Alert archive / Alabama / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 216

March 17, 20217 counties in Alabama

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 17, 2021, 9:16 PM CDT for 7 counties in Alabama. It was in force for 89 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2021, 9:16 PM CDT (02:16 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2021, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
89 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 37

Counties Cullman County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 00:00Z on 2021-03-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 188 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 00:00Z on 2021-03-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 336 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
188 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
669 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
336 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
465 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

514 
ACUS11 KWNS 180217
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180216 
ALZ000-180345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0216
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0916 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

Areas affected...Northeastern Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 37...

Valid 180216Z - 180345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 37 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe wind gusts and perhaps a tornado will remain
possible with storms moving across northeast Alabama.

DISCUSSION...Widespread strong to severe storms are ongoing across
much of northern Alabama. Storms have transitioned to a
predominately linear mode over the last two hours, suggesting a
shift toward a damaging wind threat. However, strong low-level shear
(0-1km SRH 400 m2s2) as sampled from the HTX radar and university
soundings remains in place across northern Alabama and southern
Tennessee. As storms move east into more marginal buoyancy, (250-500
J/kg MUCAPE) along and northeast of the diffuse frontal zone
tonight, there remains a chance for a tornado along with the threat
of damaging wind gusts. The threat will likely begin to decrease
after 03 to 04Z as storms move into an increasingly unfavorable
environment for severe weather.

..Lyons/Guyer.. 03/18/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   34098699 34828723 34938703 34978612 34828581 34498578
            34218587 34158609 34098699

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 7:07 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone and 3 more3 hr
Mar 17, 10:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 18 more90 min
Mar 17, 11:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCoffee, Covington, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston9 hr
Mar 18, 1:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Coffee, Covington, Dale, Geneva, Henry and 2 more83 min
Mar 18, 4:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston92 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.