Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 37

March 17, 20219 counties in Alabama; 14 counties in Mississippi; 4 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 17, 2021, 7:07 PM CDT for 9 counties in Alabama; 14 counties in Mississippi; 4 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2021, 7:07 PM CDT (00:07 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2021, 10:30 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Union County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, McNairy County, TN

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc43 min
Mar 17, 7:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGItawamba2 hr
Mar 17, 7:38 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Monroe10 min
Mar 17, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Monroe, Prentiss, Tishomingo31 min
Mar 17, 8:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGItawamba, Prentiss, Tishomingo69 min
Mar 17, 9:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHUNColbert, Lauderdale3 hr
Mar 17, 9:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHUNJackson, Madison, Marshall, Morgan3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-03-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 959 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-03-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
959 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
873 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
4.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

269 
WWUS20 KWNS 180005
SEL7  
SPC WW 180005
ALZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-180500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 37
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
710 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Far northern Alabama
  Northern Mississippi
  Western Tennessee

* Effective this Wednesday night from 710 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm/tornado risk may linger this evening
across the region as low-level shear further strengthens,
potentially supporting a mixed mode of strong/severe thunderstorms.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Oxford MS
to 35 miles east of Huntsville AL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...WW 35...WW 36...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 9:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCullman, DeKalb, Jackson, Limestone, Madison, Marshall and 1 more89 min
Mar 17, 10:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 18 more90 min
Mar 17, 11:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCoffee, Covington, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston9 hr
Mar 18, 1:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Coffee, Covington, Dale, Geneva, Henry and 2 more83 min
Mar 18, 4:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston92 min
Mar 17, 7:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHancock94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2021Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.