Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 213

March 17, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 17, 2021, 6:09 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 66 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2021, 6:09 PM CDT (23:09 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2021, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 32
All 50 counties

Colbert County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Marion County, AL, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Chester County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2021-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 18 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2021-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 217 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-262 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1466 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

378 
ACUS11 KWNS 172310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172309 
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-180015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0213
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0609 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

Areas affected...Far eastern Arkansas...Northern Mississippi and
Alabama...into southern Tennessee.

Concerning...Tornado Watch 32...

Valid 172309Z - 180015Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32 continues.

SUMMARY...A replacement tornado watch for the northwestern half of
Tornado watch #32 will be coordinated shortly.

DISCUSSION...Numerous thunderstorms including semi discrete
supercells are ongoing across the area. Strong low-level shear
(450-500 0-1km SRH)  sampled from the MEG VWP suggests the tornado
threat is likely to continue after the 00z expiration time of WW32.
Expansive convective coverage into north-central Alabama may
somewhat impact buoyancy near the diffuse warm front across southern
Tennessee. However, additional thunderstorm development across far
eastern Arkansas may support the severe threat well into the night
across north-central Alabama. A new tornado watch will be
coordinated shortly.

..Lyons/Guyer.. 03/17/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   35419105 35049070 34399075 33809098 33539099 33179049
            33228956 33938766 34438721 34898700 35318735 35628859
            35618951 35559051 35419105

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 10:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke, Coosa and 17 more2 hr
Mar 17, 11:36 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke and 25 more7 hr
Mar 17, 12:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Clarke, Marengo58 min
Mar 17, 1:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Chilton, Coosa, Elmore, Lowndes, Montgomery and 1 more89 min
Mar 17, 1:26 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Cleburne, Elmore, Etowah and 7 more5 hr
Mar 17, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile90 min
Mar 17, 2:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Chilton, Dallas, Hale, Marengo, Perry96 min
Mar 17, 5:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 32 more86 min
Mar 17, 6:48 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 44 more8 hr
Mar 17, 12:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Washington90 min
Mar 17, 1:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more118 min
Mar 17, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier86 min
Mar 17, 4:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more5 hr
Mar 17, 5:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Lincoln and 3 more86 min
Mar 17, 5:53 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 8 more7 hr
Mar 17, 6:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 19 more95 min
Mar 17, 7:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Lee, Monroe, Phillips, St. Francis67 min
Mar 17, 7:47 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Clark, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland and 15 more5 hr
Mar 17, 8:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Union4 hr
Mar 17, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips90 min
Mar 17, 12:57 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAshley, Chicot, Lee, Phillips6 hr
Mar 17, 1:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 22 more57 min
Mar 17, 2:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 12 more7 hr
Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew94 min
Mar 17, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more83 min
Mar 17, 1:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson, Smith86 min
Mar 17, 2:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAmite, Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Pike and 2 more8 hr
Mar 17, 12:59 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 13 more6 hr
Mar 17, 2:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Coffee, Davidson, Decatur and 18 more59 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.