114 counties in Arkansas; 26 counties in Mississippi; 5 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 17, 2021, 5:53 AM CDT for 14 counties in Arkansas; 26 counties in Mississippi; 5 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2021, 5:53 AM CDT (10:53 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2021, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 5:55 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Desha25 min
Mar 17, 6:05 AM CDTTornado WarningJANBolivar40 min
Mar 17, 6:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPhillips40 min
Mar 17, 6:44 AM CDTTornado WarningJANBolivar19 min
Mar 17, 6:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMarshall14 min
Mar 17, 7:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Marshall, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Tate and 1 more48 min
Mar 17, 9:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, DeSoto, Marshall, Tate, Tippah3 hr
Mar 17, 10:29 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tishomingo3 hr
Mar 17, 11:38 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGShelby, Tipton3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 200 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2044 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
260 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

104 
WWUS20 KWNS 171050
SEL6  
SPC WW 171050
ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-171800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 26
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 AM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Arkansas
  Northern Mississippi
  Extreme southwest Tennessee

* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 550 AM
  until 100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms with embedded supercell structures will
likely persist through about midday from southeast Arkansas into
northern Mississippi and adjacent southwest Tennessee.  The storm
environment will gradually become more favorable for a few tornadoes
this morning, including the possibility of an isolated strong
tornado.  Otherwise, large hail and damaging winds can be expected
with the supercell clusters.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 5 miles north of Pine Bluff AR to 40
miles east northeast of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...WW 25...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Washington90 min
Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more118 min
Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier86 min
Mar 17, 4:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more5 hr
Mar 17, 5:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Lincoln and 3 more86 min
Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 19 more95 min
Mar 17, 7:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, St. Francis67 min
Mar 17, 7:47 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Clark, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland and 15 more5 hr
Mar 17, 8:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Union4 hr
Mar 17, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips90 min
Mar 17, 12:57 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAshley, Chicot, Lee, Phillips6 hr
Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 22 more57 min
Mar 17, 2:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 12 more7 hr
Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew94 min
Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more83 min
Mar 17, 6:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross66 min
Mar 17, 10:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Copiah, Covington and 26 more2 hr
Mar 17, 11:36 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAttala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Copiah, Covington and 28 more7 hr
Mar 17, 12:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClarke, Jones, Wayne58 min
Mar 17, 1:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson, Smith86 min
Mar 17, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmite, Forrest, George, Greene, Hancock, Harrison and 9 more90 min
Mar 17, 2:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAmite, Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Pike and 2 more8 hr
Mar 17, 5:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClarke, Covington, Forrest, George, Greene, Jasper and 13 more86 min
Mar 17, 6:48 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAttala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Covington, Forrest and 20 more8 hr
Mar 17, 12:59 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 13 more6 hr
Mar 17, 2:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Coffee, Davidson, Decatur and 18 more59 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.